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Serie A

Atletico-MG vs Santos Prediction

Serie A 11.10.2026 · 15:00 MRV Arena Referee: F. Tello
Atletico-MG emblem
Atletico-MG
W
D
W
W
L
vs
– : –
11 Oct · 15:00
Santos emblem
Santos
W
W
L
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
47%
Atletico-MG
28%
Draw
25%
Santos

Form Comparison

■ Atletico-MG ■ Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
40%
Form
60%
41%
Att
59%
50%
Def
50%
53%
Poisson distribution
47%
29%
H2h
71%
43%
Goals
57%
43%
Total
57%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
16.09.2026
Atletico-MG vs Santos
4 — 2
09.09.2026
Santos vs Atletico-MG
2 — 0
11.04.2026
Santos vs Atletico-MG
1 — 0
14.09.2025
Atletico-MG vs Santos
1 — 1
16.04.2025
Santos vs Atletico-MG
2 — 0
27.08.2023
Atletico-MG vs Santos
2 — 0
23.04.2023
Santos vs Atletico-MG
0 — 0
05.10.2022
Santos vs Atletico-MG
1 — 2
11.06.2022
Atletico-MG vs Santos
1 — 1
13.10.2021
Atletico-MG vs Santos
3 — 1

Last Matches

Atletico-MG
Santos
03.10.2026
Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino
1 — 0
19.09.2026
Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc
1 — 1
16.09.2026
Atletico-MG vs Santos
4 — 2
12.09.2026
Atletico-MG vs Fluminense
3 — 1
09.09.2026
Santos vs Atletico-MG
0 — 2
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Atletico-MG and Santos are set to face off in an intriguing Serie A encounter at the MRV Arena. Both teams are closely matched in the league table, with Atletico-MG sitting in 7th position and Santos just behind in 8th. This match promises to be competitive as both sides aim to bolster their standings in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana zone.

Atletico-MG's Recent Form and Home Advantage

Atletico-MG comes into this fixture on the back of a mixed run of form. Their recent matches showcase a decent home record, with four wins and one draw in their last five games at the MRV Arena. This includes a notable 4-2 victory over Santos in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana quarter-finals. Atletico-MG has shown resilience at home, scoring an average of 2.40 goals per game while conceding 1.20. Despite a setback in their away fixtures, their performance at home could be pivotal.

Santos' Strong Offensive Play

Santos has displayed strong offensive capabilities, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game in their last five outings. Their away form has been impressive, with four wins and a single loss, indicating their potential to challenge Atletico-MG on the road. Santos recently secured a solid 2-0 victory against Atletico-MG in the return leg of the Sudamericana, highlighting their ability to win in competitive fixtures. With no injury or suspension concerns, Santos will look to leverage their attacking prowess to gain an edge.

Prediction: Close Contest with Goals

Given the recent performances of both teams, the prediction for the match between Atletico-MG and Santos leans towards a competitive affair with both teams finding the back of the net. The main prediction is "Both Teams to Score: Yes," supported by the consistent scoring records of both sides. Atletico-MG's strong home form and Santos' impressive away performances suggest that goals are likely. Additionally, expect "Total: Over 2.5," "Total Team 1: Over 1.5," "Total Team 2: Over 0.5," and "Handicap 1: 0.5" as complementary outcomes in what should be an exciting encounter.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
85%
Handicap 1: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
28 18 6 4 60
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
28 16 9 3 57
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 49
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
28 13 9 6 48
5
Bahia logoBahia
28 12 10 6 46
6
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
28 13 6 9 45
7
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG ★
28 12 7 9 43
8
Santos logoSantos ★
28 11 8 9 41
9
Coritiba logoCoritiba
28 10 8 10 38
10
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
28 10 6 12 36
11
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
28 10 6 12 36
12
Botafogo logoBotafogo
28 9 8 11 35
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
28 9 6 13 33
14
Corinthians logoCorinthians
28 8 8 12 32
15
Mirassol logoMirassol
28 8 8 12 32
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 31
17
Gremio logoGremio
28 7 8 13 29
18
Internacional logoInternacional
28 6 10 12 28
19
Remo logoRemo
28 5 8 15 23
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 18
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