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Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Bundesliga 21.03.2026 · 17:30 Signal Iduna Park Referee: Tobias Reichel, Germany
Borussia Dortmund emblem
Borussia Dortmund
W
W
L
L
D
vs
– : –
21 Mar · 17:30
Hamburger SV emblem
Hamburger SV
D
W
L
L
D
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
4.38

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Borussia Dortmund
45%
Draw
10%
Hamburger SV

Form Comparison

■ Borussia Dortmund ■ Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
67%
Form
33%
71%
Att
29%
50%
Def
50%
83%
Poisson distribution
17%
93%
H2h
7%
82%
Goals
18%
74%
Total
26%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
08.11.2025
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund
1 — 1
10.02.2018
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV
2 — 0
20.09.2017
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund
0 — 3
04.04.2017
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV
3 — 0
05.11.2016
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund
2 — 5
17.04.2016
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV
3 — 0
20.11.2015
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund
3 — 1
07.03.2015
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund
0 — 0
04.10.2014
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV
0 — 1
22.02.2014
Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund
3 — 0

Last Matches

Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
14.03.2026
Borussia Dortmund vs FC Augsburg
2 — 0
07.03.2026
1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund
2 — 1
28.02.2026
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München
2 — 3
25.02.2026
Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund
1 — 4
21.02.2026
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund
2 — 2
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Borussia Dortmund VS Hamburger SV Prediction

As Borussia Dortmund prepares to host Hamburger SV at Signal Iduna Park on March 21st, the Bundesliga is set for another exciting encounter. Dortmund, currently second in the league, will be eager to capitalize on their home advantage, while Hamburg, positioned tenth, looks to climb the table with a positive result in this challenging fixture.

Borussia Dortmund's recent form has been a mixed bag, demonstrating both attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities. They have secured three victories in their last five matches, including an impressive away win against 1. FC Köln. However, setbacks against Bayern München and Atalanta highlight a need for consistency, especially in defense. At home, Dortmund remains formidable, with three wins in their last five outings, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game. While their offense continues to fire, averaging 1.80 goals per match across their last five, their defense has conceded two goals on average, which could be a concern against a determined Hamburg side.

Hamburger SV, on the other hand, enters this match with a solid, if unspectacular, recent record. They have managed two wins in their last five matches, including a commendable victory over VfL Wolfsburg. Despite a home defeat to Bayer Leverkusen, Hamburg's away form has been resilient, suffering only one loss in their last five outings. They have scored an average of 1.20 goals per game away from home, while conceding just 0.80, indicating a strong defensive setup when on the road. With no injuries or suspensions affecting their squad, Hamburg will aim to exploit any defensive lapses Dortmund might exhibit.

In the prediction for this encounter, the focus will be on both teams' ability to find the net. Given Dortmund's attacking strength and defensive frailties, coupled with Hamburg's solid away performances, the likelihood of both teams scoring seems high. Historically, Dortmund has dominated this fixture, winning four of their last five encounters with Hamburg, but the visitors will be determined to break this trend. The main prediction for this match is for both teams to score, driven by Dortmund's aggressive home form and Hamburg's sturdy away defense. This event is backed by a confidence score of 8, considering Dortmund's recent goal-scoring trend and Hamburg's ability to hold firm on the road.

For additional betting options, consider the following: a Total: Over market, given Dortmund's high average goals per home game; a Handicap 1 (-1) reflects Dortmund's historical dominance in this fixture; Total: Team 1 Over is another possibility, noting Dortmund's strong home scoring record; and finally, the 1X market provides a safety net against a potential Hamburg upset, acknowledging their improving away form without dismissing Dortmund's home advantage.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Dortmund's attacking strength combined with their defensive vulnerabilities and Hamburg's solid away form suggest both teams are likely to find the net.

4.38
Odds
Total:Over 2.5
70%
Handicap 1 -1
65%
Total: Team 1 Over 1.5
75%
1X 1X
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV
Pin-UP
W11.39
X4.75
W27.00
William Hill
W11.40
X4.60
W27.00
Bet365
W11.38
X4.75
W27.00
Marathonbet
W11.42
X5.05
W27.70
Unibet
W11.35
X5.10
W27.50
Betfair
W11.33
X5.00
W27.50
188Bet
W11.42
X5.20
W26.90
Pinnacle
W11.42
X5.12
W27.21
SBO
W11.34
X4.50
W26.47
1xBet
W11.44
X5.13
W27.80
Betano
W11.42
X4.90
W27.10
888Sport
W11.40
X4.60
W27.00

Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Bayern München logoBayern München
26 21 4 1 67
2
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund ★
26 17 7 2 58
3
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
26 15 5 6 50
4
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
26 15 5 6 50
5
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig
26 14 5 7 47
6
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen
26 13 6 7 45
7
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
26 10 8 8 38
8
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg
26 9 7 10 34
9
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin
26 8 7 11 31
10
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
26 9 4 13 31
11
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV ★
26 7 9 10 30
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
26 7 7 12 28
13
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05
26 6 9 11 27
14
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
26 6 7 13 25
15
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
26 6 7 13 25
16
FC St. Pauli logoFC St. Pauli
26 6 6 14 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg logoVfL Wolfsburg
26 5 6 15 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim logo1. FC Heidenheim
26 3 5 18 14

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