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Serie A

Gremio vs Corinthians Prediction

Serie A 30.05.2026 · 20:30 Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil
Gremio emblem
Gremio
W
W
D
W
L
vs
– : –
30 May · 20:30
Corinthians emblem
Corinthians
W
D
L
W
W
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.85

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
Gremio
35%
Draw
30%
Corinthians

Form Comparison

■ Gremio ■ Corinthians
Gremio
Corinthians
47%
Form
53%
42%
Att
58%
64%
Def
36%
68%
Poisson distribution
32%
25%
H2h
75%
14%
Goals
86%
43%
Total
57%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
02.11.2025
Corinthians vs Gremio
2 — 0
12.06.2025
Gremio vs Corinthians
1 — 1
08.12.2024
Gremio vs Corinthians
0 — 3
08.08.2024
Gremio vs Corinthians
0 — 0
01.08.2024
Corinthians vs Gremio
0 — 0
25.07.2024
Corinthians vs Gremio
2 — 2
12.11.2023
Gremio vs Corinthians
0 — 1
19.09.2023
Corinthians vs Gremio
4 — 4
05.12.2021
Corinthians vs Gremio
1 — 1
29.08.2021
Gremio vs Corinthians
0 — 1

Last Matches

Gremio
Corinthians
23.05.2026
Gremio vs Santos
3 — 2
21.05.2026
Gremio vs Palestino
2 — 0
17.05.2026
Bahia vs Gremio
1 — 1
14.05.2026
Confiança vs Gremio
3 — 0
10.05.2026
Gremio vs Flamengo
0 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

As the Serie A season progresses, Gremio and Corinthians are set to clash on May 30, 2026, at an as-yet undisclosed stadium. Both teams find themselves in the lower half of the table, making this match crucial for their respective campaigns. While Gremio currently sits in 15th place, two spots above Corinthians, the pressure is mounting for both sides to secure valuable points.

Gremio's Recent Form and Home Performance

Gremio comes into this match with a renewed sense of confidence, having secured three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. Notably, their away form has been impressive, as they remain unbeaten with two wins and three draws. At home, Gremio has shown resilience with four wins and just one defeat, averaging 1.20 goals scored and a mere 0.20 goals conceded. This defensive solidity at home could play a pivotal role in their strategy against Corinthians. Fortunately for Gremio, they have no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest possible lineup.

Corinthians' Challenges and Away Struggles

Corinthians, on the other hand, have experienced a mixed bag of results lately. With just one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches, their form has been inconsistent. Their away performance has been particularly worrisome, having conceded an average of 1.20 goals per match and scoring only 0.80. Despite this, Corinthians have displayed some attacking prowess at home, where they have been undefeated in their last five games. Like Gremio, Corinthians do not have any players sidelined due to injury or suspension, which gives them a chance to turn things around on the road.

Prediction and Strategic Insights

Considering the recent form and statistical trends, this match promises to be a closely contested affair. Gremio's strong defensive record at home and Corinthians' struggles on the road suggest that Gremio might have a slight edge. However, the head-to-head record between these two teams shows Corinthians with a favorable history, having won three of the last five encounters. The prediction for this match leans towards a low-scoring affair, with Gremio's home defense likely to limit Corinthians' chances. Therefore, the most probable betting event is "Total:Under: 2.5" goals, given Gremio's solid defense and Corinthians' trouble in scoring away from home.

In terms of additional betting options, a draw could also be on the cards, considering both teams' recent performances and their head-to-head history. The likelihood of both teams finding the back of the net is moderate, given their average scoring records. Gremio's home advantage might see them scoring at least once, while Corinthians will aim to break their away goal-scoring duck.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5

Gremio's strong home defense and Corinthians' struggles in away games suggest a low-scoring match.

2.85
Odds
X
35%
Total:Under: 3.0
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Gremio vs Corinthians
Pin-UP
W12.34
X3.05
W23.15
William Hill
W12.30
X3.00
W23.00
Bet365
W12.40
X3.20
W23.00
Marathonbet
W12.36
X3.05
W23.12
Unibet
W12.32
X3.15
W23.15
Betfair
W12.30
X3.10
W23.00
BetVictor
W12.38
X3.10
W23.00
Pinnacle
W12.42
X3.12
W23.17
1xBet
W12.43
X3.14
W23.22
Betano
W12.42
X3.05
W23.25
888Sport
W12.30
X3.00
W23.00
Dafabet
W12.37
X3.20
W23.10

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
17 11 5 1 38
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
16 9 4 3 31
3
Fluminense logoFluminense
17 9 3 5 30
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
17 8 3 6 27
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
17 8 2 7 26
6
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
17 7 4 6 25
7
Coritiba logoCoritiba
16 6 5 5 23
8
Bahia logoBahia
15 6 5 4 23
9
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
17 6 5 6 23
10
Botafogo logoBotafogo
16 6 4 6 22
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
16 6 4 6 22
12
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
17 6 3 8 21
13
Internacional logoInternacional
17 5 6 6 21
14
Gremio logoGremio ★
17 5 6 6 21
15
Corinthians logoCorinthians ★
17 5 6 6 21
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
17 5 5 7 20
17
Santos logoSantos
17 4 6 7 18
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
16 4 4 8 16
19
Remo logoRemo
17 3 6 8 15
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
16 1 6 9 9
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