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Serie A

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Serie A 17.05.2026 · 00:00 Allianz Parque Referee: S. Sampaio
Palmeiras emblem
Palmeiras
L
D
W
D
W
vs
– : –
17 May · 00:00
Cruzeiro emblem
Cruzeiro
D
D
W
W
D
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.20

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Palmeiras
45%
Draw
10%
Cruzeiro

Form Comparison

■ Palmeiras ■ Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
43%
Form
57%
33%
Att
67%
71%
Def
29%
81%
Poisson distribution
19%
62%
H2h
38%
60%
Goals
40%
58%
Total
42%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
26.10.2025
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro
0 — 0
01.06.2025
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras
2 — 1
05.12.2024
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras
1 — 2
21.07.2024
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro
2 — 0
07.12.2023
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras
1 — 1
14.08.2023
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro
1 — 0
08.12.2019
Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras
0 — 2
14.09.2019
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro
1 — 0
30.09.2018
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro
3 — 1

Last Matches

Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
21.05.2026
Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno
0 — 1
17.05.2026
Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro
1 — 1
14.05.2026
Jacuipense vs Palmeiras
4 — 1
10.05.2026
Remo vs Palmeiras
1 — 1
05.05.2026
Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras
2 — 0
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Palmeiras
Allan Elias, Benedetti, Bruno Fuchs, J. Piquerez, Vitor Roque
Cruzeiro
Bruno Rodrigues, Cassio, Kaua Prates, Matheus Henrique

As the Serie A season approaches its climax, Palmeiras and Cruzeiro gear up for a pivotal clash at Allianz Parque. Scheduled for May 17, 2026, this encounter pits the league leaders against a Cruzeiro side fighting to distance themselves from the lower echelons of the table. With both teams eager to claim valuable points, fans can anticipate a match rich in intensity and tactical intrigue.

Palmeiras Set to Dominate at Home

Palmeiras come into this fixture riding high at the top of the Serie A standings. Their recent form has been impressive, with a commanding 3-0 victory over Jacuipense and a solid 2-0 away win against Sporting Cristal in their last five matches. Their home form is particularly formidable, boasting four wins and a draw in their previous five home games. With no players missing due to injury or suspension, Palmeiras will be able to field their strongest lineup, which has averaged 1.80 goals per game at home while conceding just 0.60. These statistics underscore their potential to maintain their dominance in front of their fans.

Cruzeiro's Struggle for Stability

Cruzeiro find themselves in the 15th position, a precarious spot that demands improvement to avoid a potential relegation battle. Their recent matches have been a mixed bag, highlighted by a notable 1-0 victory over Boca Juniors but marred by a 3-1 defeat to rivals Atletico-MG. Cruzeiro's away form offers some hope, with two wins and two draws in their last five outings. Despite this, they have averaged only 1.00 goal per match while conceding 1.20. Similar to Palmeiras, Cruzeiro will have their full squad available as they aim to defy the odds at Allianz Parque.

Prediction: Expect Goals on Both Ends

Given the current form and squad availability, this match promises to be a competitive affair. Palmeiras' superior home record and goal-scoring prowess positions them as favorites. However, Cruzeiro's resilience on the road suggests they are capable of finding the net. The prediction leans towards both teams scoring, as Palmeiras have conceded in recent home games and Cruzeiro have the capacity to capitalize on their chances. Therefore, the most likely outcome is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," with a confidence score of 8. This betting event reflects the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams. In addition, other probable outcomes include Palmeiras securing a win, a match total of over 2.5 goals, and Palmeiras scoring at least two goals, all consistent with their recent performances.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Palmeiras' strong home scoring record and Cruzeiro's resilience on the road suggest both teams are likely to find the net.

3.20
Odds
Win 1
70%
Total:Over: 2.5
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
60%
1X
85%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro
Pin-UP
W11.81
X3.45
W24.35
William Hill
W11.80
X3.25
W24.33
Bet365
W11.85
X3.50
W24.33
Marathonbet
W11.79
X3.44
W24.50
Unibet
W11.77
X3.55
W24.60
Betfair
W11.75
X3.40
W24.60
BetVictor
W11.83
X3.50
W24.33
Pinnacle
W11.85
X3.52
W24.73
SBO
W11.84
X3.22
W24.31
1xBet
W11.84
X3.54
W24.62
Betano
W11.87
X3.65
W24.65
888Sport
W11.80
X3.25
W24.33
Dafabet
W11.87
X3.55
W24.50

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras ★
17 11 5 1 38
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
16 9 4 3 31
3
Fluminense logoFluminense
17 9 3 5 30
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
17 8 3 6 27
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
17 8 2 7 26
6
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
17 7 4 6 25
7
Coritiba logoCoritiba
16 6 5 5 23
8
Bahia logoBahia
15 6 5 4 23
9
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro ★
17 6 5 6 23
10
Botafogo logoBotafogo
16 6 4 6 22
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
16 6 4 6 22
12
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
17 6 3 8 21
13
Internacional logoInternacional
17 5 6 6 21
14
Gremio logoGremio
17 5 6 6 21
15
Corinthians logoCorinthians
17 5 6 6 21
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
17 5 5 7 20
17
Santos logoSantos
17 4 6 7 18
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
16 4 4 8 16
19
Remo logoRemo
17 3 6 8 15
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
16 1 6 9 9
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