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Serie A

Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction

Serie A 11.10.2026 · 18:30 Arena Fonte Nova Referee: Ramon Abatti
Bahia emblem
Bahia
L
L
W
W
W
vs
– : –
11 Oct · 18:30
Mirassol emblem
Mirassol
D
W
W
D
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
55%
Bahia
24%
Draw
21%
Mirassol

Form Comparison

■ Bahia ■ Mirassol
Bahia
Mirassol
53%
Form
47%
56%
Att
44%
43%
Def
57%
66%
Poisson distribution
34%
50%
H2h
50%
36%
Goals
64%
51%
Total
49%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
11.04.2026
Mirassol vs Bahia
1 — 2
31.08.2025
Mirassol vs Bahia
5 — 1
13.04.2025
Bahia vs Mirassol
1 — 1

Last Matches

Bahia
Mirassol
08.10.2026
Palmeiras vs Bahia
0 — 1
20.09.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
1 — 2
14.09.2026
Bahia vs Remo
2 — 1
05.09.2026
RB Bragantino vs Bahia
3 — 2
30.08.2026
Bahia vs Internacional
3 — 2
W: 3 · D: 0 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Bahia
Leo Vieira, Nicolas Acevedo
Mirassol
Jose Aldo, Negueba
Joao Victor

As Bahia prepare to welcome Mirassol to the Arena Fonte Nova, both teams are aiming to secure crucial points in the Brazilian Serie A. Bahia, sitting in the top five, are in strong form and fighting for a Copa Libertadores qualification spot, while Mirassol are positioned in the lower half of the table and are seeking to distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Bahia's Recent Form and Home Advantage

Bahia have showcased impressive performances lately, winning four of their last five matches, including victories over RB Bragantino and Internacional. Their strong home form is particularly noteworthy, having remained unbeaten in their last five home encounters, with three wins and two draws. This run has seen them score an average of 1.60 goals per game while conceding just 0.80. Bahia's ability to maintain defensive solidity at home could be pivotal against Mirassol, as they aim to consolidate their position in the upper echelons of the league.

Mirassol's Mixed Results and Away Challenges

Mirassol's recent form is a mix of results, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five league games. Their away performance has been somewhat inconsistent, marked by two wins and two losses in their last five matches on the road. Despite their mid-table position, Mirassol have shown they can be competitive, notably securing a victory against Coritiba. However, their defensive record away from home, conceding an average of 0.80 goals per game, will be tested against Bahia's attacking prowess.

Prediction: Bahia to Capitalize on Home Momentum

In this encounter between Bahia and Mirassol, the prediction is for Bahia to win. Given Bahia's superior league position, recent strong form, and solid home record, they are well-placed to secure victory. Mirassol, while capable of causing upsets, face an uphill battle against a Bahia side that has been difficult to beat at home.

For additional predictions, expect a match with both teams scoring, considering their respective offensive capabilities. Bahia are likely to score over 1.5 goals, while Mirassol may find the net as well. A match total of over 2.5 goals and a handicap in favor of Bahia at -0.5 are also viable picks, reflecting the anticipated attacking intent from both sides.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total:Over: 2.5
72%
Handicap 1: 0.5
68%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Bet365
SBO

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
31 19 9 3 66
3
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
32 16 6 10 54
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
31 15 8 8 53
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
31 14 9 8 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia ★
31 13 10 8 49
8
Santos logoSantos
31 12 9 10 45
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
31 12 6 13 42
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
31 11 8 12 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
31 10 9 12 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
31 10 7 14 37
14
Mirassol logoMirassol ★
31 9 9 13 36
15
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
30 9 8 13 35
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians
31 8 9 14 33
17
Internacional logoInternacional
31 7 11 13 32
18
Gremio logoGremio
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
32 5 11 16 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
30 3 9 18 18
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