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FKF Premier League

Mathare United vs APS Bomet Prediction

FKF Premier League 09.05.2026 · 10:00
Mathare United emblem
Mathare United
D
L
W
D
L
vs
– : –
09 May · 10:00
APS Bomet emblem
APS Bomet
W
W
W
W
D
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: No
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Mathare United
45%
Draw
45%
APS Bomet

Form Comparison

■ Mathare United ■ APS Bomet
Mathare United
APS Bomet
28%
Form
72%
50%
Att
50%
0%
Def
100%
50%
Poisson distribution
50%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
46%
Total
54%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
09.11.2025
APS Bomet vs Mathare United
1 — 1

Last Matches

Mathare United
APS Bomet
02.05.2026
Sofapaka vs Mathare United
2 — 2
25.04.2026
Mathare United vs Nairobi United
1 — 2
18.04.2026
Mathare United vs Bidco United
3 — 0
14.04.2026
Mathare United vs Police
0 — 0
04.04.2026
Homeboyz vs Mathare United
0 — 3
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

As Mathare United prepares to face APS Bomet in their upcoming FKF Premier League clash, both teams find themselves in the middle of the league table, with just two positions separating them. Scheduled for May 9, this match promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides looking to assert themselves and climb higher in the standings. With neither team reporting any injuries or suspensions, both managers will have the luxury of selecting from a full squad, which could play a significant role in determining the outcome.

Mathare United's Unpredictable Home Form

Mathare United, currently sitting in 12th position, have shown a mixed bag of results in their recent fixtures. Their last five outings have yielded a win, a draw, and three losses, with their most notable victory being a resounding 3-0 triumph over Bidco United. At home, Mathare has been relatively stronger, registering two wins and a draw in their last five home games, while averaging 1.60 goals scored and conceding only 0.80. However, their inconsistency is further highlighted by a 3-0 home defeat to Homeboyz, indicating that their defensive solidity can be breached.

APS Bomet's Defensive Fortitude

APS Bomet, placed 14th, have been a tough nut to crack in recent outings. Their last five games have seen them remain unbeaten, with victories over Sofapaka, Posta Rangers FC, and Ulinzi Stars. Impressively, they have not conceded a single goal in these matches, showcasing a defensive resilience that has been key to their upward movement in the league. Away from home, APS Bomet have secured two wins and two draws in their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.00 goal per game while conceding just 0.40. This solid away form positions them as a formidable opponent for Mathare.

Prediction: A Tactical Battle Awaits

Given the current form and statistical trends, this match is expected to be a closely contested affair. Mathare United's home advantage is counterbalanced by APS Bomet's robust defense and ability to perform on the road. A significant factor could be APS Bomet's recent record of clean sheets, which suggests that Mathare might struggle to find the net. Therefore, the most likely betting event is "All: Both Teams to Score: No," with a confidence score of 8. This prediction stems from APS Bomet's defensive strength coupled with Mathare's inconsistent attacking displays. Additional potential outcomes include a low-scoring affair, with "Total: Under 2.5" and "Total: Under 2.0" being probable scenarios. APS Bomet could also edge this encounter, making "X2" and "Win 2" viable options to consider.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: No

APS Bomet's recent defensive record and Mathare's inconsistent attack make it likely that at least one team will fail to score.

Total:Under: 2.5
75%
Total:Under: 2.0
65%
X2
60%
Win 2
55%

FKF Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
GOR Mahia logoGOR Mahia
30 19 7 4 64
2
AFC Leopards logoAFC Leopards
29 16 7 6 55
3
Police logoPolice
30 13 12 5 51
4
Nairobi United logoNairobi United
30 13 9 8 48
5
Homeboyz logoHomeboyz
30 12 11 7 47
6
Shabana logoShabana
29 13 8 8 47
7
KCB logoKCB
30 11 8 11 41
8
Tusker logoTusker
30 12 5 13 41
9
Mara Sugar logoMara Sugar
29 9 13 7 40
10
Bandari logoBandari
30 8 16 6 40
11
Murang'a SEAL logoMurang'a SEAL
30 10 8 12 38
12
Mathare United logoMathare United ★
30 9 8 13 35
13
APS Bomet logoAPS Bomet ★
30 8 10 12 34
14
Posta Rangers FC logoPosta Rangers FC
30 7 12 11 33
15
Ulinzi Stars logoUlinzi Stars
29 8 7 14 31
16
Kariobangi Sharks logoKariobangi Sharks
30 6 12 12 30
17
Bidco United logoBidco United
30 4 12 14 24
18
Sofapaka logoSofapaka
30 3 9 18 18
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