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V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction

J1 League 06.05.2026 · 04:00 Peace Stadium Referee: Hiroyuki Kimura, Japan
V-varen Nagasaki emblem
V-varen Nagasaki
L
W
D
L
L
vs
– : –
06 May · 04:00
Fagiano Okayama emblem
Fagiano Okayama
W
D
W
D
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
2.83

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
V-varen Nagasaki
45%
Draw
45%
Fagiano Okayama

Form Comparison

■ V-varen Nagasaki ■ Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
25%
Form
75%
33%
Att
67%
53%
Def
47%
41%
Poisson distribution
59%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
42%
Total
58%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
21.03.2026
Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki
0 — 1
29.09.2024
Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki
1 — 0
12.05.2024
V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama
0 — 0
16.07.2023
Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki
2 — 2
17.05.2023
V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama
0 — 0
17.09.2022
Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki
3 — 0
29.05.2022
V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama
0 — 0
28.11.2021
V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama
0 — 1
23.05.2021
Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki
0 — 1
11.11.2020
V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama
5 — 0

Last Matches

V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
03.05.2026
V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus
1 — 2
29.04.2026
Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen Nagasaki
2 — 1
25.04.2026
V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka
1 — 1
18.04.2026
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs V-varen Nagasaki
0 — 2
11.04.2026
Avispa Fukuoka vs V-varen Nagasaki
0 — 1
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

As the J1 League gears up for another thrilling encounter, V-varen Nagasaki will host Fagiano Okayama at the Peace Stadium on May 6, 2026. Both teams are looking to assert their dominance and secure crucial points in a league season that has already showcased a fair share of surprises. With recent performances being a mixed bag for both sides, this match promises to deliver an intriguing battle.

V-varen Nagasaki will be stepping onto their home turf with a determination to turn around their recent form. Having secured only one win in their last five matches, where they managed to beat Fagiano Okayama 1-0 away, V-varen Nagasaki have struggled to find consistency. Their recent home form has been patchy, with two wins and three losses, and they have averaged 0.80 goals scored per match while conceding 1.20. Despite these challenges, the team has no injuries or suspensions to worry about, allowing them to field their strongest squad.

Fagiano Okayama, on the other hand, enters this match with a slightly better goal-scoring record, averaging 1.20 goals per game in their last five outings. However, their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 2.40 goals per match. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with just one win and four losses, and they have conceded an average of 2.00 goals while scoring 1.40. Similar to their opponents, Fagiano Okayama have no injury or suspension issues, enabling them to put forth a full-strength lineup.

Prediction for this clash hinges on recent trends and head-to-head statistics. The last encounter saw V-varen Nagasaki narrowly securing a 1-0 victory over Fagiano Okayama, a result that might give them a psychological edge. Despite V-varen Nagasaki's struggles in front of goal, Fagiano Okayama's leaky defense could offer opportunities for the hosts. Therefore, the most likely outcome could be a low-scoring affair with both teams finding the net. The main prediction is that both teams will score, considering Okayama's scoring ability and Nagasaki's home advantage, combined with Okayama's defensive vulnerabilities. This event is given a confidence score of 7. Additionally, given the patterns in both teams' performances, expect a close match with a draw as a probable outcome, alongside a few goals scored, but not exceeding three in total.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Fagiano Okayama's defensive issues and V-varen Nagasaki's home advantage suggest that both teams could find the net.

2.83
Odds
X
30%
Total:Under: 3.0
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
55%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama
Pin-UP
W12.45
X3.25
W22.80
William Hill
W12.40
X3.00
W22.90
Bet365
W12.50
X3.20
W22.88
Marathonbet
W12.43
X3.15
W22.91
Unibet
W12.45
X3.15
W22.80
Betfair
W12.38
X3.10
W22.75
Pinnacle
W12.47
X3.22
W22.99
1xBet
W12.45
X3.15
W22.92
Betano
W12.42
X3.15
W22.92
Dafabet
W12.50
X3.25
W22.90

J1 League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Kashima logoKashima
14 11 0 3 34
2
FC Tokyo logoFC Tokyo
14 11 0 3 32
3
Machida Zelvia logoMachida Zelvia
13 9 0 4 25
4
Tokyo Verdy logoTokyo Verdy
13 9 0 4 24
5
Kawasaki Frontale logoKawasaki Frontale
14 7 0 7 20
6
Urawa logoUrawa
14 5 0 9 18
7
Mito Hollyhock logoMito Hollyhock
14 6 0 8 18
8
Yokohama F. Marinos logoYokohama F. Marinos
14 5 0 9 16
9
Kashiwa Reysol logoKashiwa Reysol
14 4 0 10 11
10
JEF United Chiba logoJEF United Chiba
14 2 0 12 9
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