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FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction

Bundesliga 16.05.2026 · 13:30 Millerntor-Stadion Referee: D. Siebert
FC St. Pauli emblem
FC St. Pauli
L
L
L
L
D
vs
– : –
16 May · 13:30
VfL Wolfsburg emblem
VfL Wolfsburg
W
L
D
D
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
2.89

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
FC St. Pauli
45%
Draw
45%
VfL Wolfsburg

Form Comparison

■ FC St. Pauli ■ VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
17%
Form
83%
43%
Att
57%
29%
Def
71%
45%
Poisson distribution
55%
36%
H2h
64%
45%
Goals
55%
36%
Total
64%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
14.01.2026
VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli
2 — 1
08.03.2025
VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli
1 — 1
26.10.2024
FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg
0 — 0
16.04.2011
VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli
2 — 2
21.11.2010
FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg
1 — 1

Last Matches

FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
16.05.2026
FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg
1 — 3
09.05.2026
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli
1 — 2
03.05.2026
FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05
1 — 2
25.04.2026
1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli
0 — 2
17.04.2026
FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln
1 — 1
W: 0 · D: 1 · L: 4

Injuries and Suspensions

FC St. Pauli
D. Nemeth, E. Smith, J. Sands, M. Pereira Lage, M. Saliakas
VfL Wolfsburg
B. Dardai, Cleiton, J. Seelt, J. Wind, K. Fischer, M. Arnold, P. Wimmer, Rogerio

In a crucial Bundesliga clash, FC St. Pauli are set to host VfL Wolfsburg at the Millerntor-Stadion on May 16, 2026. Both teams find themselves near the bottom of the league table, making this encounter pivotal for their survival hopes. As the season draws to a close, each side is desperate for points to avoid relegation.

FC St. Pauli's Struggles to Secure Points

FC St. Pauli have had a challenging season, as reflected by their 17th place in the standings. Their recent form has been less than encouraging, with no wins in their last five matches, resulting in three losses and two draws. This includes a heavy 5-0 defeat against Bayern München at home, which highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. At home, St. Pauli have struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 0.60 goals per game while conceding an average of 2.00 goals. Fortunately for them, they have no injury or suspension concerns going into this match, allowing them to field their strongest possible lineup.

VfL Wolfsburg's Battle to Climb the Table

VfL Wolfsburg, sitting just above St. Pauli in 16th place, have also had a difficult run recently. Their last five matches have seen them earn one win, two draws, and two losses. Despite their struggles, they managed to claim an impressive 2-1 victory away at Union Berlin. Wolfsburg's away form has been somewhat better than their home form, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game but conceding 2.60. Like their opponents, Wolfsburg do not have any players missing due to injury or suspension, which could be crucial in a match of this magnitude.

Prediction: A Tight Contest on the Cards

Given the stakes, this match is likely to be a closely-fought contest. Historically, encounters between FC St. Pauli and VfL Wolfsburg have been tight affairs, with Wolfsburg having a slight edge in their head-to-head record. Neither team has enjoyed consistent form, and their defensive frailties suggest that goals could be on the menu. The prediction is for both teams to find the net, considering their defensive records and the attacking threats they possess. A draw with both teams scoring seems a plausible outcome, reflecting the balanced nature of their recent head-to-head encounters. A bet on both teams to score carries significant value with the current form and statistics in mind.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses, and their recent matches have often seen both sides scoring.

2.89
Odds
X
40%
Total:Over: 2.5
50%
X2
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg
Pin-UP
W12.52
X3.60
W22.54
William Hill
W12.62
X3.40
W22.45
Bet365
W12.50
X3.40
W22.40
Marathonbet
W12.72
X3.65
W22.56
Unibet
W12.60
X3.55
W22.45
Betfair
W12.70
X3.50
W22.50
BetVictor
W12.63
X3.60
W22.50
Pinnacle
W12.73
X3.65
W22.58
SBO
W12.64
X3.21
W22.28
1xBet
W12.76
X3.71
W22.60
Betano
W12.65
X3.55
W22.55
888Sport
W12.63
X3.40
W22.40
Dafabet
W12.70
X3.60
W22.55

Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Bayern München logoBayern München
34 28 5 1 89
2
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund
34 22 7 5 73
3
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig
34 20 5 9 65
4
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
34 18 8 8 62
5
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
34 18 7 9 61
6
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen
34 17 8 9 59
7
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg
34 13 8 13 47
8
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
34 11 11 12 44
9
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
34 12 7 15 43
10
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05
34 10 10 14 40
11
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin
34 10 9 15 39
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
34 9 11 14 38
13
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV
34 9 11 14 38
14
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
34 7 11 16 32
15
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
34 8 8 18 32
16
VfL Wolfsburg logoVfL Wolfsburg ★
34 7 8 19 29
17
1. FC Heidenheim logo1. FC Heidenheim
34 6 8 20 26
18
FC St. Pauli logoFC St. Pauli ★
34 6 8 20 26
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