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Premier League

Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction

Premier League 18.05.2026 · 19:00 Emirates Stadium Referee: P. Tierney
Arsenal emblem
Arsenal
W
W
W
D
W
vs
– : –
18 May · 19:00
Burnley emblem
Burnley
D
L
L
L
L
Our Prediction
Total Team 1 Over: 2
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
11.30

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
Arsenal
50%
Draw
0%
Burnley

Form Comparison

■ Arsenal ■ Burnley
Arsenal
Burnley
90%
Form
10%
64%
Att
36%
75%
Def
25%
87%
Poisson distribution
13%
93%
H2h
7%
92%
Goals
8%
84%
Total
17%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
01.11.2025
Burnley vs Arsenal
0 — 2
17.02.2024
Burnley vs Arsenal
0 — 5
11.11.2023
Arsenal vs Burnley
3 — 1
23.01.2022
Arsenal vs Burnley
0 — 0
18.09.2021
Burnley vs Arsenal
0 — 1
06.03.2021
Burnley vs Arsenal
1 — 1
13.12.2020
Arsenal vs Burnley
0 — 1
02.02.2020
Burnley vs Arsenal
0 — 0
17.08.2019
Arsenal vs Burnley
2 — 1
12.05.2019
Burnley vs Arsenal
1 — 3

Last Matches

Arsenal
Burnley
10.05.2026
West Ham vs Arsenal
1 — 0
05.05.2026
Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid
1 — 0
02.05.2026
Arsenal vs Fulham
3 — 0
29.04.2026
Atletico Madrid vs Arsenal
1 — 1
25.04.2026
Arsenal vs Newcastle
1 — 0
W: 4 · D: 1 · L: 0

As the Premier League season nears its climax, Arsenal are set to host Burnley at the Emirates Stadium in a match that could have significant implications at both ends of the table. Arsenal, sitting comfortably at the top, are looking to cement their league-winning status, while Burnley, languishing in the relegation zone, desperately need points to avoid the drop. This encounter promises to be a compelling battle of contrasting fortunes.

Arsenal in Commanding Form

Arsenal have been a formidable force this season, consistently showcasing their dominance both at home and abroad. Their recent form underscores their title credentials, with impressive victories over the likes of Atletico Madrid and Fulham. At home, the Gunners have been particularly resilient, allowing just 0.40 goals on average over their last five matches at the Emirates. With no injuries or suspensions to report, Mikel Arteta's side is at full strength and poised to continue their stronghold. Arsenal's potent attack, averaging 1.20 goals per game at home, will be eager to capitalize on Burnley's defensive frailties.

Burnley's Uphill Battle

Burnley find themselves in a precarious position, battling against relegation as the season draws to a close. Their recent performances have been disappointing, with four losses in their last five outings, including heavy defeats against Nottingham Forest and Fulham. Away from home, Burnley's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.60 goals per game. Despite their struggles, Burnley will draw on their fighting spirit as they attempt to overturn their fortunes. However, with no injured or suspended players, they will need to dig deep to find a way past a resolute Arsenal side.

Prediction: Arsenal's Offensive Edge

Given the current form and statistical trends, the prediction leans heavily in favor of a high-scoring affair, particularly for Arsenal. The Gunners have displayed a consistent ability to breach defenses, while Burnley's vulnerabilities at the back make them susceptible to conceding multiple goals. The most likely betting event is for Arsenal to score over 2 goals, given their attacking prowess and Burnley's defensive struggles. This is supported by a strong head-to-head record, where Arsenal have consistently outperformed Burnley in recent encounters. A confidence score of 8 reflects the high probability of Arsenal's attack thriving, while additional predictions suggest a likelihood of over 2.5 total goals in the match, with Arsenal expected to keep a clean sheet against a Burnley side that has found goals hard to come by.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total Team 1 Over: 2

Arsenal's strong attacking form and Burnley's defensive vulnerabilities suggest Arsenal will score over 2 goals.

11.30
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
75%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
70%
Win 1
80%
Total Team 2 Under: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Arsenal vs Burnley
Pin-UP
W11.09
X8.80
W224.00
William Hill
W11.10
X11.00
W223.00
Bet365
W11.09
X11.00
W219.00
Marathonbet
W11.09
X12.00
W229.00
Unibet
W11.09
X11.50
W223.00
Betfair
W11.08
X11.00
W223.00
BetVictor
W11.07
X10.00
W226.00
Pinnacle
W11.09
X12.67
W224.67
SBO
W11.07
X8.87
W215.40
1xBet
W11.10
X12.90
W231.00
Betano
W11.11
X9.00
W228.00
888Sport
W11.10
X10.00
W223.00
Dafabet
W11.10
X11.00
W226.00

Premier League Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Arsenal logoArsenal ★
36 24 7 5 79
2
Manchester City logoManchester City
36 23 8 5 77
3
Manchester United logoManchester United
36 18 11 7 65
4
Liverpool logoLiverpool
36 17 8 11 59
5
Aston Villa logoAston Villa
36 17 8 11 59
6
Bournemouth logoBournemouth
36 13 16 7 55
7
Brighton logoBrighton
36 14 11 11 53
8
Brentford logoBrentford
36 14 9 13 51
9
Chelsea logoChelsea
36 13 10 13 49
10
Everton logoEverton
36 13 10 13 49
11
Fulham logoFulham
36 14 6 16 48
12
Sunderland logoSunderland
36 12 12 12 48
13
Newcastle logoNewcastle
36 13 7 16 46
14
Leeds logoLeeds
36 10 14 12 44
15
Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace
36 11 11 14 44
16
Nottingham Forest logoNottingham Forest
36 11 10 15 43
17
Tottenham logoTottenham
36 9 11 16 38
18
West Ham logoWest Ham
36 9 9 18 36
19
Burnley logoBurnley ★
36 4 9 23 21
20
Wolves logoWolves
36 3 9 24 18
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