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Serie A

Santos vs Coritiba Prediction

Serie A 17.05.2026 · 14:00 Neo Quimica Arena Referee: P. Zanovelli
Santos emblem
Santos
D
L
W
W
D
vs
– : –
17 May · 14:00
Coritiba emblem
Coritiba
W
L
D
L
L
Our Prediction
X
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.69

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Santos
45%
Draw
10%
Coritiba

Form Comparison

■ Santos ■ Coritiba
Santos
Coritiba
62%
Form
38%
53%
Att
47%
60%
Def
40%
55%
Poisson distribution
45%
93%
H2h
7%
91%
Goals
9%
69%
Total
31%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
13.05.2026
Coritiba vs Santos
0 — 2
22.04.2026
Santos vs Coritiba
0 — 0
12.11.2024
Coritiba vs Santos
0 — 2
22.07.2024
Santos vs Coritiba
4 — 0
27.10.2023
Santos vs Coritiba
2 — 1
10.06.2023
Coritiba vs Santos
0 — 0
08.08.2022
Coritiba vs Santos
1 — 2
13.05.2022
Santos vs Coritiba
3 — 0
20.04.2022
Coritiba vs Santos
1 — 0

Last Matches

Santos
Coritiba
20.05.2026
Santos vs San Lorenzo
2 — 2
17.05.2026
Santos vs Coritiba
0 — 3
13.05.2026
Coritiba vs Santos
2 — 0
10.05.2026
Santos vs RB Bragantino
2 — 0
06.05.2026
Deportivo Recoleta vs Santos
1 — 1
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Santos
Gabriel Menino, Joao Schmidt, Thaciano, Vinicius Lira
Coritiba
Joao Pedro Chermont, Keno, Lucas Ronier, Maicon, Pedro Morisco, Rodrigo Rodrigues, Tinga

As we approach the end of the Serie A season, Santos and Coritiba prepare to face off at the Estadio Urbano Caldeira. This match holds significant importance for both teams, with Santos seeking to escape the lower echelons of the league table and Coritiba aiming to solidify their position in the top half. The encounter promises intrigue, with both teams having their own set of challenges and ambitions.

Santos: Fighting to Climb the Table Santos currently sits in 16th place, just outside the relegation zone, and is under pressure to secure points. Their recent form shows a pattern of draws, with their last five matches resulting in four stalemates. At home, Santos has been relatively steady, having secured two wins, two draws, and only one loss in their last five games. They have averaged 1.2 goals per game at home, while conceding 0.8, indicating a solid defense when playing in familiar surroundings. Positively for Santos, they have a full squad available, with no injuries or suspensions impacting their lineup.

Coritiba: Consistency on the Road Needed Coritiba, on the other hand, is positioned 8th in the league, yet their away form has been less than stellar. With no wins in their last five away matches, Coritiba has managed only two draws and three losses. They have found the back of the net with an average of 0.6 goals per game on the road, while conceding 1.8, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Despite these challenges, Coritiba has a clean bill of health, with no players sidelined due to injuries or suspensions.

Prediction: A Balanced Encounter Given the current form and head-to-head history, this matchup looks likely to be a closely contested affair. Both teams have shown a tendency towards draws in recent matches, particularly Santos, who have drawn their last three games consecutively. In their previous encounter, the teams were inseparable, ending in a 0-0 draw. With both sides averaging just one goal per game in their recent outings, and considering Santos' relatively stronger home performances, a low-scoring draw appears probable. The prediction centers on the likelihood of a draw, with confidence bolstered by the statistical trends and Santos' home advantage.

For betting enthusiasts, the most likely event is a draw, given the recent form of both teams and their head-to-head record, which includes two draws in their last five meetings. Furthermore, the tendency of both teams to score and concede around one goal per game suggests a low-scoring affair. Therefore, markets such as "X" and "Total:Under: 2.5" offer value, reflecting the anticipated tight nature of the match.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X

Both teams have shown a tendency to draw in recent matches, and their last encounter ended 0-0.

3.69
Odds
Total:Under: 2.5
70%
1X
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
60%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
55%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Santos vs Coritiba
Pin-UP
W11.61
X3.55
W25.90
William Hill
W11.62
X3.40
W25.00
Bet365
W11.65
X3.75
W25.75
Marathonbet
W11.58
X3.78
W25.70
Unibet
W11.62
X3.75
W25.60
Betfair
W11.60
X3.75
W25.50
BetVictor
W11.62
X3.80
W25.50
Pinnacle
W11.64
X3.82
W26.04
SBO
W11.71
X3.47
W24.68
1xBet
W11.66
X3.82
W25.65
Betano
W11.67
X3.80
W26.10
888Sport
W11.62
X3.40
W25.00
Dafabet
W11.67
X3.85
W25.60

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
17 11 5 1 38
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
16 9 4 3 31
3
Fluminense logoFluminense
17 9 3 5 30
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
17 8 3 6 27
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
17 8 2 7 26
6
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
17 7 4 6 25
7
Coritiba logoCoritiba ★
16 6 5 5 23
8
Bahia logoBahia
15 6 5 4 23
9
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
17 6 5 6 23
10
Botafogo logoBotafogo
16 6 4 6 22
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
16 6 4 6 22
12
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
17 6 3 8 21
13
Internacional logoInternacional
17 5 6 6 21
14
Gremio logoGremio
17 5 6 6 21
15
Corinthians logoCorinthians
17 5 6 6 21
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
17 5 5 7 20
17
Santos logoSantos ★
17 4 6 7 18
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
16 4 4 8 16
19
Remo logoRemo
17 3 6 8 15
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
16 1 6 9 9
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