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Liga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield VS Estudiantes L.P.: Final Score & Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina 05.09.2026 · 20:15 Referee: Sebastian Nicolas Martinez, Argentina
Velez Sarsfield emblem
Velez Sarsfield
D
D
D
D
D
Full Time
1 – 0
HT 1:0
05 Sep · 20:15
Estudiantes L.P. emblem
Estudiantes L.P.
D
W
L
W
W

Match Stats

Velez Sarsfield 1:0 Estudiantes L.P.
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
6
3
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
2
3
Blocked Shots
2
9
Shots Inside Box
5
2
Shots Outside Box
1
5
Corners
1
1
Offsides
4
16
Fouls
19
2
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
373
Total Passes
466
249
Accurate Passes
347

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
Thiago SilveroYellow Card
25'
33'
Alexis CastroYellow Card
Ronaldo MartinezGoal · Thiago Silvero
40'
45'
Gabriel NevesSubstitution · Lucas Piovi
45'
Brian AguirreSubstitution · Joaquín Correa
45+1'
Tiago Tomas PalaciosYellow Card
47'
Edwuin CetreYellow Card
56'
Lucas PioviYellow Card
65'
Adolfo GaichSubstitution · Guido Carrillo
65'
Edwuin CetreSubstitution · Joaquín Tobio Burgos
Juan Cruz PolicellaSubstitution · Manuel Lanzini
65'
Lucas RobertoneSubstitution · Luca Feler
72'
Ronaldo MartinezSubstitution · Thiago Aguirre
73'
Matías PellegriniYellow Card
73'
77'
Leandro Gonzalez PirezSubstitution · Santiago Núñez
Matías PellegriniSubstitution · Matias Arias
90'
90+5'
Joaquín CorreaYellow Card

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
40%
Velez Sarsfield
33%
Draw
27%
Estudiantes L.P.

Form Comparison

■ Velez Sarsfield ■ Estudiantes L.P.
Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
64%
Form
36%
60%
Att
40%
50%
Def
50%
54%
Poisson distribution
46%
71%
H2h
29%
60%
Goals
40%
60%
Total
40%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
02.03.2026
Estudiantes L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield
0 — 1
08.07.2025
Estudiantes L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield
0 — 2
21.12.2024
Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P.
0 — 3
23.09.2024
Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P.
2 — 0
05.05.2024
Estudiantes L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield
1 — 1
07.05.2023
Estudiantes L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield
2 — 0
17.10.2022
Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P.
4 — 0
24.05.2022
Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P.
4 — 0
07.04.2022
Estudiantes L.P. vs Velez Sarsfield
4 — 1
06.03.2022
Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P.
1 — 1

Last Matches

Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
02.09.2026
Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors
0 — 0
29.08.2026
Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield
1 — 1
23.08.2026
River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield
2 — 2
17.08.2026
Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa Y Justicia
1 — 1
08.08.2026
Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield
1 — 1
W: 0 · D: 5 · L: 0

Velez Sarsfield enters this match on the back of a solid performance streak, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches with a record of two wins and three draws. Their recent 3-1 victory over Talleres Cordoba stands out as a highlight. Meanwhile, Estudiantes L.P., sitting at the top of the league table, have shown formidable form, securing three wins in their last five fixtures. Their 4-0 demolition of Gimnasia L.P. showcased their attacking prowess. Head-to-head, Velez has had the upper hand recently, winning three of the last five encounters against Estudiantes.

Form and context

Both teams come into this clash with contrasting profiles in terms of recent performances. Velez Sarsfield, currently third in the league, have demonstrated resilience, particularly away from home, where they have averaged 1.60 goals per game. Their home form, however, shows room for improvement with just 0.80 goals scored on average. Estudiantes L.P., on the other hand, have excelled in their home fixtures but have struggled on the road, losing four out of their last five away games. This contrast suggests a potential advantage for Velez, given that the upcoming match is on their turf.

Key numbers

Velez has managed to keep things tight defensively, conceding only 1.00 goal per game over their last five matches. In comparison, Estudiantes have conceded 0.80 goals per match, indicating a slightly more robust defense. Offensively, Estudiantes have been more prolific, netting an average of 2.20 goals per game, significantly higher than Velez’s 1.60. Historically, Velez have edged Estudiantes in head-to-head encounters, with three wins in their last five meetings. However, Estudiantes’ recent 3-0 away victory against Velez cannot be overlooked.

Prediction

The prediction for this match hinges on Velez Sarsfield’s ability to capitalize on Estudiantes' subpar away record. With Estudiantes' struggle away from home evident, a draw seems a plausible outcome, especially considering Velez's unbeaten streak. The main betting event to watch could be "X" for a draw, given the statistical trends and the fact that Velez has held their own against top-tier opponents recently. Confidence Score: 7.

Velez's relatively low scoring at home coupled with Estudiantes’ away difficulties point towards a match with limited goals, making "Total:Under: 2.5" a reasonable secondary prediction. Additionally, given Velez's defensive solidity, "Total Team 2 Under: 1.5" also holds potential. Finally, considering Velez's capability to score against strong defenses, "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" is another probable outcome.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
65%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Total:Under: 3.0
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P.
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
BetVictor
Pinnacle
1xBet

Liga Profesional Argentina Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Estudiantes L.P. logoEstudiantes L.P. ★
16 9 4 3 31
2
Boca Juniors logoBoca Juniors
16 8 6 2 30
3
Velez Sarsfield logoVelez Sarsfield ★
16 7 7 2 28
4
Talleres Cordoba logoTalleres Cordoba
16 7 5 4 26
5
Independiente logoIndependiente
16 6 6 4 24
6
Lanus logoLanus
16 6 6 4 24
7
San Lorenzo logoSan Lorenzo
16 5 7 4 22
8
Union Santa Fe logoUnion Santa Fe
16 5 6 5 21
9
Instituto Cordoba logoInstituto Cordoba
16 6 3 7 21
10
Defensa Y Justicia logoDefensa Y Justicia
16 4 7 5 19
11
Gimnasia M. logoGimnasia M.
16 5 4 7 19
12
Platense logoPlatense
16 3 7 6 16
13
Central Cordoba de Santiago logoCentral Cordoba de Santiago
16 4 4 8 16
14
Newells Old Boys logoNewells Old Boys
16 3 6 7 15
15
Deportivo Riestra logoDeportivo Riestra
16 1 8 7 11
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