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Eredivisie

Heerenveen vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie 17.05.2026 · 12:30 Abe Lenstra Stadion Referee: J. Kooij
Heerenveen emblem
Heerenveen
D
L
W
W
L
vs
– : –
17 May · 12:30
Ajax emblem
Ajax
D
L
D
W
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.09

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Heerenveen
45%
Draw
45%
Ajax

Form Comparison

■ Heerenveen ■ Ajax
Heerenveen
Ajax
56%
Form
44%
47%
Att
53%
46%
Def
54%
46%
Poisson distribution
54%
29%
H2h
71%
33%
Goals
67%
43%
Total
57%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
01.11.2025
Ajax vs Heerenveen
1 — 1
19.01.2025
Heerenveen vs Ajax
0 — 2
11.08.2024
Ajax vs Heerenveen
1 — 0
11.02.2024
Heerenveen vs Ajax
3 — 2
05.11.2023
Ajax vs Heerenveen
4 — 1
12.03.2023
Heerenveen vs Ajax
2 — 4
10.09.2022
Ajax vs Heerenveen
5 — 0
11.05.2022
Ajax vs Heerenveen
5 — 0
16.10.2021
Heerenveen vs Ajax
0 — 2

Last Matches

Heerenveen
Ajax
17.05.2026
Heerenveen vs Ajax
0 — 0
11.05.2026
NAC Breda vs Heerenveen
0 — 2
03.05.2026
FC Volendam vs Heerenveen
2 — 0
25.04.2026
Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard
2 — 1
12.04.2026
AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen
0 — 3
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Heerenveen
A. van Axel Dongen, L. Smans, M. Rivera
Ajax
J. Sutalo, K. Fitz-Jim, O. Edvardsen, O. Wijndal, O. Zinchenko, V. Jaros

As the Eredivisie season draws to a close, an intriguing encounter awaits us at the Abe Lenstra Stadion, where Heerenveen will host Ajax. With both teams having their sights set on ending the season on a high, this fixture promises to be an exciting clash. Heerenveen, currently seventh in the league, will face off against fourth-placed Ajax in what could be a thrilling contest with plenty at stake for both sides.

Heerenveen's Home Fortress

Heerenveen has been in impressive form at home, winning their last five matches. With an average of three goals scored per game at home and conceding just one, they have made their stadium a fortress. Their recent performances include a dominant 4-1 victory over Heracles and a solid 2-1 win against Fortuna Sittard, showcasing their attacking prowess. The team will be boosted by the fact that they have no injuries or suspensions heading into this match, allowing them to field their strongest squad against Ajax.

Ajax's Balanced Approach

Ajax, though positioned higher in the league, has shown a mix of results in their recent fixtures. With two wins and two draws in their last five outings, Ajax has maintained a consistent performance level. Their away form has been particularly noteworthy, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per game. Despite facing no injuries or suspensions, Ajax will need to address their occasional defensive lapses if they are to secure all three points against a resilient Heerenveen side. Ajax's previous encounters with Heerenveen have seen them come out on top in three of the last five meetings, which could give them a psychological edge.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Given the attacking form of both teams and their recent head-to-head encounters, this match is likely to see goals from both sides. The prediction leans towards a match where both teams find the back of the net. Heerenveen's strong home record and Ajax's efficient away performances suggest an open game, with each side having plenty of opportunities to score. Therefore, the most probable outcome is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," with a confidence score of 8, as both teams have shown a propensity for scoring and conceding in their recent games. Additional predictions include a high probability of "Total:Over: 2.5" goals, given both teams' average goals per game. Betting on "1X" could also be considered due to Heerenveen's formidable home form. Finally, with Ajax's solid away defense, a close contest with "Total:Under: 3.0" might also hold value.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have been scoring and conceding in recent matches, and Heerenveen's strong home form combined with Ajax's solid away performance suggests both teams are likely to score.

3.09
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
1X
65%
Total:Under: 3.0
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Heerenveen vs Ajax
Pin-UP
W13.25
X4.10
W21.93
William Hill
W13.10
X3.80
W21.95
Bet365
W13.40
X4.10
W21.95
Marathonbet
W13.20
X3.96
W21.97
Unibet
W13.30
X4.00
W21.91
Betfair
W13.10
X4.10
W21.95
BetVictor
W13.25
X4.20
W22.00
Pinnacle
W13.18
X4.16
W22.06
SBO
W13.08
X3.88
W21.98
1xBet
W13.36
X4.16
W21.98
Betano
W13.30
X4.15
W21.98
888Sport
W13.10
X3.80
W21.95
Dafabet
W13.25
X4.20
W22.02

Eredivisie Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
PSV Eindhoven logoPSV Eindhoven
34 27 3 4 84
2
Feyenoord logoFeyenoord
34 19 8 7 65
3
NEC Nijmegen logoNEC Nijmegen
34 16 11 7 59
4
Twente logoTwente
34 15 13 6 58
5
Ajax logoAjax ★
34 14 14 6 56
6
Utrecht logoUtrecht
34 15 8 11 53
7
AZ Alkmaar logoAZ Alkmaar
34 14 10 10 52
8
Heerenveen logoHeerenveen ★
34 14 9 11 51
9
Groningen logoGroningen
34 14 6 14 48
10
Sparta Rotterdam logoSparta Rotterdam
34 12 7 15 43
11
Fortuna Sittard logoFortuna Sittard
34 11 6 17 39
12
GO Ahead Eagles logoGO Ahead Eagles
34 8 14 12 38
13
Excelsior logoExcelsior
34 10 8 16 38
14
Telstar logoTelstar
34 9 10 15 37
15
PEC Zwolle logoPEC Zwolle
34 9 10 15 37
16
FC Volendam logoFC Volendam
34 8 8 18 32
17
NAC Breda logoNAC Breda
34 6 11 17 29
18
Heracles logoHeracles
34 5 4 25 19
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