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Serie A

Atletico-MG vs Mirassol Prediction

Serie A 16.05.2026 · 21:30 MRV Arena Referee: L. Casagrande
Atletico-MG emblem
Atletico-MG
W
L
D
D
W
vs
– : –
16 May · 21:30
Mirassol emblem
Mirassol
W
L
W
D
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.00

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Atletico-MG
45%
Draw
45%
Mirassol

Form Comparison

■ Atletico-MG ■ Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
36%
Form
64%
40%
Att
60%
40%
Def
60%
49%
Poisson distribution
51%
80%
H2h
20%
60%
Goals
40%
51%
Total
49%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
28.09.2025
Atletico-MG vs Mirassol
1 — 0
26.04.2025
Mirassol vs Atletico-MG
2 — 2

Last Matches

Atletico-MG
Mirassol
16.05.2026
Atletico-MG vs Mirassol
3 — 1
14.05.2026
Ceara vs Atletico-MG
1 — 2
10.05.2026
Atletico-MG vs Botafogo
1 — 1
05.05.2026
Juventud vs Atletico-MG
2 — 2
03.05.2026
Cruzeiro vs Atletico-MG
3 — 1
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Atletico-MG
Gustavo Scarpa, Patrick Silva, Victor Hugo
Mirassol
Andre Luis, Igor Formiga, Negueba

As the Serie A season progresses, Atletico-MG prepares to host Mirassol at the MRV Arena in a match that promises to be full of intrigue. With both teams having contrasting seasons, this encounter on May 16th could be pivotal for their respective campaigns. Atletico-MG, currently sitting mid-table, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Mirassol, struggling near the relegation zone, aim to turn their fortunes around.

Atletico-MG: Seeking Home Comforts Atletico-MG enters this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results. They have shown a strong home form, securing four wins in their last five home matches, despite a heavy defeat to Flamengo. This home resilience is evident in their average of 1.40 goals scored per game at home, matching their goals conceded. In their last five matches across all venues, Atletico-MG scored an average of 1.40 goals but also conceded 1.80, highlighting a defense that can be breached. Fortunately, they have no injury or suspension concerns, allowing coach Cuca to field his strongest side.

Mirassol: Battling Against the Odds Mirassol, occupying 18th place, find themselves in a precarious position. Despite a challenging league campaign, they have shown glimpses of potential, with recent wins against LDU de Quito and Corinthians. Their away form, however, has been less impressive, with only one win in their last five away matches. Mirassol's average of 1.00 goal scored away from home, coupled with 1.60 conceded, suggests vulnerabilities that Atletico-MG could exploit. Nevertheless, Mirassol boasts a recent head-to-head draw with Atletico-MG, which may provide a psychological boost. Like their hosts, they have no injuries or suspensions to contend with.

Prediction: Expect a Tight Contest Given Atletico-MG's solid home form and Mirassol's struggles on the road, this match leans slightly in favor of the home team. However, the prediction here is not straightforward. Both teams have been part of games with varied goal counts recently. The most likely betting event is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," as both Atletico-MG and Mirassol have shown the ability to find the net, coupled with defensive frailties. This prediction comes with a confidence score of 7, reflecting the evenly matched nature of the teams. Additionally, the game might see over 2.0 goals, considering the average goals both teams have been involved in. With both teams aiming to improve their standings, expect a competitive encounter that could see goals at both ends.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have averaged over a goal per game recently and have defensive vulnerabilities, making it likely both will score.

3.00
Odds
Total:Over: 2.0
65%
1X
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
60%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Atletico-MG vs Mirassol
Pin-UP
W12.00
X3.40
W23.60
William Hill
W12.00
X3.10
W23.60
Bet365
W12.05
X3.30
W23.75
Marathonbet
W12.02
X3.26
W23.70
Unibet
W12.05
X3.30
W23.65
Betfair
W12.00
X3.30
W23.60
BetVictor
W12.05
X3.30
W23.70
Pinnacle
W12.08
X3.43
W23.84
SBO
W12.06
X3.01
W23.21
1xBet
W12.08
X3.36
W23.80
Betano
W12.05
X3.50
W23.65
888Sport
W12.00
X3.10
W23.60
Dafabet
W12.09
X3.40
W23.75

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
17 11 5 1 38
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
16 9 4 3 31
3
Fluminense logoFluminense
17 9 3 5 30
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
17 8 3 6 27
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
17 8 2 7 26
6
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
17 7 4 6 25
7
Coritiba logoCoritiba
16 6 5 5 23
8
Bahia logoBahia
15 6 5 4 23
9
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
17 6 5 6 23
10
Botafogo logoBotafogo
16 6 4 6 22
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
16 6 4 6 22
12
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG ★
17 6 3 8 21
13
Internacional logoInternacional
17 5 6 6 21
14
Gremio logoGremio
17 5 6 6 21
15
Corinthians logoCorinthians
17 5 6 6 21
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
17 5 5 7 20
17
Santos logoSantos
17 4 6 7 18
18
Mirassol logoMirassol ★
16 4 4 8 16
19
Remo logoRemo
17 3 6 8 15
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
16 1 6 9 9
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