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Serie A

Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Serie A 08.10.2026 · 19:00 Arena da Baixada Referee: M. Delgado
Atletico Paranaense emblem
Atletico Paranaense
W
D
L
D
W
vs
– : –
08 Oct · 19:00
Atletico-MG emblem
Atletico-MG
W
D
W
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Atletico Paranaense
29%
Draw
26%
Atletico-MG

Form Comparison

■ Atletico Paranaense ■ Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
44%
Form
56%
63%
Att
37%
29%
Def
71%
68%
Poisson distribution
32%
29%
H2h
71%
40%
Goals
60%
46%
Total
55%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
05.04.2026
Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 1
08.12.2024
Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 0
16.11.2024
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
1 — 0
02.09.2023
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
1 — 1
23.05.2023
Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 1
29.04.2023
Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 1
18.04.2023
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
2 — 1
07.08.2022
Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 3
17.04.2022
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
0 — 1
15.12.2021
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
1 — 2

Last Matches

Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
20.09.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
2 — 1
11.09.2026
Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense
3 — 3
06.09.2026
Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 3
30.08.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense
3 — 3
24.08.2026
Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense
3 — 2
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Atletico Paranaense will host Atletico-MG in an intriguing Serie A clash at Arena da Baixada. Both teams are in the top half of the table, with Atletico Paranaense pushing for a Copa Libertadores spot while Atletico-MG aims to secure a Copa Sudamericana berth. This encounter promises to be competitive, with both clubs showing good form in recent matches.

Atletico Paranaense's Home Advantage

Atletico Paranaense has been impressive since their promotion to Serie A, currently sitting third in the league. They have been formidable at home, unbeaten in their last five home games with three wins and two draws. Their recent 3-2 away victory against Botafogo highlights their attacking prowess, scoring an average of 2.40 goals in their last five matches. However, defensive lapses have been a concern, conceding the same number of goals over the same period. Despite this, their strong home record and offensive capabilities present a significant challenge for any visiting side.

Atletico-MG's Solid Form

Atletico-MG is positioned eighth in Serie A and is enjoying a solid run, especially in home games. However, their away form has been less convincing, with just one win in their last five away matches. Despite this, Atletico-MG has shown resilience, highlighted by a recent 3-1 victory against Fluminense, a team also in the upper echelons of the table. Their ability to score, averaging 1.80 goals per game in the last five, coupled with a more robust defense conceding an average of 1.20, makes them a balanced side capable of competing with the league’s top teams.

Prediction: A Close Encounter

Given the current form of both teams, this match could be tightly contested. The prediction for the match between Atletico Paranaense and Atletico-MG leans towards a close encounter with both teams likely to find the back of the net. Atletico Paranaense’s strong home record and offensive strength suggest they could edge this fixture. Therefore, the main prediction is "Both Teams to Score: Yes," supported by their attacking statistics and recent performances.

Additional predictions include "Win: 1" due to Atletico Paranaense’s home advantage, "Total Team 1: Over 1.5" reflecting their scoring form, "Total Team 2: Over 0.5" considering Atletico-MG’s ability to score, and "Handicap 1: 0.5" favoring the home side to avoid defeat. These picks align with the current trends and stats presented by both teams.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Win 1
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
75%
Handicap 1: 0.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
28 18 6 4 60
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
28 16 9 3 57
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense ★
28 14 7 7 49
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
28 13 9 6 48
5
Bahia logoBahia
28 12 10 6 46
6
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
28 13 6 9 45
7
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG ★
28 12 7 9 43
8
Santos logoSantos
28 11 8 9 41
9
Coritiba logoCoritiba
28 10 8 10 38
10
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
28 10 6 12 36
11
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
28 10 6 12 36
12
Botafogo logoBotafogo
28 9 8 11 35
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
28 9 6 13 33
14
Corinthians logoCorinthians
28 8 8 12 32
15
Mirassol logoMirassol
28 8 8 12 32
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 31
17
Gremio logoGremio
28 7 8 13 29
18
Internacional logoInternacional
28 6 10 12 28
19
Remo logoRemo
28 5 8 15 23
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 18
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