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Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay Prediction

Premier League 28.05.2026 · 13:00 Turkestan Arena Referee: Marat Iskakov
Atyrau emblem
Atyrau
D
D
D
W
L
vs
– : –
28 May · 13:00
FK Tobol Kostanay emblem
FK Tobol Kostanay
L
L
D
W
L
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.73

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Atyrau
45%
Draw
10%
FK Tobol Kostanay

Form Comparison

■ Atyrau ■ FK Tobol Kostanay
Atyrau
FK Tobol Kostanay
50%
Form
50%
43%
Att
57%
70%
Def
30%
89%
Poisson distribution
11%
62%
H2h
38%
50%
Goals
50%
61%
Total
39%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
13.09.2025
Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1 — 0
30.05.2025
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau
5 — 0
31.08.2024
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau
1 — 1
23.06.2024
Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay
0 — 0
19.06.2024
Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay
4 — 0
29.05.2024
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau
1 — 0
08.07.2023
Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay
0 — 1
02.07.2023
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau
1 — 0
28.06.2023
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Atyrau
1 — 0
24.06.2023
Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay
3 — 0

Last Matches

Atyrau
FK Tobol Kostanay
23.05.2026
Zhetysu vs Atyrau
0 — 0
17.05.2026
Aktobe vs Atyrau
1 — 1
09.05.2026
Okzhetpes vs Atyrau
0 — 0
03.05.2026
Atyrau vs Altay
1 — 0
29.04.2026
Atyrau vs Zhetysu
0 — 2
W: 1 · D: 3 · L: 1

As the Premier League season draws to a close, Atyrau and FK Tobol Kostanay face off at the Turkestan Arena on May 28, 2026. Both teams lie in the lower half of the table, with Atyrau in 9th position and FK Tobol Kostanay struggling at 14th. This match is crucial for both sides, with Atyrau looking to finish on a high note and FK Tobol Kostanay in need of points to avoid the relegation zone.

Atyrau's Home Fortitude

Atyrau approaches this fixture with a mixed bag of recent performances. In their last five matches, they have secured one victory, two draws, and suffered two defeats. Their home form shows a bit more promise, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games at the Turkestan Arena. Despite their inconsistent form, Atyrau's defense has been relatively solid at home, conceding an average of 0.60 goals per game. Their main challenge lies in the attack, as they have only managed to score an average of 0.60 goals per match in front of their home fans. The team is fortunate to have no injuries or suspensions, which could provide a boost in this encounter.

FK Tobol Kostanay's Away Struggles

FK Tobol Kostanay has had a challenging season, and their recent form reflects their ongoing struggles. They have managed just one win in their last five matches, alongside two draws and two losses. Their away record is particularly concerning, with four losses and just one victory in their last five fixtures on the road. The team has conceded an average of 1.40 goals per game away from home, while managing to score only 1.00 goals per game. Despite these struggles, FK Tobol Kostanay has shown flashes of resilience, as evidenced by their recent 2-1 away victory over FC Astana. Like Atyrau, they have the advantage of a fully available squad with no injuries or suspensions.

Prediction for a Tight Encounter

Analyzing the recent performances and head-to-head encounters between Atyrau and FK Tobol Kostanay suggests a closely contested match. Both teams have had their fair share of ups and downs, but Atyrau's solid home defense could play a crucial role. The most likely betting event is "Total:Under: 2.5", given Atyrau's low-scoring home matches and FK Tobol Kostanay's struggles to find the net away. This outcome is supported by their recent head-to-head results, with three out of the last five encounters yielding two goals or fewer. The prediction is made with a confidence score of 8, as both teams have shown tendencies towards low-scoring games. Other potential betting events include "1X" due to Atyrau's home advantage, "Total:Under: 3.0" considering the low goal averages, and "All: Both Teams to Score: No" given Atyrau's defensive solidity at home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5

Both teams have been involved in low-scoring matches recently, and their head-to-head history suggests a likely outcome of under 2.5 goals.

2.73
Odds
1X
65%
Total:Under: 3.0
75%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
60%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Atyrau vs FK Tobol Kostanay
Marathonbet
W12.40
X3.10
W22.69
1xBet
W13.54
X4.28
W21.82

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Kairat Almaty logoKairat Almaty
12 7 5 0 26
2
Ordabasy logoOrdabasy
11 7 4 0 25
3
Okzhetpes logoOkzhetpes
11 6 4 1 22
4
FC Astana logoFC Astana
11 5 3 3 18
5
Ulytau logoUlytau
11 5 3 3 18
6
Yelimay Semey logoYelimay Semey
11 4 5 2 17
7
Aktobe logoAktobe
11 4 3 4 15
8
Atyrau logoAtyrau ★
11 2 7 2 13
9
Zhetysu logoZhetysu
11 3 4 4 13
10
Zhenys logoZhenys
11 3 4 4 13
11
Kyzyl-Zhar logoKyzyl-Zhar
11 3 3 5 12
12
Kaisar logoKaisar
12 1 7 4 10
13
Irtysh logoIrtysh
11 1 5 5 8
14
Altay logoAltay
11 1 5 5 8
15
Kaspiy logoKaspiy
11 2 2 7 8
16
FK Tobol Kostanay logoFK Tobol Kostanay ★
11 2 2 7 8
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