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Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 10.05.2026 · 14:45 Euroborg Referee: Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
Groningen emblem
Groningen
L
L
D
W
W
vs
– : –
10 May · 14:45
NEC Nijmegen emblem
NEC Nijmegen
D
D
L
D
W
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
2.95

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Groningen
45%
Draw
45%
NEC Nijmegen

Form Comparison

■ Groningen ■ NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
50%
Form
50%
53%
Att
47%
45%
Def
55%
45%
Poisson distribution
55%
20%
H2h
80%
20%
Goals
80%
39%
Total
61%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
09.11.2025
NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen
2 — 0
19.07.2025
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
1 — 2
08.02.2025
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
2 — 1
03.11.2024
NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen
6 — 0
25.04.2023
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
0 — 1
26.08.2022
NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen
1 — 1
12.03.2022
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
4 — 3
19.01.2022
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
1 — 2
31.10.2021
NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen
3 — 0
04.09.2020
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
3 — 3

Last Matches

Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
02.05.2026
Groningen vs Excelsior
2 — 3
25.04.2026
Feyenoord vs Groningen
1 — 3
11.04.2026
Groningen vs GO Ahead Eagles
0 — 0
04.04.2026
Telstar vs Groningen
2 — 0
22.03.2026
Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar
3 — 0
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

As the Eredivisie season races towards its conclusion, Groningen prepares to host NEC Nijmegen at Euroborg in what promises to be an intriguing clash. With Groningen sitting in ninth place and NEC Nijmegen enjoying a strong campaign in third, both teams will be eager to finish the season on a high note. This match could be pivotal for NEC's push for a top-three finish while Groningen looks to solidify their position in the upper half of the table.

**Groningen's Recent Resilience**

Groningen has shown resilience in recent weeks, with a mix of results reflecting a team striving for consistency. In their last five matches, they secured an impressive 3-0 victory against AZ Alkmaar and a solid 2-0 win at Telstar. However, a 3-1 defeat to Feyenoord and a goalless draw with GO Ahead Eagles indicate some unpredictability. At home, Groningen has been relatively strong, with two wins and a draw in their last five matches, conceding an average of just one goal per game. Fortunately for Groningen, they have no injury or suspension concerns heading into this fixture.

**NEC Nijmegen's Impressive Campaign**

NEC Nijmegen has enjoyed a commendable season, currently holding third place in the league. Despite a recent heavy 5-1 loss to AZ Alkmaar, they have managed to maintain a steady form with a mix of draws and wins, including a notable 2-2 draw against Heerenveen and a 2-0 win against Excelsior. NEC's away form has been solid, with two wins and two draws in their last five away matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game. Similar to Groningen, NEC enters this match without any players sidelined due to injury or suspension.

**Prediction: A Competitive Encounter with Goals**

Given the form and statistics of both teams, this encounter is likely to be competitive with a high potential for goals. Groningen's solidity at home will be tested by NEC's attacking prowess, which has been consistent even in away fixtures. Historically, NEC has had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning four of the last five encounters. This trend, combined with both teams' recent scoring patterns, suggests that "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes" is a probable outcome. With Groningen's home defense and NEC's offensive capabilities, this prediction carries a confidence score of 8. Additionally, the probability of seeing more than two goals in the match aligns with both teams' recent form and head-to-head history.

As additional predictions, the likelihood of "Total: Over: 2.5" is high, with an estimated probability of 65%, given their scoring trends. The market "Total Team 2 Over: 1" seems probable at 60%, considering NEC's ability to score on the road. A "Handicap 2: 0.5" is also a valid consideration with a 55% probability, reflecting NEC's edge in previous meetings. Lastly, "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" with a 70% probability is likely, given Groningen's scoring consistency at home.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability in recent matches, and NEC has historically scored against Groningen.

2.95
Odds
Total:Over: 2.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 1
60%
Handicap 2: 0.5
55%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
Pin-UP
W12.68
X3.90
W22.26
William Hill
W12.62
X3.60
W22.30
Marathonbet
W12.71
X3.84
W22.26
Unibet
W12.63
X3.80
W22.38
Betfair
W12.63
X3.90
W22.25
Pinnacle
W12.78
X3.96
W22.28
1xBet
W12.79
X3.95
W22.33
Betano
W12.80
X3.90
W22.30

Eredivisie Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
PSV Eindhoven logoPSV Eindhoven
32 25 3 4 78
2
Feyenoord logoFeyenoord
32 18 7 7 61
3
NEC Nijmegen logoNEC Nijmegen ★
32 15 11 6 56
4
Ajax logoAjax
32 14 13 5 55
5
Twente logoTwente
32 14 13 5 55
6
AZ Alkmaar logoAZ Alkmaar
32 14 8 10 50
7
Heerenveen logoHeerenveen
32 14 8 10 50
8
Utrecht logoUtrecht
32 13 8 11 47
9
Sparta Rotterdam logoSparta Rotterdam
32 12 7 13 43
10
Groningen logoGroningen ★
32 12 6 14 42
11
GO Ahead Eagles logoGO Ahead Eagles
32 8 14 10 38
12
PEC Zwolle logoPEC Zwolle
32 9 10 13 37
13
Fortuna Sittard logoFortuna Sittard
32 10 6 16 36
14
Excelsior logoExcelsior
32 9 7 16 34
15
Telstar logoTelstar
32 7 10 15 31
16
FC Volendam logoFC Volendam
32 8 7 17 31
17
NAC Breda logoNAC Breda
32 5 10 17 25
18
Heracles logoHeracles
32 5 4 23 19
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