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Serie A

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A 16.05.2026 · 22:00 Estádio do Maracanã Referee: W. Sampaio
Fluminense emblem
Fluminense
W
W
W
D
D
vs
– : –
16 May · 22:00
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
D
L
L
L
D
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.37

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Fluminense
45%
Draw
10%
Sao Paulo

Form Comparison

■ Fluminense ■ Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
64%
Form
36%
57%
Att
43%
50%
Def
50%
62%
Poisson distribution
38%
60%
H2h
40%
69%
Goals
31%
60%
Total
40%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
27.11.2025
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
6 — 0
27.07.2025
Sao Paulo vs Fluminense
3 — 1
01.09.2024
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
2 — 0
13.05.2024
Sao Paulo vs Fluminense
2 — 1
23.11.2023
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
01.07.2023
Sao Paulo vs Fluminense
1 — 0
05.11.2022
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
3 — 1
17.07.2022
Sao Paulo vs Fluminense
2 — 2
12.09.2021
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1

Last Matches

Fluminense
Sao Paulo
19.05.2026
Fluminense vs Bolívar
2 — 1
16.05.2026
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1
13.05.2026
Fluminense vs Operario-PR
2 — 1
09.05.2026
Fluminense vs Vitoria
2 — 2
07.05.2026
Independ. Rivadavia vs Fluminense
1 — 1
W: 3 · D: 2 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Fluminense
Alisson, Martinelli, Matheus Reis
Sao Paulo
A. Franco, Jonathan Calleri, Lucas Moura, Luciano, Maik, Marcos Antonio, Pablo Maia, R. Toloi, Robert Arboleda

As Fluminense prepares to face Sao Paulo on May 16, 2026, the Serie A match promises to be a captivating encounter between two teams in close league positions. Fluminense, currently third in the league, will host Sao Paulo, who sits just one place behind them in fourth. This match will be crucial for both teams as they strive to solidify their standings in the upper echelons of the table.

Fluminense's Resilience at Home

Fluminense comes into this match with mixed recent form, having secured only one victory in their last five outings. Despite a challenging period, they have managed to maintain a solid home record, with three wins out of their last five home matches. On average, they score 1.60 goals per game at home while conceding 1.20, indicating a generally strong offensive performance in front of their fans. Notably, Fluminense has no injury or suspension concerns, ensuring that they can field their strongest lineup against Sao Paulo.

Sao Paulo's Defensive Strength

Sao Paulo has shown solid form recently, particularly in their defensive play. Over the last five matches, they have conceded just 0.40 goals per game, showcasing their ability to keep opponents at bay. However, their away form has been less impressive, with only one win in the last five away fixtures. Offensively, they have struggled to find the back of the net on the road, averaging just 0.40 goals per game. Nevertheless, they have no players sidelined due to injuries or suspensions, which could provide them with a tactical advantage.

Prediction and Betting Insights

Given the current form and historical head-to-head results, this match is likely to be a tightly contested affair. Fluminense has a slight edge in recent head-to-head encounters, having won three of the last five meetings against Sao Paulo. With both teams displaying defensive solidity, the most probable betting event is a low-scoring match. The prediction for this match is Total:Under: 2.5, supported by both teams' recent scoring averages and Sao Paulo's defensive record. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, highlighting its likelihood. Additionally, a goalless draw or a narrow victory for either side seems plausible, making markets like X, Total:Under: 2.0, and Total Team 1 Under: 1.5 worth considering.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5

Both teams have low scoring averages and Sao Paulo's solid defense suggests a low-scoring match.

3.37
Odds
X
30%
Total:Under: 2.0
40%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
60%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
Pin-UP
W11.72
X3.60
W24.80
William Hill
W11.70
X3.40
W24.60
Bet365
W11.73
X3.70
W24.75
Marathonbet
W11.72
X3.52
W24.85
Unibet
W11.73
X3.65
W24.75
Betfair
W11.65
X3.40
W25.00
BetVictor
W11.73
X3.60
W24.80
Pinnacle
W11.75
X3.60
W25.35
SBO
W11.71
X3.50
W24.61
1xBet
W11.81
X3.80
W24.65
Betano
W11.78
X3.80
W25.10
888Sport
W11.70
X3.40
W24.60
Dafabet
W11.75
X3.75
W24.90

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
17 11 5 1 38
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
16 9 4 3 31
3
Fluminense logoFluminense ★
17 9 3 5 30
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
17 8 3 6 27
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
17 8 2 7 26
6
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
17 7 4 6 25
7
Coritiba logoCoritiba
16 6 5 5 23
8
Bahia logoBahia
15 6 5 4 23
9
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
17 6 5 6 23
10
Botafogo logoBotafogo
16 6 4 6 22
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
16 6 4 6 22
12
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
17 6 3 8 21
13
Internacional logoInternacional
17 5 6 6 21
14
Gremio logoGremio
17 5 6 6 21
15
Corinthians logoCorinthians
17 5 6 6 21
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
17 5 5 7 20
17
Santos logoSantos
17 4 6 7 18
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
16 4 4 8 16
19
Remo logoRemo
17 3 6 8 15
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
16 1 6 9 9
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