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Serie A

Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction

Serie A 18.10.2026 · 17:30 Arena Fonte Nova Referee: Wilton Sampaio
Bahia emblem
Bahia
W
L
L
W
W
vs
– : –
18 Oct · 17:30
Flamengo emblem
Flamengo
D
W
D
W
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
29%
Bahia
26%
Draw
45%
Flamengo

Form Comparison

■ Bahia ■ Flamengo
Bahia
Flamengo
41%
Form
59%
47%
Att
53%
40%
Def
60%
38%
Poisson distribution
62%
20%
H2h
80%
14%
Goals
86%
33%
Total
67%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
19.04.2026
Flamengo vs Bahia
2 — 0
05.10.2025
Bahia vs Flamengo
1 — 0
10.05.2025
Flamengo vs Bahia
1 — 0
05.10.2024
Bahia vs Flamengo
0 — 2
12.09.2024
Flamengo vs Bahia
1 — 0
28.08.2024
Bahia vs Flamengo
0 — 1
20.06.2024
Flamengo vs Bahia
2 — 1
30.09.2023
Flamengo vs Bahia
1 — 0
13.05.2023
Bahia vs Flamengo
2 — 3
11.11.2021
Flamengo vs Bahia
3 — 0

Last Matches

Bahia
Flamengo
11.10.2026
Bahia vs Mirassol
1 — 0
08.10.2026
Palmeiras vs Bahia
0 — 1
20.09.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
1 — 2
14.09.2026
Bahia vs Remo
2 — 1
05.09.2026
RB Bragantino vs Bahia
3 — 2
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Bahia
Leo Vieira
Flamengo
Ayrton Lucas, Danilo, Evertton Araujo, G. de Arrascaeta

Bahia is set to host Flamengo at the Arena Fonte Nova in a crucial Serie A clash in Brazil. Both teams are in strong positions in the league table, with Bahia looking to secure a spot in the Copa Sudamericana, while Flamengo is leading the charge towards another Serie A title.

Bahia's Home Resilience

Bahia currently stands 6th in the Serie A table, demonstrating a solid campaign with 46 points from 29 matches. Their recent form includes three wins in their last five fixtures, showcasing their ability to compete against various teams. At home, they have been particularly resilient, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, with three wins and two draws. Their scoring rate at home, averaging 1.60 goals per game, complements their relatively strong defense, conceding just 0.80 goals on average. This formidable home form is a key factor as they prepare to face the league leaders.

Flamengo's Dominance

Flamengo sits at the top of the Serie A standings with 61 points, a position they are familiar with, having won the league in the previous season. They have shown impressive form both domestically and in continental competitions, as evidenced by their recent performances. Flamengo's last five games have seen them unbeaten, with three wins and two draws, including a strong showing in the CONMEBOL Libertadores. Their away form is also noteworthy, with three wins out of five, scoring 2.20 goals on average while conceding just 1.00 goal per game. This balance of attack and defense makes them a formidable opponent for any team in the league.

Predicting an Intense Encounter

In this highly anticipated matchup between Bahia and Flamengo, the prediction is that Flamengo will continue their strong run with a win. Despite Bahia's solid home form, Flamengo's overall quality and current momentum give them the edge. Additionally, past head-to-head results favor Flamengo, who have won four of their last five encounters against Bahia.

Main prediction: Flamengo to win. This choice is supported by Flamengo's superior league position, recent form, and positive head-to-head record against Bahia.

Additional predictions: - Both Teams to Score: Yes (given Bahia's strong home scoring rate and Flamengo's attacking prowess). - Total: Over 1.5 (considering both teams' recent scoring trends). - Total Team 1: Over 0.5 (Bahia's consistent scoring at home supports this). - Total Team 2: Over 1.5 (Flamengo's strong away goal-scoring form justifies this pick).

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
70%
Total:Over: 1.5
80%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo ★
31 20 7 4 67
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
31 19 9 3 66
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
31 15 8 8 53
4
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
31 15 6 10 51
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
31 14 9 8 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia ★
31 13 10 8 49
8
Santos logoSantos
31 12 9 10 45
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
31 12 6 13 42
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
31 11 8 12 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
31 10 9 12 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
31 10 7 14 37
14
Mirassol logoMirassol
31 9 9 13 36
15
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
30 9 8 13 35
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians
31 8 9 14 33
17
Internacional logoInternacional
31 7 11 13 32
18
Gremio logoGremio
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
31 5 11 15 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
30 3 9 18 18
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