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Primeira Liga

GIL Vicente vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga 11.05.2026 · 19:15 Estádio Cidade de Barcelos Referee: Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca, Portugal
GIL Vicente emblem
GIL Vicente
L
L
D
W
L
vs
– : –
11 May · 19:15
Arouca emblem
Arouca
W
W
D
L
W
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.0
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.40

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
GIL Vicente
35%
Draw
30%
Arouca

Form Comparison

■ GIL Vicente ■ Arouca
GIL Vicente
Arouca
53%
Form
47%
50%
Att
50%
64%
Def
36%
75%
Poisson distribution
25%
36%
H2h
64%
40%
Goals
60%
53%
Total
47%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
28.12.2025
Arouca vs GIL Vicente
2 — 2
10.05.2025
GIL Vicente vs Arouca
1 — 1
27.12.2024
Arouca vs GIL Vicente
1 — 1
26.04.2024
GIL Vicente vs Arouca
2 — 2
16.12.2023
Arouca vs GIL Vicente
3 — 0
05.02.2023
GIL Vicente vs Arouca
1 — 1
08.11.2022
GIL Vicente vs Arouca
1 — 4
15.08.2022
Arouca vs GIL Vicente
1 — 0
02.04.2022
Arouca vs GIL Vicente
2 — 1

Last Matches

GIL Vicente
Arouca
16.05.2026
Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente
0 — 3
11.05.2026
GIL Vicente vs Arouca
1 — 3
03.05.2026
Rio Ave vs GIL Vicente
0 — 0
27.04.2026
GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia
2 — 1
18.04.2026
GIL Vicente vs Guimaraes
0 — 1
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

As GIL Vicente prepares to host Arouca at the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, both teams are eager to capitalize on their current form in this Primeira Liga encounter. Scheduled for May 10th, this clash between two mid-table sides promises to be competitive, with GIL Vicente looking to solidify their position and Arouca aiming to climb the standings. With only a handful of games left in the season, every point counts.

GIL Vicente's Resilient Home Form

GIL Vicente has shown a mixed bag of results recently, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Notably, their home form provides a more optimistic picture, where they have secured two wins and a draw in their last five outings. Despite a hiccup against Guimaraes, they convincingly overcame AVS with a 3-0 victory. On average, GIL Vicente scores 1.60 goals per game at home while conceding 1.20 goals, indicating a solid, if not unassailable, home ground advantage. With no suspensions or injuries, their squad depth remains intact, allowing them to field their best eleven.

Arouca's Away Struggles

Arouca, positioned 11th in the league, has had a challenging time away from home, losing four of their last five away games. Their solitary away win came against Moreirense, a narrow 1-0 triumph. With an average of only 0.60 goals scored per away game and 1.40 conceded, their away performances pale in comparison to their home form. Despite this, they have managed to secure some crucial victories at home, such as the recent 3-2 win over Estoril. Like their opponents, Arouca has no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field a full-strength side as they seek to improve their away record.

Prediction: A Close Contest with Goals

The head-to-head record between GIL Vicente and Arouca reveals a penchant for draws, with four of their last five encounters ending in stalemates. This trend hints at another closely fought contest. Given GIL Vicente's stronger home form and Arouca's struggles on the road, the prediction leans towards a slight edge for the home side. However, both teams have been scoring and conceding regularly, suggesting goals could feature prominently. The most probable betting event is "Total: Over: 2.0" goals, reflecting both teams' capabilities to find the net. This prediction is supported by their recent goal-scoring trends and the absence of defensive absences. The confidence score for this event is a 7 out of 10, considering the statistical balance and the competitive nature of their past matchups.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.0

Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede, with their head-to-head record also indicating high-scoring draws.

3.40
Odds
1X
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

GIL Vicente vs Arouca
Pin-UP
W11.69
X3.70
W24.80
William Hill
W11.70
X3.60
W24.60
Bet365
W11.70
X3.80
W24.75
Marathonbet
W11.68
X3.78
W24.70
Unibet
W11.73
X3.60
W24.70
Betfair
W11.70
X3.80
W24.75
BetVictor
W11.65
X3.70
W24.60
Pinnacle
W11.72
X3.94
W24.84
SBO
W11.64
X3.61
W24.50
1xBet
W11.75
X3.93
W24.89
Betano
W11.75
X3.95
W25.00
888Sport
W11.70
X3.60
W24.60
Dafabet
W11.73
X3.95
W24.80

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
34 28 4 2 88
2
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
34 25 7 2 82
3
Benfica logoBenfica
34 23 11 0 80
4
SC Braga logoSC Braga
34 16 11 7 59
5
Famalicao logoFamalicao
34 15 11 8 56
6
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente ★
34 13 11 10 50
7
Moreirense logoMoreirense
34 12 7 15 43
8
Arouca logoArouca ★
34 12 6 16 42
9
Guimaraes logoGuimaraes
34 12 6 16 42
10
Estoril logoEstoril
34 10 9 15 39
11
Alverca logoAlverca
34 10 9 15 39
12
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
34 8 12 14 36
13
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara
34 9 9 16 36
14
Nacional logoNacional
34 9 7 18 34
15
Estrela logoEstrela
34 6 12 16 30
16
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
34 6 12 16 30
17
Tondela logoTondela
34 6 10 18 28
18
AVS logoAVS
34 3 12 19 21
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