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Serie A

Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras Prediction

Serie A 17.10.2026 · 18:30 Arena da Baixada Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva
Atletico Paranaense emblem
Atletico Paranaense
W
D
W
D
L
vs
– : –
17 Oct · 18:30
Palmeiras emblem
Palmeiras
W
W
W
D
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
33%
Atletico Paranaense
29%
Draw
38%
Palmeiras

Form Comparison

■ Atletico Paranaense ■ Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
42%
Form
58%
63%
Att
37%
9%
Def
91%
43%
Poisson distribution
57%
29%
H2h
71%
40%
Goals
60%
38%
Total
62%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
19.04.2026
Palmeiras vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 0
01.09.2024
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras
0 — 2
12.05.2024
Palmeiras vs Atletico Paranaense
0 — 2
04.11.2023
Palmeiras vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 0
02.07.2023
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras
2 — 2
25.10.2022
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras
1 — 3
06.09.2022
Palmeiras vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 2
30.08.2022
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras
1 — 0
02.07.2022
Palmeiras vs Atletico Paranaense
0 — 2
02.03.2022
Palmeiras vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 0

Last Matches

Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
12.10.2026
Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense
4 — 1
08.10.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
2 — 2
20.09.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
2 — 1
11.09.2026
Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense
3 — 3
06.09.2026
Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense
1 — 3
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Atletico Paranaense
C. Teran, Dantas, G. Benavidez, K. A. Calderon Vargas
Palmeiras
A. Giay, G. Gomez, Jefte, Vitor Roque

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Atletico Paranaense will host Palmeiras at Arena da Baixada on October 17, 2026. With both teams vying for top positions, this match promises to be a thrilling encounter as Atletico Paranaense seeks to capitalize on their home advantage while Palmeiras aims to maintain their strong league standing.

Atletico Paranaense's Recent Performance

Atletico Paranaense enters this match sitting 4th in the Serie A table, having gathered 50 points from 29 matches. As a newly promoted team, they have shown impressive form, especially at home where they remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws. However, their recent results have seen mixed outcomes, with a high-scoring draw against Fluminense and a defeat to Cruzeiro. The team has been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.20 goals per game in their last five outings, but their defensive frailties are evident, conceding 2.40 goals per game over the same period. Atletico will look to tighten their defense against a formidable Palmeiras side.

Palmeiras' Solid Run

Palmeiras, currently 2nd in the Serie A standings with 60 points, have been consistent throughout the season. They have displayed a strong defensive setup, conceding only 0.60 goals on average in their last five matches. Their recent form includes a narrow victory against Bahia and a goalless draw with Gremio, indicating their resilience in tight matches. Although their away form is less dominant, with just one win and four draws in their last five away fixtures, Palmeiras remain a tough opponent to break down. Their head-to-head record against Atletico Paranaense is favorable, with three wins in their last five encounters.

Prediction for the Match

Considering both teams' current form and statistical data, the main prediction for this encounter is "Both Teams to Score: Yes." Atletico Paranaense's attacking prowess, combined with their defensive vulnerabilities, suggests goals at both ends of the pitch. Additionally, given Palmeiras' solid defense and Atletico's home advantage, a closely contested match is expected.

Four additional predictions are also supported by the data: "Double Chance: X2," as Palmeiras have shown consistency and resilience; "Total: Over 1.5," considering the attacking capabilities of both teams; "Total Team 1: Over 0.5," acknowledging Atletico Paranaense's strong home scoring record; and "Handicap 1: 0.5," given the likelihood of a tight game with Atletico potentially holding their own against the visitors. These predictions collectively reflect the expected dynamics of the match between Atletico Paranaense and Palmeiras.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
X2
70%
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%
Handicap 1: 0.5
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras ★
31 19 9 3 66
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense ★
31 15 8 8 53
4
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
31 15 6 10 51
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
31 14 9 8 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia
31 13 10 8 49
8
Santos logoSantos
31 12 9 10 45
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
31 12 6 13 42
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
31 11 8 12 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
31 10 9 12 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
31 10 7 14 37
14
Mirassol logoMirassol
31 9 9 13 36
15
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
30 9 8 13 35
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians
31 8 9 14 33
17
Internacional logoInternacional
31 7 11 13 32
18
Gremio logoGremio
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
31 5 11 15 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
30 3 9 18 18
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