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Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction

Liga MX 22.03.2026 · 23:00 Estadio Miguel Hidalgo Referee: Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle, Mexico
Pachuca emblem
Pachuca
D
W
W
L
W
vs
– : –
22 Mar · 23:00
Toluca emblem
Toluca
D
W
W
W
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.08

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Pachuca
45%
Draw
45%
Toluca

Form Comparison

■ Pachuca ■ Toluca
Pachuca
Toluca
43%
Form
57%
37%
Att
63%
44%
Def
56%
33%
Poisson distribution
67%
15%
H2h
85%
35%
Goals
65%
35%
Total
66%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
27.10.2025
Toluca vs Pachuca
2 — 2
29.03.2025
Toluca vs Pachuca
3 — 2
18.09.2024
Pachuca vs Toluca
2 — 2
31.03.2024
Pachuca vs Toluca
2 — 3
03.09.2023
Toluca vs Pachuca
5 — 0
20.02.2023
Pachuca vs Toluca
1 — 2
31.10.2022
Pachuca vs Toluca
3 — 1
28.10.2022
Toluca vs Pachuca
1 — 5
28.08.2022
Toluca vs Pachuca
1 — 4
13.03.2022
Toluca vs Pachuca
0 — 3

Last Matches

Pachuca
Toluca
14.03.2026
Atletico San Luis vs Pachuca
1 — 1
08.03.2026
Pachuca vs Puebla
2 — 1
04.03.2026
Pachuca vs Necaxa
2 — 1
28.02.2026
Mazatlán vs Pachuca
0 — 1
21.02.2026
Tigres UANL vs Pachuca
2 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Pachuca VS Toluca Prediction

As the Liga MX season heats up, Pachuca and Toluca are set to face off in a crucial encounter at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo on March 22. Both teams are in the upper echelons of the league table, making this match not only a battle for points but also a potential preview of playoff intensity. With Pachuca in fourth place and Toluca sitting just above them in second, the stakes are high, and the fans are in for a treat.

Pachuca's Solid Home Form

Pachuca has been in impressive form, especially when playing at home. With four wins and a draw in their last five home matches, they have turned Estadio Miguel Hidalgo into a fortress. Their attacking prowess is evident as they have averaged 1.80 goals per match at home while maintaining a solid defense, conceding just 0.60 goals on average. This strong home performance is complemented by an overall recent record that includes victories over Puebla, Necaxa, and Atlas, showcasing their ability to score and control games. Pachuca will have a full squad available, as there are no injuries or suspensions, which means they can field their strongest lineup against Toluca.

Toluca's Impressive Run

Toluca has been in scintillating form, both home and away. They are unbeaten in their last five matches, with an impressive away record that includes three wins and two draws. Their attacking unit has been prolific, averaging 2.40 goals per game over their recent fixtures, while their defense has been equally robust, conceding just 0.60 goals on average. Toluca's recent victories over FC Juarez, Guadalajara Chivas, and Club Tijuana underscore their dominance. Like Pachuca, Toluca also has the advantage of a fully fit squad, with no players sidelined due to injury or suspension.

Prediction: A Tactical Battle

Given both teams' current form, this matchup promises to be a tactical battle. The head-to-head history slightly favors Toluca, who have won three of the last five encounters, with the other two ending in draws. This suggests Toluca has an edge, particularly in high-stakes games against Pachuca. However, Pachuca's formidable home record cannot be overlooked. The prediction for this match leans towards both teams finding the back of the net, as their attacking strengths are evident. The most likely outcome is a high-energy contest with goals from both sides. Our main prediction is "All: Both Teams to Score," supported by the recent scoring trends of both teams and their attacking capabilities. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, as both teams have been consistently scoring in their recent games.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both Pachuca and Toluca have demonstrated strong attacking forms, with each team scoring consistently in recent matches.

3.08
Odds
Total:Over 2.5
70%
X2
60%
Total: Team 1 Over 1.5
55%
Total: Team 2 Over 1.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Pachuca vs Toluca
Pin-UP
W13.70
X3.65
W21.90
William Hill
W13.50
X3.25
W21.85
Bet365
W13.90
X3.60
W21.85
Marathonbet
W13.70
X3.58
W21.89
Unibet
W13.60
X3.60
W21.91
Betfair
W13.80
X3.70
W21.90
188Bet
W13.55
X3.65
W21.90
Pinnacle
W13.86
X3.66
W21.92
1xBet
W13.70
X3.58
W21.91
Betano
W13.85
X3.60
W21.95
888Sport
W13.50
X3.25
W21.85

Liga MX Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Cruz Azul logoCruz Azul
11 8 2 1 26
2
Toluca logoToluca ★
11 7 4 0 25
3
Guadalajara Chivas logoGuadalajara Chivas
10 8 0 2 24
4
Pachuca logoPachuca ★
11 6 3 2 21
5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas logoU.N.A.M. - Pumas
11 5 5 1 20
6
Tigres UANL logoTigres UANL
11 5 2 4 17
7
Club America logoClub America
11 5 2 4 17
8
Atlas logoAtlas
11 5 2 4 17
9
Monterrey logoMonterrey
11 4 2 5 14
10
Club Tijuana logoClub Tijuana
11 2 6 3 12
11
Puebla logoPuebla
11 3 3 5 12
12
Atletico San Luis logoAtletico San Luis
11 3 2 6 11
13
FC Juarez logoFC Juarez
10 3 2 5 11
14
Necaxa logoNecaxa
11 3 1 7 10
15
Leon logoLeon
10 3 1 6 10
16
Mazatlán logoMazatlán
11 3 1 7 10
17
Club Queretaro logoClub Queretaro
10 1 4 5 7
18
Santos Laguna logoSantos Laguna
11 1 2 8 5

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