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Premyer Liqa

Qabala vs Qarabag Prediction

Premyer Liqa 09.05.2026 · 13:00 Şəhər stadionu Referee: A. Aliyev
Qabala emblem
Qabala
L
D
L
L
W
vs
– : –
09 May · 13:00
Qarabag emblem
Qarabag
L
W
L
L
D
Our Prediction
Total:Over: 2.0
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Qabala
45%
Draw
45%
Qarabag

Form Comparison

■ Qabala ■ Qarabag
Qabala
Qarabag
36%
Form
64%
19%
Att
81%
50%
Def
50%
21%
Poisson distribution
79%
7%
H2h
93%
20%
Goals
80%
26%
Total
75%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
21.12.2025
Qabala vs Qarabag
1 — 2
26.09.2025
Qarabag vs Qabala
2 — 0
04.12.2024
Qabala vs Qarabag
0 — 2
20.04.2024
Qarabag vs Qabala
2 — 2
28.02.2024
Qabala vs Qarabag
0 — 4
04.12.2023
Qarabag vs Qabala
3 — 0
25.09.2023
Qabala vs Qarabag
1 — 2
08.05.2023
Qarabag vs Qabala
3 — 0
05.03.2023
Qabala vs Qarabag
1 — 3
19.12.2022
Qabala vs Qarabag
1 — 0

Last Matches

Qabala
Qarabag
03.05.2026
Zira vs Qabala
0 — 1
25.04.2026
Qabala vs Araz
1 — 1
19.04.2026
Sumqayıt vs Qabala
0 — 1
12.04.2026
Qabala vs Imisli FK
0 — 1
05.04.2026
Kapaz vs Qabala
2 — 0
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

As the Premyer Liqa season nears its conclusion, Qabala prepares to welcome Qarabag at the Şəhər stadionu. Scheduled for an early afternoon kickoff, this encounter pits two teams with contrasting recent form against each other. Qabala, struggling to find their footing, faces the daunting task of hosting a high-flying Qarabag side eager to maintain their position near the top of the table.

Qabala's Season Struggles and Home Challenges

Qabala enters this match sitting 11th in the league, a position that reflects their inconsistent performances throughout the season. Their last five matches have yielded a mixed bag of results, featuring a solitary win against Kapaz and a couple of draws, most recently against Araz. Their home form has been particularly concerning, with no wins in the last five outings at Şəhər stadionu and an average of 1.60 goals conceded per game. Despite having no players suspended or injured, Qabala's defensive vulnerabilities have been evident, allowing opponents to capitalize on their lapses.

Qarabag's Quest for Glory

In stark contrast, Qarabag find themselves in the thick of the title race, currently positioned second on the league table. However, their recent form has been somewhat erratic, with two defeats against Sabah FA and Neftchi Baku. Yet, Qarabag's attacking prowess cannot be underestimated as they boast an average of 1.40 goals scored in their last five matches. Their away record mirrors their overall form, with only one win in the last five games on the road. Still, with no injury or suspension concerns, Qarabag will look to leverage their superior head-to-head record against Qabala, having won four of their last five encounters.

Prediction: A Tactical Battle Awaits

Given the current dynamics, this match promises to be a tactical affair. Qarabag's superior league position and head-to-head record against Qabala suggest they hold the upper hand, but their recent away form indicates potential vulnerabilities. Qabala, despite their struggles, will aim to exploit any defensive frailties and secure a positive result on home soil. The prediction leans towards "Total:Over: 2.0" as the most likely outcome, supported by both teams' recent goal-scoring trends and Qarabag's historical scoring success against Qabala. This prediction carries a Confidence Score of 7, reflecting the balance between Qabala's home challenges and Qarabag's quest for consistency.

Additionally, expect the following outcomes: Qarabag to potentially secure a narrow victory, with "Win 2" holding a 60% probability. There's also a 65% chance for "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes", considering both teams' defensive records, while "Total:Over: 2.5" stands at a 55% likelihood. Lastly, "X2" carries a 70% probability, given Qarabag's upper hand in head-to-head matchups. As the teams prepare to clash, the stage is set for an intriguing encounter that could swing either way.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.0

Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals recently, and Qarabag's historical scoring success suggests a likelihood of multiple goals.

Win 2
60%
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total:Over: 2.5
55%
X2
70%

Premyer Liqa Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Sabah FA logoSabah FA
30 23 6 1 75
2
Qarabag logoQarabag ★
29 18 5 6 59
3
Turan logoTuran
29 16 8 5 56
4
Zira logoZira
30 12 13 5 49
5
Neftchi Baku logoNeftchi Baku
29 12 11 6 47
6
Araz logoAraz
30 11 7 12 40
7
Sumqayıt logoSumqayıt
30 11 5 14 38
8
Şamaxı FK logoŞamaxı FK
30 8 11 11 35
9
Imisli FK logoImisli FK
30 7 11 12 32
10
Kapaz logoKapaz
30 7 3 20 24
11
Qabala logoQabala ★
30 5 5 20 20
12
Karvan logoKarvan
29 3 5 21 14
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