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Serie A

Bahia vs Botafogo Prediction

Serie A 30.05.2026 · 20:30 Arena Fonte Nova Referee: Felipe Fernandes de Lima, Brazil
Bahia emblem
Bahia
D
L
L
D
D
vs
– : –
30 May · 20:30
Botafogo emblem
Botafogo
D
W
W
L
D
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.04

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
Bahia
35%
Draw
30%
Botafogo

Form Comparison

■ Bahia ■ Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
33%
Form
67%
43%
Att
57%
44%
Def
56%
52%
Poisson distribution
48%
62%
H2h
38%
57%
Goals
43%
49%
Total
52%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
02.10.2025
Botafogo vs Bahia
2 — 1
04.05.2025
Bahia vs Botafogo
1 — 0
25.08.2024
Bahia vs Botafogo
0 — 0
07.08.2024
Bahia vs Botafogo
1 — 0
31.07.2024
Botafogo vs Bahia
1 — 1
05.05.2024
Botafogo vs Bahia
1 — 2
27.08.2023
Botafogo vs Bahia
3 — 0
24.04.2023
Bahia vs Botafogo
1 — 2
08.11.2020
Bahia vs Botafogo
1 — 0
01.10.2020
Botafogo vs Bahia
1 — 2

Last Matches

Bahia
Botafogo
17.05.2026
Bahia vs Gremio
1 — 1
14.05.2026
Remo vs Bahia
1 — 2
10.05.2026
Bahia vs Cruzeiro
1 — 2
03.05.2026
Sao Paulo vs Bahia
2 — 2
25.04.2026
Bahia vs Santos
2 — 2
W: 0 · D: 3 · L: 2

As the Serie A season heats up, fans are eagerly anticipating the clash between Bahia and Botafogo at the Arena Fonte Nova on May 30th. Both teams find themselves in the middle of the league table, with Bahia holding the 8th position and Botafogo closely trailing in 9th. With only a point separating them, this match could prove pivotal in shaping the trajectory of their respective campaigns.

Bahia's Struggles at Home

Bahia's recent form has been anything but consistent, with their last five matches yielding only one victory, two draws, and two losses. Despite their commendable league position, their home form leaves much to be desired. The team has not secured a win at the Arena Fonte Nova in their last five attempts, managing only two draws and three losses. Their attacking line has averaged 1.20 goals per game at home, but the defense has been their Achilles' heel, conceding an average of 2.00 goals. With no injuries or suspensions affecting their lineup, Bahia will need to capitalize on their strengths and tighten their defense to turn their fortunes around.

Botafogo's Strong Away Performances

In contrast, Botafogo comes into this match with a more promising run, particularly away from home. They have managed three wins, one draw, and only one loss in their last five away fixtures, scoring an impressive average of 2.20 goals per game while conceding 1.20. Their ability to perform on the road has been a key factor in their pursuit of a higher league position. Like Bahia, Botafogo will field a full-strength squad, as they too have no players sidelined due to injuries or suspensions. Their recent head-to-head record against Bahia includes a win, a draw, and a loss, indicating that this encounter could be closely contested.

Prediction and Expected Match Dynamics

Given the current form and statistical trends, the prediction for this match suggests a closely fought battle with goals likely for both sides. Botafogo's superior form, especially away from home, could give them the edge. However, Bahia's determination to secure a home win might see them put up a strong fight. The most probable betting event would be "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," driven by Bahia's defensive vulnerabilities and Botafogo's attacking prowess. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, reflecting the likelihood of both teams finding the back of the net. Additionally, with Botafogo's tendency to score more goals, markets such as "Total:Over: 2.5" and "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5" also present valuable opportunities. With both teams having something to prove, this match promises to be an intriguing spectacle for supporters and neutrals alike.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense and capability in attack, making it likely that both will score.

3.04
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
65%
X
50%
1X
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Bahia vs Botafogo
Pin-UP
W11.97
X3.45
W23.70
William Hill
W11.95
X3.30
W23.60
Bet365
W11.95
X3.40
W23.75
Marathonbet
W11.99
X3.44
W23.58
Unibet
W11.92
X3.50
W23.90
Betfair
W11.95
X3.60
W23.50
1xBet
W12.05
X3.54
W23.68
Betano
W12.02
X3.45
W23.85
888Sport
W11.95
X3.30
W23.60
Dafabet
W12.00
X3.45
W23.70

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
17 11 5 1 38
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
16 9 4 3 31
3
Fluminense logoFluminense
17 9 3 5 30
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
17 8 3 6 27
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
17 8 2 7 26
6
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
17 7 4 6 25
7
Coritiba logoCoritiba
16 6 5 5 23
8
Bahia logoBahia ★
15 6 5 4 23
9
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
17 6 5 6 23
10
Botafogo logoBotafogo ★
16 6 4 6 22
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
16 6 4 6 22
12
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
17 6 3 8 21
13
Internacional logoInternacional
17 5 6 6 21
14
Gremio logoGremio
17 5 6 6 21
15
Corinthians logoCorinthians
17 5 6 6 21
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
17 5 5 7 20
17
Santos logoSantos
17 4 6 7 18
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
16 4 4 8 16
19
Remo logoRemo
17 3 6 8 15
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
16 1 6 9 9
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