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Serie A

Atletico-MG vs Santos Prediction

Serie A 11.10.2026 · 15:00 Arena MRV Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano
Atletico-MG emblem
Atletico-MG
D
W
D
W
W
vs
– : –
11 Oct · 15:00
Santos emblem
Santos
D
W
W
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
44%
Atletico-MG
28%
Draw
28%
Santos

Form Comparison

■ Atletico-MG ■ Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
38%
Form
62%
39%
Att
61%
54%
Def
46%
53%
Poisson distribution
47%
29%
H2h
71%
43%
Goals
57%
43%
Total
57%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
16.09.2026
Atletico-MG vs Santos
4 — 2
09.09.2026
Santos vs Atletico-MG
2 — 0
11.04.2026
Santos vs Atletico-MG
1 — 0
14.09.2025
Atletico-MG vs Santos
1 — 1
16.04.2025
Santos vs Atletico-MG
2 — 0
27.08.2023
Atletico-MG vs Santos
2 — 0
23.04.2023
Santos vs Atletico-MG
0 — 0
05.10.2022
Santos vs Atletico-MG
1 — 2
11.06.2022
Atletico-MG vs Santos
1 — 1
13.10.2021
Atletico-MG vs Santos
3 — 1

Last Matches

Atletico-MG
Santos
08.10.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
2 — 2
03.10.2026
Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino
1 — 0
19.09.2026
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc
1 — 1
16.09.2026
Atletico-MG vs Santos
4 — 2
12.09.2026
Atletico-MG vs Fluminense
3 — 1
W: 3 · D: 2 · L: 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Atletico-MG
Cuello, Everson, Fred, Gustavo Scarpa, M. Cassierra, Ruan Tressoldi
T. Perez
Santos
Arthur Melo, Everton, Gabriel Brazao, Vinicius Lira

Atletico-MG and Santos are set to face off in an intriguing Serie A encounter at the MRV Arena. Both teams are closely matched in the league table, with Atletico-MG sitting in 7th position and Santos just behind in 8th. This match promises to be competitive as both sides aim to bolster their standings in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana zone.

Atletico-MG's Recent Form and Home Advantage

Atletico-MG comes into this fixture on the back of a mixed run of form. Their recent matches showcase a decent home record, with four wins and one draw in their last five games at the MRV Arena. This includes a notable 4-2 victory over Santos in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana quarter-finals. Atletico-MG has shown resilience at home, scoring an average of 2.40 goals per game while conceding 1.20. Despite a setback in their away fixtures, their performance at home could be pivotal.

Santos' Strong Offensive Play

Santos has displayed strong offensive capabilities, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game in their last five outings. Their away form has been impressive, with four wins and a single loss, indicating their potential to challenge Atletico-MG on the road. Santos recently secured a solid 2-0 victory against Atletico-MG in the return leg of the Sudamericana, highlighting their ability to win in competitive fixtures. With no injury or suspension concerns, Santos will look to leverage their attacking prowess to gain an edge.

Prediction: Close Contest with Goals

Given the recent performances of both teams, the prediction for the match between Atletico-MG and Santos leans towards a competitive affair with both teams finding the back of the net. The main prediction is "Both Teams to Score: Yes," supported by the consistent scoring records of both sides. Atletico-MG's strong home form and Santos' impressive away performances suggest that goals are likely. Additionally, expect "Total: Over 2.5," "Total Team 1: Over 1.5," "Total Team 2: Over 0.5," and "Handicap 1: 0.5" as complementary outcomes in what should be an exciting encounter.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
85%
Handicap 1: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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BetVictor
SBO

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
31 19 9 3 66
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
31 15 8 8 53
4
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
31 15 6 10 51
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
31 14 9 8 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG ★
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia
31 13 10 8 49
8
Santos logoSantos ★
31 12 9 10 45
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
31 12 6 13 42
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
31 11 8 12 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
31 10 9 12 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
31 10 7 14 37
14
Mirassol logoMirassol
31 9 9 13 36
15
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
30 9 8 13 35
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians
31 8 9 14 33
17
Internacional logoInternacional
31 7 11 13 32
18
Gremio logoGremio
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
31 5 11 15 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
30 3 9 18 18
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