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Serie A

Bahia vs Mirassol Prediction

Serie A 11.10.2026 · 18:30 Arena Fonte Nova Referee: P. Zanovelli
Bahia emblem
Bahia
L
W
W
W
W
vs
– : –
11 Oct · 18:30
Mirassol emblem
Mirassol
W
W
D
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
55%
Bahia
25%
Draw
20%
Mirassol

Form Comparison

■ Bahia ■ Mirassol
Bahia
Mirassol
60%
Form
40%
61%
Att
39%
46%
Def
54%
68%
Poisson distribution
32%
50%
H2h
50%
36%
Goals
64%
54%
Total
47%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
11.04.2026
Mirassol vs Bahia
1 — 2
31.08.2025
Mirassol vs Bahia
5 — 1
13.04.2025
Bahia vs Mirassol
1 — 1

Last Matches

Bahia
Mirassol
20.09.2026
Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
1 — 2
14.09.2026
Bahia vs Remo
2 — 1
05.09.2026
RB Bragantino vs Bahia
3 — 2
30.08.2026
Bahia vs Internacional
3 — 2
23.08.2026
Vitoria vs Bahia
2 — 0
W: 4 · D: 0 · L: 1

As Bahia prepare to welcome Mirassol to the Arena Fonte Nova, both teams are aiming to secure crucial points in the Brazilian Serie A. Bahia, sitting in the top five, are in strong form and fighting for a Copa Libertadores qualification spot, while Mirassol are positioned in the lower half of the table and are seeking to distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Bahia's Recent Form and Home Advantage

Bahia have showcased impressive performances lately, winning four of their last five matches, including victories over RB Bragantino and Internacional. Their strong home form is particularly noteworthy, having remained unbeaten in their last five home encounters, with three wins and two draws. This run has seen them score an average of 1.60 goals per game while conceding just 0.80. Bahia's ability to maintain defensive solidity at home could be pivotal against Mirassol, as they aim to consolidate their position in the upper echelons of the league.

Mirassol's Mixed Results and Away Challenges

Mirassol's recent form is a mix of results, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five league games. Their away performance has been somewhat inconsistent, marked by two wins and two losses in their last five matches on the road. Despite their mid-table position, Mirassol have shown they can be competitive, notably securing a victory against Coritiba. However, their defensive record away from home, conceding an average of 0.80 goals per game, will be tested against Bahia's attacking prowess.

Prediction: Bahia to Capitalize on Home Momentum

In this encounter between Bahia and Mirassol, the prediction is for Bahia to win. Given Bahia's superior league position, recent strong form, and solid home record, they are well-placed to secure victory. Mirassol, while capable of causing upsets, face an uphill battle against a Bahia side that has been difficult to beat at home.

For additional predictions, expect a match with both teams scoring, considering their respective offensive capabilities. Bahia are likely to score over 1.5 goals, while Mirassol may find the net as well. A match total of over 2.5 goals and a handicap in favor of Bahia at -0.5 are also viable picks, reflecting the anticipated attacking intent from both sides.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Total:Over: 2.5
72%
Handicap 1: 0.5
68%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
28 18 6 4 60
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
28 16 9 3 57
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 49
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
28 13 9 6 48
5
Bahia logoBahia ★
28 12 10 6 46
6
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
28 13 6 9 45
7
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
28 12 7 9 43
8
Santos logoSantos
28 11 8 9 41
9
Coritiba logoCoritiba
28 10 8 10 38
10
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
28 10 6 12 36
11
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
28 10 6 12 36
12
Botafogo logoBotafogo
28 9 8 11 35
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
28 9 6 13 33
14
Corinthians logoCorinthians
28 8 8 12 32
15
Mirassol logoMirassol ★
28 8 8 12 32
16
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 31
17
Gremio logoGremio
28 7 8 13 29
18
Internacional logoInternacional
28 6 10 12 28
19
Remo logoRemo
28 5 8 15 23
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 18
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