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Serie A

Gremio vs Santos Prediction

Serie A 23.05.2026 · 22:00 Arena do Grêmio Referee: Bruno Arleu de Araujo, Brazil
Gremio emblem
Gremio
W
W
D
W
L
vs
– : –
23 May · 22:00
Santos emblem
Santos
L
D
L
W
W
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.0
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
2.95

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Gremio
45%
Draw
10%
Santos

Form Comparison

■ Gremio ■ Santos
Gremio
Santos
50%
Form
50%
22%
Att
78%
69%
Def
31%
67%
Poisson distribution
33%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
51%
Total
49%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
02.10.2025
Santos vs Gremio
1 — 1
04.05.2025
Gremio vs Santos
1 — 0
20.08.2023
Santos vs Gremio
2 — 1
16.04.2023
Gremio vs Santos
1 — 0
10.10.2021
Santos vs Gremio
1 — 0
25.06.2021
Gremio vs Santos
2 — 2
03.02.2021
Gremio vs Santos
3 — 3
16.12.2020
Santos vs Gremio
4 — 1
09.12.2020
Gremio vs Santos
1 — 1

Last Matches

Gremio
Santos
23.05.2026
Gremio vs Santos
3 — 2
21.05.2026
Gremio vs Palestino
2 — 0
17.05.2026
Bahia vs Gremio
1 — 1
14.05.2026
Confiança vs Gremio
3 — 0
10.05.2026
Gremio vs Flamengo
0 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Gremio
Andre Henrique, Fabian Balbuena, Gabriel Mec, Gustavo Martins, J. Nardoni, Marlon, Pedro Gabriel
Santos
A. Barreal, B. Rollheiser, Gabriel Menino, Joao Schmidt, Neymar, Thaciano, Vinicius Lira
A. Barreal

As Serie A continues to unfold, Gremio and Santos are set to clash in what promises to be a captivating encounter. Scheduled for May 23rd, this match sees Gremio hosting at an undisclosed venue, eager to climb out of the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Santos seeks to improve their mid-table standing with a solid away performance.

Gremio's Resilience and Recent Form

Currently positioned 17th in the league, Gremio has shown resilience in their recent performances. Despite their struggle in the standings, Gremio has managed to secure three wins and two draws in their last five matches across all competitions. Their defensive solidity is evident, conceding just 0.20 goals per game on average during this period. At home, Gremio has been relatively strong, winning three of their last five matches with a tight defense that has allowed only 0.20 goals per match. Notably, Gremio has no injured or suspended players, allowing them to field their strongest lineup against Santos.

Santos' Consistent Away Performances

Santos, sitting 15th in the league, arrives at this fixture with a consistent record. They have remained unbeaten in their last five matches, clinching two wins and three draws. Their ability to score, averaging 1.40 goals per match, has been balanced with a solid defense that concedes just 0.60 goals on average. Santos has been particularly noteworthy on the road, where they have not lost in their last five outings, securing one win and four draws. With no players reported injured or suspended, Santos will be optimistic about continuing their unbeaten away streak.

Prediction for a Balanced Encounter

Given the recent form and head-to-head results, this match is likely to be a tight contest. Both teams have demonstrated defensive solidity, with Gremio's home record and Santos' away form suggesting a cautious approach. Historically, matches between these two have been closely contested, with the last five encounters resulting in two wins for each side and one draw. The prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair, with both defenses set to play pivotal roles. The most probable outcome is a draw, potentially with few goals, as both teams will look to avoid defeat rather than risk an all-out attack.

For betting enthusiasts, the main prediction is "Total:Under: 2.0" based on both teams' strong defensive records and the likelihood of a cautious approach. With a Confidence Score of 7, this outcome seems the most probable given the context of the match. Additionally, expect "X" with a 40% probability, "Total:Under: 2.5" at 60%, "All: Both Teams to Score: No" with 55%, and "Total Team 1 Under: 1.5" at 65% probability. These predictions align with the expectation of a closely contested match with limited scoring opportunities.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.0

Both teams have shown strong defensive records recently, and their head-to-head history suggests a low-scoring affair.

2.95
Odds
X
40%
Total:Under: 2.5
60%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
55%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Gremio vs Santos
Pin-UP
W12.10
X3.25
W23.50
William Hill
W12.15
X3.00
W23.30
Bet365
W12.20
X3.20
W23.50
Marathonbet
W12.14
X3.22
W23.40
Unibet
W12.12
X3.25
W23.50
Betfair
W12.15
X3.10
W23.40
BetVictor
W12.15
X3.25
W23.40
Pinnacle
W12.20
X3.34
W23.56
SBO
W12.20
X3.11
W23.20
1xBet
W12.20
X3.31
W23.50
Betano
W12.18
X3.30
W23.50
Superbet
W12.20
X3.25
W23.45
888Sport
W12.15
X3.00
W23.30
Dafabet
W12.23
X3.30
W23.45

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
17 11 5 1 38
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
16 9 4 3 31
3
Fluminense logoFluminense
17 9 3 5 30
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
17 8 3 6 27
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
17 8 2 7 26
6
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
17 7 4 6 25
7
Coritiba logoCoritiba
16 6 5 5 23
8
Bahia logoBahia
15 6 5 4 23
9
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
17 6 5 6 23
10
Botafogo logoBotafogo
16 6 4 6 22
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
16 6 4 6 22
12
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
17 6 3 8 21
13
Internacional logoInternacional
17 5 6 6 21
14
Gremio logoGremio ★
17 5 6 6 21
15
Corinthians logoCorinthians
17 5 6 6 21
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
17 5 5 7 20
17
Santos logoSantos ★
17 4 6 7 18
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
16 4 4 8 16
19
Remo logoRemo
17 3 6 8 15
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
16 1 6 9 9
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