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Primeira Liga

Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga 10.05.2026 · 16:00 Estádio de São Miguel Referee: F. Verissimo
Santa Clara emblem
Santa Clara
D
W
D
L
L
vs
– : –
10 May · 16:00
Nacional emblem
Nacional
L
W
W
L
W
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.0
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.04

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Santa Clara
45%
Draw
45%
Nacional

Form Comparison

■ Santa Clara ■ Nacional
Santa Clara
Nacional
36%
Form
64%
50%
Att
50%
31%
Def
69%
50%
Poisson distribution
50%
38%
H2h
62%
42%
Goals
58%
41%
Total
59%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
11.01.2026
Nacional vs Santa Clara
3 — 3
30.03.2025
Santa Clara vs Nacional
1 — 0
04.11.2024
Nacional vs Santa Clara
2 — 0
17.03.2024
Santa Clara vs Nacional
0 — 1
11.01.2024
Santa Clara vs Nacional
1 — 1
04.11.2023
Nacional vs Santa Clara
1 — 1
31.07.2022
Nacional vs Santa Clara
1 — 2
11.04.2021
Santa Clara vs Nacional
5 — 1
06.12.2020
Nacional vs Santa Clara
1 — 3
30.08.2020
Santa Clara vs Nacional
2 — 1

Last Matches

Santa Clara
Nacional
02.05.2026
Arouca vs Santa Clara
2 — 2
26.04.2026
Santa Clara vs SC Braga
2 — 1
18.04.2026
Casa Pia vs Santa Clara
0 — 0
11.04.2026
Santa Clara vs Rio Ave
0 — 2
03.04.2026
Sporting CP vs Santa Clara
2 — 4
W: 1 · D: 2 · L: 2

As the Primeira Liga season approaches its climax, Santa Clara and Nacional find themselves neck and neck in the league standings, both striving to secure a respectable finish. Scheduled to clash at Estádio de São Miguel, this match promises to be a tightly contested affair given their similar positions and recent performances. The upcoming encounter will see Santa Clara, positioned 13th, take on 14th-placed Nacional, with both teams eager to gain an edge over the other.

Santa Clara's Resilience at Home

Santa Clara comes into this match with a mixed bag of recent results. Their home form, however, is something they can take pride in, having secured three wins out of their last five matches at Estádio de São Miguel. Their ability to score, averaging 1.20 goals per game at home, has been a key factor, although they have also conceded an average of 1.00 goals per match in the same period. Notably, Santa Clara will be fielding a full-strength squad with no injuries or suspensions affecting their lineup. This could provide them the stability they need in this crucial fixture.

Nacional's Defensive Solidity

Nacional, on the other hand, has shown a commendable defensive record recently, conceding only 0.60 goals on average over their last five matches. Despite this, their away form has been less convincing, with only one win in their last five outings. The team has managed to score an average of 0.60 goals away from home, which highlights their struggles to find the net on the road. Similar to Santa Clara, Nacional will also have the advantage of a complete roster without any suspensions or injuries, potentially aiding them in their quest for vital points.

Prediction for a Balanced Contest

Given the current form and stats, this match is expected to be a balanced contest. Both teams have shown they can be stubborn defensively, which might lead to a cautious approach on either side. The prediction leans towards a low-scoring match, with both teams likely to focus on maintaining a solid defensive shape. The most likely betting event would be "Total:Under: 2.0," as both Santa Clara and Nacional have struggled to score freely, and their recent meetings have often been low-scoring affairs. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, considering both teams' defensive capabilities and recent statistics.

In addition to the main prediction, possible betting alternatives include "X2," given Nacional's capability to snatch points away from home, with a probability of 60%. "Total:Under: 2.5" is also plausible, given the scoring patterns, with a probability of 70%. "All: Both Teams to Score: No" might be another viable bet, reflecting Nacional's defensive solidity, with a probability of 55%. Lastly, "Total Team 1 Under: 1.5" could be considered, given Santa Clara's average scoring rate, with a probability of 65%.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.0

Both teams have shown strong defensive capabilities recently, and their previous encounters have often been low-scoring.

3.04
Odds
X2
60%
Total:Under: 2.5
70%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
55%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Santa Clara vs Nacional
Pin-UP
W11.97
X3.30
W23.85
William Hill
W12.00
X3.25
W23.70
Marathonbet
W11.98
X3.36
W23.70
Betfair
W12.00
X3.30
W23.80
Pinnacle
W11.96
X3.48
W23.94
1xBet
W12.06
X3.50
W23.85
Betano
W12.02
X3.40
W23.85

Primeira Liga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
FC Porto logoFC Porto
32 27 4 1 85
2
Benfica logoBenfica
32 22 10 0 76
3
Sporting CP logoSporting CP
31 22 7 2 73
4
SC Braga logoSC Braga
32 16 9 7 57
5
Famalicao logoFamalicao
32 14 10 8 52
6
GIL Vicente logoGIL Vicente
32 13 11 8 50
7
Guimaraes logoGuimaraes
31 12 6 13 42
8
Moreirense logoMoreirense
32 12 6 14 42
9
Estoril logoEstoril
32 10 8 14 38
10
Alverca logoAlverca
32 10 8 14 38
11
Arouca logoArouca
32 10 6 16 36
12
Rio Ave logoRio Ave
32 8 11 13 35
13
Santa Clara logoSanta Clara ★
32 8 9 15 33
14
Nacional logoNacional ★
32 8 7 17 31
15
Estrela logoEstrela
32 6 10 16 28
16
Casa Pia logoCasa Pia
32 5 11 16 26
17
Tondela logoTondela
32 5 10 17 25
18
AVS logoAVS
32 2 11 19 17
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