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UPDF vs Calvary Prediction

Premier League 19.05.2026 · 13:00 Bombo Stadium
UPDF emblem
UPDF
L
L
L
D
W
vs
– : –
19 May · 13:00
Calvary emblem
Calvary
D
W
L
W
D
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 3.0
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
UPDF
45%
Draw
10%
Calvary

Form Comparison

■ UPDF ■ Calvary
UPDF
Calvary
33%
Form
67%
67%
Att
33%
27%
Def
73%
71%
Poisson distribution
29%
100%
H2h
0%
100%
Goals
0%
50%
Total
51%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
19.11.2025
Calvary vs UPDF
0 — 1

Last Matches

UPDF
Calvary
13.05.2026
UPDF vs KCCA
1 — 2
07.05.2026
Entebbe UPPC vs UPDF
0 — 2
29.04.2026
Police vs UPDF
0 — 2
24.04.2026
UPDF vs URA
0 — 0
21.04.2026
BUL vs UPDF
5 — 2
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

As the Premier League season nears its conclusion, the clash between UPDF and Calvary at Bombo Stadium presents a fascinating encounter. Both teams are hovering near the bottom of the league table, with UPDF sitting in 14th place and Calvary just behind them in 15th. This match is crucial for both sides as they seek to secure their status in the top flight for the next season.

UPDF's Recent Struggles and Home Resilience

UPDF has had a mixed run of form recently, with just one win in their last five games. Their performances at home have been slightly more encouraging, albeit still inconsistent, with one win, two draws, and two losses. This inconsistency is mirrored in their goal statistics, having scored and conceded an average of one goal per game at home. Although UPDF managed a high-scoring 5-2 victory away against BUL, recent matches have seen them struggle to find the back of the net consistently. Fortunately, they have no players sidelined due to injury or suspension, allowing them to field their strongest possible lineup against Calvary.

Calvary's Defensive Solidity and Away Day Woes

Calvary's recent performances have been characterized by a strong defensive setup, conceding only two goals in their last five matches. However, their offensive output has been a concern, with an average of just 0.4 goals scored per game in the same period. Away from home, Calvary has struggled significantly, failing to secure any wins and managing just one draw in their last five away outings. This poor away form is compounded by their difficulty in finding the net, with an average of only 0.2 goals scored per game on the road. Similar to UPDF, Calvary can field their full-strength squad, as they have no injuries or suspensions to contend with.

Prediction: A Cagey Affair with Few Goals

Given the current form and statistical trends of both teams, this match is likely to be a closely contested affair. UPDF's home advantage and marginally better scoring record could give them the edge, but Calvary's defensive resilience might frustrate the home side. Considering UPDF's average of 1.00 goals scored per match at home and Calvary's defensive record, a low-scoring game seems probable. Our main prediction is for the match to feature under three goals, with a confidence score of 7. This is supported by the fact that both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring games recently, making a bet on "Total:Under: 3.0" a logical choice. Additional predictions include "Total:Under: 2.5" with a probability of 65%, "X" for a draw with a probability of 55%, "1X" for UPDF to avoid defeat with a probability of 70%, and "All: Both Teams to Score: No" with a probability of 60%.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 3.0

Both UPDF and Calvary have struggled offensively, indicating a low-scoring match is likely.

Total:Under: 2.5
65%
X
55%
1X
70%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
60%

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Vipers logoVipers
28 17 10 1 61
2
KCCA logoKCCA
28 18 4 6 58
3
SC Villa logoSC Villa
28 16 7 5 55
4
Kitara logoKitara
28 16 6 6 54
5
NEC logoNEC
27 12 12 3 48
6
Entebbe UPPC logoEntebbe UPPC
28 13 8 7 47
7
Police logoPolice
28 13 6 9 45
8
BUL logoBUL
28 9 9 10 36
9
Express logoExpress
28 9 9 10 36
10
Maroons logoMaroons
28 8 11 9 35
11
URA logoURA
28 4 15 9 27
12
Mbarara City logoMbarara City
28 5 9 14 24
13
Lugazi logoLugazi
28 5 9 14 24
14
UPDF logoUPDF ★
28 5 6 17 21
15
Calvary logoCalvary ★
28 3 8 17 17
16
Buhimba Saints logoBuhimba Saints
27 4 3 20 15
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