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Premyer Liqa

Sumqayıt vs Araz Prediction

Premyer Liqa 09.05.2026 · 15:30 Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium Referee: E. Masiyev
Sumqayıt emblem
Sumqayıt
L
W
W
L
L
vs
– : –
09 May · 15:30
Araz emblem
Araz
L
D
L
L
L
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Sumqayıt
45%
Draw
10%
Araz

Form Comparison

■ Sumqayıt ■ Araz
Sumqayıt
Araz
86%
Form
14%
60%
Att
40%
61%
Def
39%
55%
Poisson distribution
45%
29%
H2h
71%
33%
Goals
67%
54%
Total
46%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
15.02.2026
Araz vs Sumqayıt
1 — 0
02.11.2025
Sumqayıt vs Araz
3 — 2
07.04.2025
Araz vs Sumqayıt
2 — 0
01.02.2025
Sumqayıt vs Araz
0 — 0
10.11.2024
Araz vs Sumqayıt
1 — 0
30.08.2024
Sumqayıt vs Araz
0 — 1
31.03.2024
Sumqayıt vs Araz
1 — 0
28.01.2024
Araz vs Sumqayıt
1 — 1
04.11.2023
Sumqayıt vs Araz
2 — 0
25.08.2023
Araz vs Sumqayıt
1 — 1

Last Matches

Sumqayıt
Araz
02.05.2026
Kapaz vs Sumqayıt
1 — 2
25.04.2026
Imisli FK vs Sumqayıt
2 — 0
19.04.2026
Sumqayıt vs Qabala
1 — 0
12.04.2026
Turan vs Sumqayıt
1 — 2
05.04.2026
Sumqayıt vs Neftchi Baku
1 — 3
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

As the Premyer Liqa season draws to a close, Sumqayıt and Araz are set to clash in what promises to be a thrilling encounter at the Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium. Scheduled for May 9, this match sees two mid-table teams eager to end their season on a high note. While Araz holds a slight edge in the standings, both teams have had their share of ups and downs this season, setting the stage for a competitive fixture.

Sumqayıt's Quest for Stability

Sumqayıt has experienced a rollercoaster of a season, with their recent form reflecting the inconsistency that has plagued their campaign. They currently sit 7th in the league, having managed two wins in their last five matches. A highlight was their recent 2-0 away victory against Imisli FK, showcasing their potential when on form. However, with an average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match in their last five outings, defensive frailties remain a concern. At home, their form has been less than stellar, with just one win in the last five matches, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per game while conceding 1.40. Fortunately, they have no injury or suspension worries, allowing them to field their strongest possible side against Araz.

Araz's Defensive Challenges

Araz finds themselves in 6th place, just above Sumqayıt, yet their recent results suggest they are struggling to maintain their early-season momentum. With only one win in their last five matches, they have conceded an average of 2.00 goals per game, which has been a significant factor in their mid-table position. Their recent 1-1 draw with Qabala highlighted their resilience, but losses such as the 0-3 defeat to Turan have exposed their defensive vulnerabilities. On the road, they have fared better, with two wins and a draw from their last five away games, averaging 1.00 goal scored and 1.80 conceded per match. Like Sumqayıt, Araz will benefit from a full squad, as they have no players suspended or injured for this fixture.

Prediction: A Tight Contest on the Horizon

Given the current form and historical encounters between these teams, a tightly contested match is expected. Both teams have shown they can score, yet their defensive records suggest vulnerabilities that could be exploited. The head-to-head record favors Araz slightly, having won three of their last five encounters, but Sumqayıt's home advantage might level the playing field. The most likely scenario is a match where both teams find the back of the net, making "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes" a compelling prediction. This outcome is supported by both teams' recent performances and their propensity to concede goals. With both sides eager to finish the season strongly, we anticipate an open game with opportunities for both teams.

For those looking at additional betting opportunities, consider these: the likelihood of "Total:Over: 2.5" is high given the defensive records, while "X" could be a tempting option with both teams evenly matched. The "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" and "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" markets also offer value, as both teams are capable of scoring.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense, with Sumqayıt and Araz averaging more goals conceded than scored in recent matches.

Total:Over: 2.5
65%
X
55%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Premyer Liqa Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Sabah FA logoSabah FA
30 23 6 1 75
2
Qarabag logoQarabag
29 18 5 6 59
3
Turan logoTuran
29 16 8 5 56
4
Zira logoZira
30 12 13 5 49
5
Neftchi Baku logoNeftchi Baku
29 12 11 6 47
6
Araz logoAraz ★
30 11 7 12 40
7
Sumqayıt logoSumqayıt ★
30 11 5 14 38
8
Şamaxı FK logoŞamaxı FK
30 8 11 11 35
9
Imisli FK logoImisli FK
30 7 11 12 32
10
Kapaz logoKapaz
30 7 3 20 24
11
Qabala logoQabala
30 5 5 20 20
12
Karvan logoKarvan
29 3 5 21 14
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