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SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Bundesliga 16.05.2026 · 13:30 Europa-Park Stadion Referee: S. Stegemann
SC Freiburg emblem
SC Freiburg
L
W
L
W
D
vs
– : –
16 May · 13:30
RB Leipzig emblem
RB Leipzig
L
W
L
W
W
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.92

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
SC Freiburg
45%
Draw
45%
RB Leipzig

Form Comparison

■ SC Freiburg ■ RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
37%
Form
63%
38%
Att
63%
44%
Def
56%
51%
Poisson distribution
49%
7%
H2h
93%
20%
Goals
80%
33%
Total
67%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
14.01.2026
RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg
2 — 0
08.03.2025
SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
0 — 0
26.10.2024
RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg
3 — 1
06.04.2024
SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
1 — 4
12.11.2023
RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg
3 — 1
06.05.2023
SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
0 — 1
02.05.2023
SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
1 — 5
09.11.2022
RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg
3 — 1
21.05.2022
SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
1 — 1

Last Matches

SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
20.05.2026
SC Freiburg vs Aston Villa
0 — 3
16.05.2026
SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
4 — 1
10.05.2026
Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg
2 — 3
07.05.2026
SC Freiburg vs SC Braga
3 — 1
03.05.2026
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg
1 — 1
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

SC Freiburg
Y. Suzuki
RB Leipzig
A. Thomas, D. Raum, L. Zingerle, V. Gebel

As the Bundesliga season draws to a close, SC Freiburg will host RB Leipzig at the Europa-Park Stadion on May 16, 2026. This encounter sees the seventh-placed Freiburg take on third-placed Leipzig in a match that could significantly shape the final standings. Both teams will be eager to end their campaigns on a high, promising an exciting clash filled with tactical battles and individual brilliance.

SC Freiburg's Recent Challenges and Home Strength

SC Freiburg enters this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. With two victories in their last five matches, including a solid 3-1 win against SC Braga, their form has been inconsistent. However, playing at home has been a different story altogether. At the Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg has demonstrated resilience, winning three of their last five home games and averaging 2.20 goals per match while conceding 1.20. Despite their home form, Freiburg's overall defensive vulnerabilities are evident, as they have conceded an average of 2.00 goals across their last five outings. Notably, Freiburg faces no injury or suspension issues, allowing them to field their strongest lineup against Leipzig.

RB Leipzig's Momentum and Away Performance

RB Leipzig, on the other hand, comes into this fixture with strong momentum. They have won four of their last five matches, showcasing their attacking prowess with an average of 2.00 goals per game. Leipzig's ability to perform under pressure was evident in their recent 3-1 victory against Union Berlin and a narrow 2-1 win over Werder Bremen. While their away form shows some vulnerabilities, with two losses in their last five travel games, they still manage to find the back of the net often, averaging 1.60 goals scored per match. Leipzig also has the advantage of a fully fit squad, with no players missing due to injury or suspension, which could be crucial in maintaining their high-intensity style of play.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Given both teams' attacking capabilities and recent goal-scoring records, this match is likely to feature several goals. The prediction leans towards a high-scoring affair, with both sides likely to find the net. SC Freiburg's strong home form will be tested against a Leipzig side that has been prolific in the final third. The absence of defensive injuries or suspensions for both teams further supports the expectation of an open game. Based on these observations, the most probable betting event is "Total:Over: 2.5," reflecting the likelihood of multiple goals being scored. This prediction is backed by SC Freiburg's home scoring average and RB Leipzig's overall attacking threat, making it a compelling option for bettors.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Both teams have strong attacking records and no defensive absences, indicating a high probability of a match with more than 2.5 goals.

2.92
Odds
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%
Handicap 2: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig
Pin-UP
W12.48
X3.80
W22.48
William Hill
W12.45
X3.60
W22.60
Bet365
W12.45
X3.80
W22.55
Marathonbet
W12.56
X3.82
W22.64
Unibet
W12.38
X3.65
W22.63
Betfair
W12.55
X3.60
W22.50
BetVictor
W12.45
X3.75
W22.55
Pinnacle
W12.59
X3.80
W22.65
SBO
W12.52
X3.53
W22.22
1xBet
W12.61
X3.84
W22.68
Betano
W12.47
X3.90
W22.57
888Sport
W12.40
X3.50
W22.50
Dafabet
W12.50
X3.80
W22.65

Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Bayern München logoBayern München
34 28 5 1 89
2
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund
34 22 7 5 73
3
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig ★
34 20 5 9 65
4
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
34 18 8 8 62
5
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
34 18 7 9 61
6
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen
34 17 8 9 59
7
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg ★
34 13 8 13 47
8
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
34 11 11 12 44
9
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
34 12 7 15 43
10
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05
34 10 10 14 40
11
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin
34 10 9 15 39
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
34 9 11 14 38
13
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV
34 9 11 14 38
14
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
34 7 11 16 32
15
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
34 8 8 18 32
16
VfL Wolfsburg logoVfL Wolfsburg
34 7 8 19 29
17
1. FC Heidenheim logo1. FC Heidenheim
34 6 8 20 26
18
FC St. Pauli logoFC St. Pauli
34 6 8 20 26
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