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Serie A

Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction

Serie A 23.05.2026 · 20:00 MorumBIS Referee: Lucas Casagrande, Brazil
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
D
D
L
L
L
vs
– : –
23 May · 20:00
Botafogo emblem
Botafogo
D
W
W
L
D
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.33

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Sao Paulo
45%
Draw
45%
Botafogo

Form Comparison

■ Sao Paulo ■ Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
33%
Form
67%
39%
Att
61%
44%
Def
56%
68%
Poisson distribution
32%
50%
H2h
50%
50%
Goals
50%
47%
Total
53%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
14.09.2025
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo
1 — 0
16.04.2025
Botafogo vs Sao Paulo
2 — 2
08.12.2024
Botafogo vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1
26.09.2024
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo
1 — 1
19.09.2024
Botafogo vs Sao Paulo
0 — 0
24.07.2024
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo
2 — 2
19.08.2023
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo
0 — 0
15.04.2023
Botafogo vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1
09.10.2022
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo
0 — 1

Last Matches

Sao Paulo
Botafogo
23.05.2026
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo
1 — 1
20.05.2026
Sao Paulo vs Millonarios
1 — 1
16.05.2026
Fluminense vs Sao Paulo
1 — 2
13.05.2026
Juventude vs Sao Paulo
1 — 3
10.05.2026
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
2 — 3
W: 0 · D: 2 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Sao Paulo
Andre Silva, D. Bobadilla, E. Diaz, Lucas Moura, Maik, Marcos Antonio, R. Toloi, Robert Arboleda
Botafogo
Alex Telles, Allan, Bastos, C. Medina, Junior Santos, Kaio Pantaleao, M. Ponte, Matheus Martins, Nathan Fernandes

As the Serie A season progresses, Sao Paulo is set to host Botafogo at the Estadio Do MorumBIS on May 23, 2026. With the hosts sitting at fourth place in the league and Botafogo occupying the 12th position, the fixture promises to be a captivating encounter. Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance and inconsistency, setting the stage for a potentially unpredictable clash.

Sao Paulo's Home Fortress

Sao Paulo has been a formidable force at home, boasting an impressive recent record of four wins and one draw in their last five home matches. They have managed to net an average of 2.00 goals per game while conceding just 0.60, showcasing a strong defense and an effective attack on their own turf. Despite a mixed bag of results in their last five overall matches, with two draws and three losses, Sao Paulo remains a tough opponent to beat at home. They will be eager to secure three points to maintain their strong league position. The team faces no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest squad.

Botafogo's Resilient Travels

Botafogo, on the other hand, has shown resilience on their travels with three wins, one draw, and just a single loss in their last five away fixtures. They have averaged an impressive 2.00 goals per game away from home, albeit conceding 1.40 goals on average. This offensive prowess could pose a significant challenge to Sao Paulo's defense. Botafogo's recent form includes a mix of results, comprising two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. As they visit Sao Paulo, they will be looking to exploit any defensive lapses and capitalize on their goal-scoring form. Like their hosts, Botafogo has no injury or suspension concerns, enabling them to field a full-strength lineup.

Prediction: Goals on the Cards

Given the attacking capabilities of both Sao Paulo and Botafogo, the prediction leans towards a high-scoring encounter. Sao Paulo's strong home performance, coupled with Botafogo's ability to score away, suggests that both teams are likely to find the back of the net. The most probable betting event is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," given their recent goal-scoring trends and the absence of key defensive absences. With Sao Paulo’s home advantage and Botafogo’s away scoring form, fans can anticipate an engaging contest. Additional betting opportunities might include Total: Over 2.5 goals, considering the offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities shown by both sides in recent matches.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both Sao Paulo and Botafogo have shown strong scoring form, with Sao Paulo averaging 2.00 goals at home and Botafogo 2.00 goals away.

3.33
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
70%
1X
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
85%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Sao Paulo vs Botafogo
Pin-UP
W11.73
X3.65
W24.60
William Hill
W11.70
X3.50
W24.50
Bet365
W11.73
X3.75
W24.75
Marathonbet
W11.73
X3.68
W24.50
Unibet
W11.73
X3.70
W24.70
Betfair
W11.70
X3.70
W24.60
BetVictor
W11.73
X3.80
W24.60
Pinnacle
W11.76
X3.83
W24.83
SBO
W11.70
X3.60
W24.48
1xBet
W11.77
X3.80
W24.68
Betano
W11.80
X3.90
W24.75
Superbet
W11.76
X3.70
W24.70
888Sport
W11.70
X3.50
W24.50
Dafabet
W11.79
X3.80
W24.60

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
17 11 5 1 38
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
16 9 4 3 31
3
Fluminense logoFluminense
17 9 3 5 30
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
17 8 3 6 27
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
17 8 2 7 26
6
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
17 7 4 6 25
7
Coritiba logoCoritiba
16 6 5 5 23
8
Bahia logoBahia
15 6 5 4 23
9
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
17 6 5 6 23
10
Botafogo logoBotafogo ★
16 6 4 6 22
11
Vitoria logoVitoria
16 6 4 6 22
12
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
17 6 3 8 21
13
Internacional logoInternacional
17 5 6 6 21
14
Gremio logoGremio
17 5 6 6 21
15
Corinthians logoCorinthians
17 5 6 6 21
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
17 5 5 7 20
17
Santos logoSantos
17 4 6 7 18
18
Mirassol logoMirassol
16 4 4 8 16
19
Remo logoRemo
17 3 6 8 15
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
16 1 6 9 9
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