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AFC Champions League Elite

Al-Hilal Saudi FC VS Al-Gharafa: Final Score & Prediction

AFC Champions League Elite 15.09.2026 · 14:15 Kingdom Arena Referee: Y. Araki
Al-Hilal Saudi FC emblem
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
W
L
W
W
W
Full Time
2 – 1
HT 1:0
15 Sep · 14:15
Al-Gharafa emblem
Al-Gharafa
D
L
L
W
D

Match Stats

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2:1 Al-Gharafa
69%
Ball Possession
31%
13
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
0
4
Blocked Shots
5
11
Shots Inside Box
6
2
Shots Outside Box
2
14
Corners
2
0
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
9
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
552
Total Passes
251
495
Accurate Passes
202

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
Crysencio SummervilleRed Card
32'
33'
Ismaël BennacerRed Card
Rúben NevesGoal (Penalty)
45+3'
62'
Abdulrahman Al-RashidiSubstitution · Florinel Coman
Yusuf AkcicekSubstitution · Hassan Al-Tambakti
66'
Saimon BouabreSubstitution · Sultan Mandash
66'
Nasser Al-DawsariSubstitution · Moteb Al-Harbi
66'
69'
Fabricio DíazYellow Card
69'
Adam OunasSubstitution · Hassan Aladin
71'
Saifeldeen FadlallaYellow Card
Sergej Milinković-SavićGoal · Rúben Neves
72'
Mohamed Kader MeïtéSubstitution · Nawaf Al-Habashi
81'
82'
Fabricio DíazSubstitution · Mason Holgate
Sergej Milinković-SavićSubstitution · Suhayb Ayman Alzaid
90'
90+2'
Hassan AladinGoal · Ayoub Al-Oui

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
50%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
50%
Draw
0%
Al-Gharafa

Form Comparison

■ Al-Hilal Saudi FC ■ Al-Gharafa
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Gharafa
0%
Form
0%
0%
Att
0%
0%
Def
0%
0%
Poisson distribution
0%
100%
H2h
0%
83%
Goals
17%
83%
Total
17%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
03.11.2025
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1 — 2
03.12.2024
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Gharafa
3 — 0

Last Matches

Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Gharafa
12.09.2026
Al Taawon vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
6 — 0
07.09.2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM
0 — 2
04.09.2026
Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 — 0
01.09.2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 — 0
28.08.2026
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
5 — 1
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

Al-Hilal Saudi FC enters this clash with a formidable record, having scored an average of 3.40 goals per game over their last five matches. Their attacking prowess is a force to be reckoned with, as evidenced by their recent victories on the road and at home. In contrast, Al-Gharafa has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.40 goals per match in their last five outings, presenting a significant concern as they face a high-scoring opponent.

Form and Context

Al-Hilal Saudi FC currently holds the 3rd position in the league standings, showcasing a strong recent form with five consecutive victories. Their away performances have been particularly impressive, with an unbeaten streak and an average of 2.80 goals scored per match while conceding only 0.60. At home, they have been solid but slightly less dominant, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five home matches. Al-Gharafa, positioned 9th in the league, has been inconsistent, with their recent form highlighting struggles, particularly on the road. With only one win in their last five matches and two losses away, they face a daunting task against a high-flying Al-Hilal side.

Key Numbers

Al-Hilal Saudi FC's attacking unit has been prolific, netting a total of 17 goals in their last five matches. Their defense has been equally effective, allowing merely 0.60 goals per game. Al-Gharafa, meanwhile, has managed 1.40 goals per match but has been defensively vulnerable, conceding 2.40 goals on average. The head-to-head statistics further favor Al-Hilal, who have emerged victorious in both previous encounters, winning 3:0 and 2:1. Al-Gharafa will need to tighten their defense significantly to challenge the hosts, who have shown a propensity for scoring in abundance.

Prediction

Given the current form and statistical trends, the prediction leans heavily towards an Al-Hilal Saudi FC victory. One key betting event to consider is "Win 1", reflecting Al-Hilal's superior form and their perfect record against Al-Gharafa. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, grounded in both their recent performances and head-to-head dominance. In addition, the likelihood of Al-Hilal scoring multiple goals is high, considering Al-Gharafa's defensive struggles. Additional betting options include markets such as "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" and "Total:Over: 3.0", both supported by statistical evidence of Al-Hilal's scoring ability. While an upset is always possible in football, Al-Gharafa's current form suggests any points gained would be hard-earned.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
1X
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
75%
Total:Over: 3.0
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
65%
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