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Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

La Liga 14.05.2026 · 17:00 Estadio de Mestalla Referee: A. Quintero
Valencia emblem
Valencia
W
D
W
L
W
vs
– : –
14 May · 17:00
Rayo Vallecano emblem
Rayo Vallecano
W
D
D
W
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.90

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
Valencia
35%
Draw
30%
Rayo Vallecano

Form Comparison

■ Valencia ■ Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
47%
Form
53%
36%
Att
64%
58%
Def
42%
61%
Poisson distribution
39%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
50%
Total
50%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
01.12.2025
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
1 — 1
19.04.2025
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
1 — 1
07.12.2024
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
0 — 1
12.05.2024
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
0 — 0
19.12.2023
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
0 — 1
03.04.2023
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
1 — 1
10.09.2022
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
2 — 1
11.04.2022
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
1 — 1
27.11.2021
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
1 — 1

Last Matches

Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
17.05.2026
Real Sociedad vs Valencia
4 — 3
14.05.2026
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
1 — 1
10.05.2026
Athletic Club vs Valencia
1 — 0
02.05.2026
Valencia vs Atletico Madrid
0 — 2
25.04.2026
Valencia vs Girona
2 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Valencia
D. Foulquier, J. Copete, L. Beltran, M. Diakhaby
Rayo Vallecano
A. Garcia, D. Mendez, I. Akhomach, Luiz Felipe
I. Palazon

As the La Liga season approaches its climax, Valencia will host Rayo Vallecano at the iconic Estadio de Mestalla on May 14th. Both teams are nestled in the middle of the table, with only a single point separating them, which promises an engaging contest as each side aims to climb higher in the standings. The meeting between these two clubs could be pivotal in defining their season's success and setting a positive tone for the future.

Valencia's Struggles and Strengths at Home

Valencia currently finds itself in 12th place, striving to finish the season on a high note. Recent performances have been somewhat erratic, with the team securing only two wins in their last five matches. At home, however, Valencia has demonstrated a more formidable presence, having won three of their last five encounters at the Mestalla. They average 1.60 goals per game on home turf, which is a testament to their attacking potential when playing in front of their supporters. However, their defensive record mirrors this, conceding an average of 1.60 goals per game at home, indicating vulnerabilities that Rayo Vallecano may look to exploit. Notably, Valencia will have a full squad available, as there are no reported injuries or suspensions affecting their lineup.

Rayo Vallecano's Upward Momentum

Rayo Vallecano, sitting just above Valencia in 11th position, has shown signs of resilience and determination in their recent outings. The visitors have managed to secure two wins in their last five games, including a notable 2-0 victory against Getafe. Their scoring prowess is highlighted by an average of 1.60 goals per match over this period. However, their away form presents a mixed picture, with two wins and three losses. They have scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.60 goals per game away from home. Despite these challenges, Rayo Vallecano remains a team capable of springing surprises, particularly given their robust home form. Like Valencia, they are free from injury and suspension woes, allowing them to field their strongest squad.

Prediction: A Balanced Encounter with Goals

Given the current form and statistics of both teams, this match has the potential to be a tightly contested affair with opportunities at both ends. Valencia's relatively strong home form contrasts with Rayo Vallecano's inconsistent away performances, yet both teams have shown a tendency to find the back of the net. The head-to-head record further suggests a balanced matchup, with three of the last five encounters ending in a draw. This pattern, coupled with their goal-scoring capabilities, points towards a match where both teams are likely to score. Therefore, the prediction leans towards both teams finding the net, given their scoring and conceding trends. This scenario not only aligns with their recent form but also reflects the competitive nature of their past encounters.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals in recent matches, and their head-to-head history includes multiple draws with both teams scoring.

2.90
Odds
1X
65%
Total:Over: 2.0
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
Pin-UP
W12.24
X3.00
W23.45
William Hill
W12.20
X3.00
W23.50
Bet365
W12.20
X3.10
W23.60
Marathonbet
W12.20
X3.15
W23.84
Unibet
W12.23
X3.10
W23.55
Betfair
W12.20
X3.00
W23.60
BetVictor
W12.20
X3.10
W23.60
Pinnacle
W12.28
X3.14
W23.69
SBO
W12.19
X3.01
W23.46
1xBet
W12.24
X3.20
W23.90
Betano
W12.25
X3.00
W23.70
888Sport
W12.20
X3.00
W23.50
Dafabet
W12.22
X3.45
W23.35

La Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Barcelona logoBarcelona
38 31 1 6 94
2
Real Madrid logoReal Madrid
38 27 5 6 86
3
Villarreal logoVillarreal
38 22 6 10 72
4
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid
38 21 6 11 69
5
Real Betis logoReal Betis
38 15 15 8 60
6
Celta Vigo logoCelta Vigo
38 14 12 12 54
7
Getafe logoGetafe
38 15 6 17 51
8
Rayo Vallecano logoRayo Vallecano ★
38 12 14 12 50
9
Valencia logoValencia ★
38 13 10 15 49
10
Real Sociedad logoReal Sociedad
38 11 13 14 46
11
Espanyol logoEspanyol
38 12 10 16 46
12
Athletic Club logoAthletic Club
38 13 6 19 45
13
Sevilla logoSevilla
38 12 7 19 43
14
Alaves logoAlaves
38 11 10 17 43
15
Elche logoElche
38 10 13 15 43
16
Levante logoLevante
38 11 9 18 42
17
Osasuna logoOsasuna
38 11 9 18 42
18
Mallorca logoMallorca
38 11 9 18 42
19
Girona logoGirona
38 9 14 15 41
20
Oviedo logoOviedo
38 6 11 21 29
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