Home Today Tomorrow Weekend Week
Serie A

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A 10.05.2026 · 21:30 Neo Quimica Arena Referee: J. Vitor Gobi
Corinthians emblem
Corinthians
L
W
W
W
D
vs
– : –
10 May · 21:30
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
D
D
W
W
L
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.92

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Corinthians
45%
Draw
45%
Sao Paulo

Form Comparison

■ Corinthians ■ Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
42%
Form
58%
22%
Att
78%
60%
Def
40%
44%
Poisson distribution
56%
29%
H2h
71%
38%
Goals
63%
39%
Total
61%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.01.2026
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
1 — 1
20.11.2025
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
3 — 1
20.07.2025
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
2 — 0
26.01.2025
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
3 — 1
29.09.2024
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
3 — 1
16.06.2024
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
2 — 2
30.01.2024
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
1 — 2
30.09.2023
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
2 — 1
16.08.2023
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
2 — 0
26.07.2023
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1

Last Matches

Corinthians
Sao Paulo
03.05.2026
Mirassol vs Corinthians
1 — 2
01.05.2026
Corinthians vs Penarol
2 — 0
26.04.2026
Corinthians vs Vasco DA Gama
1 — 0
22.04.2026
Barra vs Corinthians
1 — 0
18.04.2026
Vitoria vs Corinthians
0 — 0
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

As the Brazilian Serie A season progresses, fans are set for another thrilling encounter as Corinthians host Sao Paulo at the Neo Quimica Arena on May 10, 2026. This match promises to be a fascinating battle between two teams with contrasting fortunes in the league standings. While Corinthians are looking to climb up from the 14th position, Sao Paulo is vying to consolidate their spot in the top four.

Corinthians' Recent Resurgence at Home

Corinthians have shown a commendable resurgence in their recent games, particularly at home, where they have secured three wins in their last five outings, drawing once and losing just once. Their defense has been particularly impressive, only conceding an average of 0.20 goals per game at home. Offensively, they have averaged 1.00 goals per match in their last five home fixtures. Furthermore, Corinthians have not reported any injuries or suspensions, which means they can field their strongest squad against Sao Paulo. This continuity could prove crucial as they aim to upset their higher-ranked opponents.

Sao Paulo's Quest for Consistency

Sao Paulo, on the other hand, has been performing well overall but has struggled to find consistency on the road. Although they have managed a respectable fourth-place position in the league, their away form reveals vulnerabilities, with only one win from their last five away matches, alongside two draws and two losses. They've scored an average of 0.60 goals while conceding 1.00 goals per game away from home over this period. Despite these challenges, Sao Paulo has no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their preferred lineup, which could be pivotal in addressing their away form issues.

Prediction: A Cagey Affair on the Cards

Given the recent performances and statistical trends, this match might not see a flurry of goals. Both teams have demonstrated solid defensive capabilities recently, with Corinthians yet to concede in their last five matches, while Sao Paulo has kept things tight at the back, conceding an average of just 0.40 goals per game over the same number of fixtures. Therefore, the prediction leans towards a low-scoring encounter. The most likely outcome appears to be under 2.5 total goals in this match, given both teams' recent defensive strengths and relatively modest scoring records. This prediction comes with a confidence score of 8, as both teams' recent results suggest a cautious approach to this fixture. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams failing to score appears high, making "Both Teams to Score: No" another plausible scenario.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5

Both teams have strong recent defensive records and relatively low average goals scored, suggesting a low-scoring game.

2.92
Odds
1X
60%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
75%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
Pin-UP
W12.16
X3.10
W23.50
William Hill
W12.15
X2.90
W23.50
Bet365
W12.15
X3.00
W23.50
Marathonbet
W12.16
X3.02
W23.60
Unibet
W12.35
X3.20
W23.05
Betfair
W12.10
X3.10
W23.50
BetVictor
W12.15
X3.10
W23.50
Pinnacle
W12.18
X3.11
W23.73
1xBet
W12.22
X3.10
W23.70
Betano
W12.22
X3.15
W23.60
Dafabet
W12.17
X3.10
W23.60

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
14 10 3 1 33
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
13 8 3 2 27
3
Fluminense logoFluminense
14 8 2 4 26
4
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
14 7 3 4 24
5
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
14 7 2 5 23
6
Bahia logoBahia
13 6 4 3 22
7
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
14 6 2 6 20
8
Coritiba logoCoritiba
14 5 4 5 19
9
Vitoria logoVitoria
13 5 3 5 18
10
Botafogo logoBotafogo
13 5 2 6 17
11
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
14 5 2 7 17
12
Internacional logoInternacional
14 4 5 5 17
13
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
14 4 5 5 17
14
Gremio logoGremio
14 4 5 5 17
15
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
14 4 4 6 16
16
Santos logoSantos
14 3 6 5 15
17
Corinthians logoCorinthians ★
14 3 6 5 15
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
13 3 3 7 12
19
Remo logoRemo
14 2 5 7 11
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
13 1 5 7 8
Recommended Match Predictions
Get Today's Best Predictions
AI-powered analysis across 50+ leagues. Free forever.
Start Now