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Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 17.05.2026 · 12:30 Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel Referee: A. Lindhout
Sparta Rotterdam emblem
Sparta Rotterdam
L
L
D
L
L
vs
– : –
17 May · 12:30
Excelsior emblem
Excelsior
W
D
W
W
D
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.06

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Sparta Rotterdam
45%
Draw
45%
Excelsior

Form Comparison

■ Sparta Rotterdam ■ Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
20%
Form
80%
21%
Att
79%
37%
Def
63%
49%
Poisson distribution
51%
80%
H2h
20%
69%
Goals
31%
46%
Total
54%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
14.09.2025
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
0 — 1
17.02.2024
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
4 — 2
01.10.2023
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
2 — 1
05.03.2023
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
1 — 4
14.01.2023
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
1 — 0
31.07.2021
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
0 — 3
21.01.2018
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
2 — 3
21.10.2017
Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam
1 — 1
07.04.2017
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
2 — 3

Last Matches

Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
17.05.2026
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
2 — 3
10.05.2026
Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam
0 — 4
03.05.2026
Sparta Rotterdam vs GO Ahead Eagles
2 — 2
22.04.2026
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam
1 — 4
11.04.2026
Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven
0 — 2
W: 0 · D: 1 · L: 4

Injuries and Suspensions

Sparta Rotterdam
A. Roaldsoy, B. Martins Indi, L. Martes, M. Kleijn
Excelsior
M. Jonathans, S. Henderikx

As the Eredivisie season draws to a close, Sparta Rotterdam plays host to Excelsior in what promises to be an intriguing match-up at the Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel. Both teams are eager to finish their campaigns on a high note, with Sparta currently holding the 9th position in the league while Excelsior is battling at 14th. With both sides relatively safe from relegation, this fixture provides an opportunity to showcase their talents and end the season positively.

Sparta Rotterdam: Finding Consistency at Home

Sparta Rotterdam's season has been a story of fluctuating fortunes, particularly in their recent outings. In their last five matches, they have managed just one win, alongside two draws and two losses. However, their home form offers some encouragement, having secured a win, three draws, and one loss in their last five encounters at Het Kasteel. With an average of 1.20 goals scored and conceded per game at home, Sparta's performances have been balanced, albeit lacking in clinical finishing at times. Fortunately for the home side, they do not have any players missing due to injuries or suspensions, allowing them to field a full-strength squad in this fixture.

Excelsior: Aiming to Capitalize on Recent Momentum

Excelsior, on the other hand, has shown glimpses of attacking prowess, particularly evident in their recent matches where they have averaged 2.20 goals per game. Despite their lower league standing, Excelsior's recent results include a confident 5-0 victory against Utrecht and a thrilling 3-2 win over Groningen. Their away form has been less convincing, with one win, two draws, and two losses in the last five outings. Like their opponents, Excelsior is also free from injuries and suspensions, allowing them to field their preferred lineup as they look to exploit Sparta's defensive vulnerabilities.

Prediction: Goals Expected at Het Kasteel

Given the recent form and statistical trends of both teams, the upcoming match between Sparta Rotterdam and Excelsior is likely to be an open affair with multiple goal-scoring opportunities. Sparta's home advantage and Excelsior's recent attacking form suggest that goals are on the cards. The head-to-head history also supports this, with high-scoring encounters in the past meetings between these clubs. Therefore, the most probable betting event is "Total: Over 2.5" goals, as both teams have shown a tendency to both score and concede goals in recent matches. With neither side missing key players, and considering their recent performances, this prediction appears to offer good value.

In addition to the main prediction, there are several other betting opportunities worth considering. Given Sparta's slightly stronger historical performance against Excelsior, a "1X" result could be favorable. Additionally, with both teams having shown defensive frailties, "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes" also seems plausible. Considering Excelsior's goal-scoring form, "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" is another viable option, while "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" reflects Sparta's ability to find the net at home. These predictions, combined with the main betting event, paint a picture of a competitive and entertaining match to close out the season.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5

Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals recently, supported by high-scoring past encounters.

3.06
Odds
1X
70%
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior
Pin-UP
W11.97
X4.00
W23.20
William Hill
W12.00
X3.50
W23.20
Bet365
W12.00
X3.80
W23.40
Marathonbet
W12.02
X3.72
W23.24
Unibet
W11.91
X3.85
W23.45
Betfair
W11.95
X3.80
W23.30
BetVictor
W12.00
X4.00
W23.30
Pinnacle
W12.08
X3.93
W23.29
SBO
W11.99
X3.68
W23.19
1xBet
W12.01
X3.85
W23.52
Betano
W12.07
X3.80
W23.30
888Sport
W11.95
X3.60
W23.30
Dafabet
W12.05
X4.00
W23.35

Eredivisie Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
PSV Eindhoven logoPSV Eindhoven
34 27 3 4 84
2
Feyenoord logoFeyenoord
34 19 8 7 65
3
NEC Nijmegen logoNEC Nijmegen
34 16 11 7 59
4
Twente logoTwente
34 15 13 6 58
5
Ajax logoAjax
34 14 14 6 56
6
Utrecht logoUtrecht
34 15 8 11 53
7
AZ Alkmaar logoAZ Alkmaar
34 14 10 10 52
8
Heerenveen logoHeerenveen
34 14 9 11 51
9
Groningen logoGroningen
34 14 6 14 48
10
Sparta Rotterdam logoSparta Rotterdam ★
34 12 7 15 43
11
Fortuna Sittard logoFortuna Sittard
34 11 6 17 39
12
GO Ahead Eagles logoGO Ahead Eagles
34 8 14 12 38
13
Excelsior logoExcelsior ★
34 10 8 16 38
14
Telstar logoTelstar
34 9 10 15 37
15
PEC Zwolle logoPEC Zwolle
34 9 10 15 37
16
FC Volendam logoFC Volendam
34 8 8 18 32
17
NAC Breda logoNAC Breda
34 6 11 17 29
18
Heracles logoHeracles
34 5 4 25 19
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