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AFC Champions League Elite

Al-Gharafa vs Esteghlal FC Prediction

AFC Champions League Elite 12.10.2026 · 14:15 Thani bin Jassim Stadium Referee: Ma Ning
Al-Gharafa emblem
Al-Gharafa
L
W
L
D
L
vs
– : –
12 Oct · 14:15
Esteghlal FC emblem
Esteghlal FC
D
W
W
D
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
Al-Gharafa
26%
Draw
39%
Esteghlal FC

Form Comparison

■ Al-Gharafa ■ Esteghlal FC
Al-Gharafa
Esteghlal FC
0%
Form
100%
25%
Att
75%
0%
Def
100%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
0%
H2h
100%
0%
Goals
100%
25%
Total
75%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
16.09.2024
Esteghlal FC vs Al-Gharafa
3 — 0

Last Matches

Al-Gharafa
Esteghlal FC
08.10.2026
Al Wakrah vs Al-Gharafa
2 — 3
01.10.2026
Al-Gharafa vs Al Mesaimeer
4 — 2
15.09.2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Gharafa
1 — 2
11.09.2026
Al-Gharafa vs Lusail City
0 — 0
05.09.2026
Al Sadd vs Al-Gharafa
1 — 4
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Al-Gharafa and Esteghlal FC are set to face off in an intriguing AFC Champions League Elite match at the Thani bin Jassim Stadium on October 12, 2026. Al-Gharafa, currently struggling in the Qatar Stars League, will be looking to make a strong impression against a formidable Esteghlal FC side from Iran, which is enjoying a solid domestic season.

Al-Gharafa's Recent Struggles

Al-Gharafa comes into this match sitting 9th in the Qatar Stars League, having accumulated only 4 points from their first four matches. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five outings, a 4-2 victory over Al Mesaimeer in the QSL Cup. However, they have struggled against stronger opponents, as seen in their 4-1 loss to Al Sadd and a 3-1 defeat to Al Shamal. At home, Al-Gharafa has been somewhat more competitive, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game, but their defense has been porous, conceding 1.40 goals on average. Without any current injuries or suspensions, they will be hoping to leverage their home advantage to disrupt Esteghlal FC's momentum.

Esteghlal FC's Strong Position

Esteghlal FC arrives for this clash in fine form, positioned 2nd in the Persian Gulf Pro League. With 15 points from seven matches, they are among the top 11% of teams in their league. Their recent performances include an impressive 3-0 victory over Al Sadd in the AFC Champions League Elite, showcasing their ability to handle tough opponents. Esteghlal's defense has been particularly robust, conceding only 0.20 goals per game over their last five matches. Although their away goal-scoring record is modest at 0.33 goals per match, they have remained unbeaten on the road in this period. Esteghlal will aim to maintain their defensive solidity and capitalize on any mistakes from Al-Gharafa.

Prediction: Esteghlal's Edge

In this encounter, the prediction leans towards an Esteghlal FC victory, considering their superior form and defensive strength. Esteghlal's ability to hold strong opponents at bay, combined with Al-Gharafa's defensive vulnerabilities, suggests the Iranian side is well-positioned to secure an away win. Therefore, the main prediction for this match is "Win: 2".

Additional predictions include "Total: Over 1.5", as both teams have shown the capability to score, "Both Teams to Score: Yes", considering Al-Gharafa's decent home scoring record, "Total Team 1: Over 0.5", given Al-Gharafa's average of 2.20 goals per game at home, and "Total Team 2: Over 0.5", reflecting Esteghlal's potential to find the net despite their low away scoring rate.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
75%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
80%

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