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Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki Prediction

J1 League 09.05.2026 · 07:00 Yodoko Sakura Stadium Referee: H. Kasahara
Cerezo Osaka emblem
Cerezo Osaka
D
D
L
W
W
vs
– : –
09 May · 07:00
V-varen Nagasaki emblem
V-varen Nagasaki
L
W
D
L
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
Cerezo Osaka
50%
Draw
0%
V-varen Nagasaki

Form Comparison

■ Cerezo Osaka ■ V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
80%
Form
20%
67%
Att
33%
73%
Def
27%
61%
Poisson distribution
39%
80%
H2h
20%
75%
Goals
25%
73%
Total
27%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
28.02.2026
V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka
1 — 0
19.08.2018
V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka
0 — 2
05.05.2018
Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki
3 — 1
11.09.2016
Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki
2 — 0
08.06.2016
V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka
1 — 2
14.11.2015
V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka
2 — 0
17.05.2015
Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki
1 — 2

Last Matches

Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
03.05.2026
Cerezo Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka
1 — 1
29.04.2026
Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka
0 — 0
25.04.2026
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
1 — 2
18.04.2026
Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga
3 — 0
11.04.2026
Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka
1 — 0
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

As Cerezo Osaka prepares to host V-varen Nagasaki at the Yodoko Sakura Stadium, both teams find themselves looking to gain momentum in the J1 League. With the match scheduled for May 9, 2026, both sides will be eager to secure vital points as they navigate through the current season.

Cerezo Osaka: Striving for Consistency

Cerezo Osaka has experienced a mixed bag of results in their recent outings, illustrated by their record of three wins and two losses in the last five matches. Their home form has been solid, with three victories in their last five games at the Yodoko Sakura Stadium, suggesting a level of comfort on their turf. Averaging 1.20 goals per game at home while conceding just one, Cerezo has shown resilience in defense, especially in shutting out Kyoto Sanga with a convincing 3-0 victory. With no injury or suspension concerns, they aim to leverage their full squad against V-varen Nagasaki.

V-varen Nagasaki: Seeking a Turnaround

V-varen Nagasaki, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistent form, as indicated by their recent performances. With only one win and a draw in their last five fixtures, they have conceded an average of 1.60 goals per game, while managing to score just 0.60. Their away record reflects a similar pattern, with two wins and three losses, and they have been porous at the back, conceding 1.40 goals per game on the road. Despite these challenges, Nagasaki will look to bring the fight to Cerezo Osaka, aiming to replicate their past success against them, such as the 1-0 win in a previous head-to-head encounter.

Prediction: A Tight Encounter Expected

Considering the recent form and statistics, this encounter promises to be a closely contested affair. While Cerezo Osaka has shown a knack for performing well at home, V-varen Nagasaki's resilience on the road cannot be overlooked. The head-to-head history also favors Cerezo Osaka, which has secured four wins in their last five meetings against Nagasaki. Therefore, the prediction leans toward a match where both teams find the net. With a history of competitive matches and Cerezo's defensive solidity, betting on "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes" emerges as the most compelling option. The confidence score for this prediction is a 7, based on Cerezo's recent home scoring record and Nagasaki's capability to score away from home.

Additional predictions also suggest value in exploring markets such as "Total:Over: 2.5" due to the potential for goals from both sides. The probability of Cerezo Osaka scoring "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" is supported by their home form, while "Total Team 2 Under: 1.5" reflects Nagasaki's recent scoring struggles. Finally, "1X" appears a safe bet given Cerezo’s strong home performances, offering a balanced view of potential match outcomes.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Cerezo Osaka's solid home scoring record and V-varen Nagasaki's ability to score away suggest both teams will find the net.

Total:Over: 2.5
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
60%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
70%
1X
75%

J1 League Tournament Standings

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14 11 0 3 34
2
FC Tokyo logoFC Tokyo
14 11 0 3 32
3
Machida Zelvia logoMachida Zelvia
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4
Tokyo Verdy logoTokyo Verdy
13 9 0 4 24
5
Kawasaki Frontale logoKawasaki Frontale
14 7 0 7 20
6
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14 5 0 9 18
7
Mito Hollyhock logoMito Hollyhock
14 6 0 8 18
8
Yokohama F. Marinos logoYokohama F. Marinos
14 5 0 9 16
9
Kashiwa Reysol logoKashiwa Reysol
14 4 0 10 11
10
JEF United Chiba logoJEF United Chiba
14 2 0 12 9
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