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CF Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction

Liga MX 10.05.2026 · 23:00 Estadio Miguel Hidalgo Referee: Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce, Mexico
CF Pachuca emblem
CF Pachuca
W
L
L
W
W
vs
– : –
10 May · 23:00
Toluca emblem
Toluca
L
W
L
L
D
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
CF Pachuca
45%
Draw
45%
Toluca

Form Comparison

■ CF Pachuca ■ Toluca
CF Pachuca
Toluca
69%
Form
31%
53%
Att
47%
50%
Def
50%
38%
Poisson distribution
62%
36%
H2h
64%
47%
Goals
53%
49%
Total
51%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
22.03.2026
CF Pachuca vs Toluca
1 — 1
27.10.2025
Toluca vs CF Pachuca
2 — 2
29.03.2025
Toluca vs CF Pachuca
3 — 2
18.09.2024
CF Pachuca vs Toluca
2 — 2
31.03.2024
CF Pachuca vs Toluca
2 — 3
03.09.2023
Toluca vs CF Pachuca
5 — 0
20.02.2023
CF Pachuca vs Toluca
1 — 2
31.10.2022
CF Pachuca vs Toluca
3 — 1
28.10.2022
Toluca vs CF Pachuca
1 — 5
28.08.2022
Toluca vs CF Pachuca
1 — 4

Last Matches

CF Pachuca
Toluca
04.05.2026
Toluca vs CF Pachuca
1 — 0
25.04.2026
CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0 — 2
23.04.2026
Club Tijuana vs CF Pachuca
1 — 3
19.04.2026
Monterrey vs CF Pachuca
3 — 1
12.04.2026
CF Pachuca vs Santos Laguna
4 — 2
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

As the Liga MX season progresses, CF Pachuca and Toluca find themselves in a pivotal clash at the Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. Both teams are sitting in the top half of the table, with Pachuca in fourth place and Toluca just a notch below in fifth. This encounter promises to be a thrilling contest with significant implications for both sides as they push for higher league standings.

CF Pachuca's Recent Form and Home Advantage

CF Pachuca comes into this match with an impressive attacking record, having scored an average of 2.00 goals per game in their last five outings. Despite a recent hiccup against U.N.A.M. - Pumas and a defeat at Club Tijuana, they have shown their prowess, particularly in a 3-1 victory over Monterrey and a 4-2 triumph against Santos Laguna. Their home form is strong, with three wins in their last five matches at the Estadio Miguel Hidalgo, where they have averaged 1.80 goals scored per game while conceding 1.40. Importantly, CF Pachuca will have their full squad available as there are no injuries or suspensions to deal with.

Toluca's Battle on the Road

Toluca's season has been a tale of two halves; while their home form is robust, their performance on the road has been less convincing. With just one win in their last five away games and an average of 2.00 goals conceded per match, they face a challenging task in Pachuca. Nonetheless, their attacking capabilities remain intact, with an average of 1.60 goals scored away from home. Recent performances have seen them engage in high-scoring affairs, including a 4-1 demolition of Leon at home and a narrow 4-3 loss to Mazatlán. Like Pachuca, Toluca enters the match with no injury or suspension worries, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

Prediction: Expect a High-Scoring Affair

Given both teams' attacking prowess and occasional defensive frailties, this match is likely to produce goals. Historically, encounters between CF Pachuca and Toluca have been closely contested, often resulting in draws or narrow victories. The most probable outcome seems to be a high-scoring draw, aligning with their head-to-head history that includes several 2-2 stalemates. With both teams fully fit and evenly matched, the prediction leans towards "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes" as the main betting event, backed by their recent statistics and mutual goal-scoring form. Confidence in this prediction is high, given the consistent goal-scoring displays from both sides.

Additionally, considering the league positions and recent results, expect CF Pachuca to show resilience at home, making a "1X" double chance a viable option. Other potential outcomes include "Total:Over: 2.5" due to the attacking capabilities of both squads, while "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" for Pachuca reflects their solid home scoring record. Lastly, "Total Team 2 Over: 1" for Toluca acknowledges their ability to find the net away from home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown strong attacking form and have consistently scored in recent matches. Previous head-to-head results also indicate a tendency for both teams to score.

1X
65%
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
55%

Liga MX Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas logoU.N.A.M. - Pumas
17 10 6 1 36
2
Guadalajara Chivas logoGuadalajara Chivas
17 11 3 3 36
3
Cruz Azul logoCruz Azul
17 9 6 2 33
4
CF Pachuca logoCF Pachuca ★
17 9 4 4 31
5
Toluca logoToluca ★
17 8 6 3 30
6
Atlas logoAtlas
17 7 5 5 26
7
Tigres UANL logoTigres UANL
17 7 4 6 25
8
Club America logoClub America
17 7 4 6 25
9
Club Tijuana logoClub Tijuana
17 5 8 4 23
10
Leon logoLeon
17 7 1 9 22
11
Club Queretaro logoClub Queretaro
17 4 8 5 20
12
FC Juarez logoFC Juarez
17 5 4 8 19
13
Monterrey logoMonterrey
17 5 3 9 18
14
Atletico San Luis logoAtletico San Luis
17 5 3 9 18
15
Necaxa logoNecaxa
17 5 3 9 18
16
Mazatlán logoMazatlán
17 4 3 10 15
17
Puebla logoPuebla
17 3 4 10 13
18
Santos Laguna logoSantos Laguna
17 3 3 11 12
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