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Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Bundesliga 16.05.2026 · 13:30 BayArena Referee: T. Stieler
Bayer Leverkusen emblem
Bayer Leverkusen
D
L
W
W
L
vs
– : –
16 May · 13:30
Hamburger SV emblem
Hamburger SV
D
W
W
L
L
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
4.90

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Bayer Leverkusen
45%
Draw
10%
Hamburger SV

Form Comparison

■ Bayer Leverkusen ■ Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
60%
Form
40%
56%
Att
44%
63%
Def
37%
79%
Poisson distribution
21%
80%
H2h
20%
75%
Goals
25%
69%
Total
31%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.03.2026
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen
0 — 1
17.02.2018
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen
1 — 2
24.09.2017
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV
3 — 0
03.02.2017
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen
1 — 0
10.09.2016
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV
3 — 1
13.03.2016
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV
1 — 0
17.10.2015
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen
0 — 0
04.04.2015
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV
4 — 0
01.11.2014
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen
1 — 0

Last Matches

Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
16.05.2026
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV
1 — 1
09.05.2026
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen
1 — 3
02.05.2026
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig
4 — 1
25.04.2026
1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen
2 — 1
22.04.2026
Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München
0 — 2
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Bayer Leverkusen
C. Kofane, M. Terrier, N. Tella
Hamburger SV
A. Rossing-Lelesiit, R. Glatzel

As the Bundesliga season draws to a close, Bayer Leverkusen welcomes Hamburger SV to the BayArena for what promises to be an intriguing clash. With Leverkusen holding a strong fourth position, they are keen to solidify their standing, while Hamburger SV is looking to finish their season on a positive note from their twelfth place.

Bayer Leverkusen's Recent Form and Home Advantage

Bayer Leverkusen has shown a mixed bag of results in their recent fixtures, yet they have demonstrated resilience, especially in their home encounters. They boast an impressive average of 2.40 goals scored per game at home, underscoring their offensive capabilities in familiar surroundings. Recent victories, including a solid 4-1 win over RB Leipzig, exhibit their potential to dominate when they find their rhythm. Despite suffering a couple of home defeats, their overall form, including an away win against Borussia Dortmund, highlights their capacity to secure crucial points. With no injuries or suspensions hindering their lineup, Leverkusen is poised to field a strong side against their northern rivals.

Hamburger SV’s Struggle for Consistency

Hamburger SV has endured a challenging season, reflected in their current position on the league table. Their recent form includes a notable away victory against Eintracht Frankfurt, yet it has been marred by heavy defeats, such as the 4-0 loss to VfB Stuttgart. Away from home, they have managed to secure wins but have also been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.40 goals per match. Their inability to maintain a solid defense has been a significant factor in their struggles. Despite these challenges, HSV will aim to exploit any defensive lapses from Leverkusen, hoping to replicate moments of brilliance seen in sporadic victories.

Prediction: High-Scoring Encounter Likely

Given the attacking prowess of Bayer Leverkusen, particularly at home, this encounter is likely to feature several goals. Hamburger SV’s defensive frailties further suggest that goals will flow, making "Total:Over: 2.5" a compelling prediction for this match. Leverkusen’s historical success in this fixture, having won four of their last five encounters against HSV, strengthens the possibility of a high-scoring game. The combination of Leverkusen's offensive form and Hamburg's defensive weaknesses points towards an open match. Confidence in this prediction is high, as the statistics align well with recent performances and head-to-head records. Additional betting options favoring goals from both teams could also provide value, given HSV's occasional ability to find the net against tougher opponents.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Leverkusen's strong home goal-scoring form and Hamburger SV's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a high-scoring game.

4.90
Odds
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
75%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
70%
1X
80%
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV
Pin-UP
W11.30
X6.40
W27.00
William Hill
W11.29
X5.80
W28.00
Bet365
W11.30
X6.25
W27.50
Marathonbet
W11.31
X6.35
W29.00
Unibet
W11.25
X6.25
W29.00
Betfair
W11.25
X6.00
W28.50
BetVictor
W11.29
X6.00
W28.50
Pinnacle
W11.31
X6.54
W28.31
SBO
W11.25
X5.61
W27.05
1xBet
W11.33
X6.45
W29.10
Betano
W11.33
X6.20
W28.75
888Sport
W11.29
X5.75
W28.00
Dafabet
W11.31
X6.60
W28.20

Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Bayern München logoBayern München
34 28 5 1 89
2
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund
34 22 7 5 73
3
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig
34 20 5 9 65
4
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
34 18 8 8 62
5
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
34 18 7 9 61
6
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen ★
34 17 8 9 59
7
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg
34 13 8 13 47
8
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
34 11 11 12 44
9
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
34 12 7 15 43
10
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05
34 10 10 14 40
11
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin
34 10 9 15 39
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
34 9 11 14 38
13
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV ★
34 9 11 14 38
14
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
34 7 11 16 32
15
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
34 8 8 18 32
16
VfL Wolfsburg logoVfL Wolfsburg
34 7 8 19 29
17
1. FC Heidenheim logo1. FC Heidenheim
34 6 8 20 26
18
FC St. Pauli logoFC St. Pauli
34 6 8 20 26
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