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Serie A

Atletico-MG vs Coritiba Prediction

Serie A 17.10.2026 · 17:30 Arena MRV Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda
Atletico-MG emblem
Atletico-MG
W
W
D
W
D
vs
– : –
17 Oct · 17:30
Coritiba emblem
Coritiba
D
L
L
D
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
58%
Atletico-MG
24%
Draw
18%
Coritiba

Form Comparison

■ Atletico-MG ■ Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
85%
Form
15%
64%
Att
36%
75%
Def
25%
64%
Poisson distribution
36%
50%
H2h
50%
46%
Goals
54%
64%
Total
36%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
19.04.2026
Coritiba vs Atletico-MG
2 — 0
08.10.2023
Atletico-MG vs Coritiba
1 — 2
20.05.2023
Coritiba vs Atletico-MG
1 — 2
14.08.2022
Coritiba vs Atletico-MG
0 — 1
23.04.2022
Atletico-MG vs Coritiba
2 — 2
26.12.2020
Atletico-MG vs Coritiba
2 — 0
06.09.2020
Coritiba vs Atletico-MG
0 — 1
19.11.2017
Atletico-MG vs Coritiba
3 — 0
30.07.2017
Coritiba vs Atletico-MG
0 — 2
06.11.2016
Coritiba vs Atletico-MG
2 — 0

Last Matches

Atletico-MG
Coritiba
14.10.2026
Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque
3 — 0
11.10.2026
Atletico-MG vs Santos
2 — 1
08.10.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
2 — 2
03.10.2026
Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino
1 — 0
19.09.2026
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc
1 — 1
W: 3 · D: 2 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Atletico-MG
A. Franco, Everson, Fred, Gustavo Scarpa, M. Cassierra, Ruan Tressoldi
Coritiba
Lucas Ronier, Lucas Taverna

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Atletico-MG hosts Coritiba at the MRV Arena. Both teams are vying for a spot in the Copa Sudamericana, making this match crucial for their ambitions. With Atletico-MG currently in 7th place and Coritiba in 9th, the stage is set for an exciting encounter.

Atletico-MG's Strong Home Form

Atletico-MG has displayed impressive form at home, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins and a draw. Their recent performances include a solid 3-1 victory over Fluminense, who are 3rd in the league, showcasing their ability to compete against top-tier teams. Atletico-MG has been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.2 goals per game while conceding only 1. This strong home record will be a significant advantage as they face a Coritiba side struggling with defensive issues.

Coritiba's Defensive Woes

Coritiba's recent form has been inconsistent, particularly in defense, where they have conceded an alarming 3.2 goals per game over their last five fixtures. Despite a spirited 3-2 victory against Remo, Coritiba's defensive frailties were exposed in heavy defeats to Fluminense and Vasco da Gama. However, their ability to score, averaging 1.4 goals per match, suggests they could pose a threat to Atletico-MG’s defense. As a newly promoted team, Coritiba has shown resilience but will need to tighten up at the back to challenge Atletico-MG effectively.

Prediction: Atletico-MG to Edge Out Coritiba

Given Atletico-MG's formidable home form and Coritiba's defensive vulnerabilities, the prediction leans towards an Atletico-MG victory. While Coritiba has shown they can score, Atletico-MG’s attacking prowess and home advantage make them the likely winners. Expect Atletico-MG to capitalize on Coritiba's defensive lapses and secure all three points.

- **Main Prediction**: Win: 1 - **Additional Predictions**: - Both Teams to Score: Yes - Total: Over 1.5 - Total Team 1: Over 1.5 - Handicap 1: 1

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total:Over: 1.5
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Handicap 1: 1
60%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
31 19 9 3 66
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
31 15 8 8 53
4
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
31 15 6 10 51
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
31 14 9 8 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG ★
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia
31 13 10 8 49
8
Santos logoSantos
31 12 9 10 45
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
31 12 6 13 42
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
31 11 8 12 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
31 10 9 12 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba ★
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
31 10 7 14 37
14
Mirassol logoMirassol
31 9 9 13 36
15
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
30 9 8 13 35
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians
31 8 9 14 33
17
Internacional logoInternacional
31 7 11 13 32
18
Gremio logoGremio
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
31 5 11 15 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
30 3 9 18 18
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