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Serie A

Corinthians vs Santos Prediction

Serie A 30.08.2026 · 15:00 Neo Quimica Arena Referee: Flavio Rodrigues De Souza, Brazil
Corinthians emblem
Corinthians
L
W
L
D
W
vs
– : –
30 Aug · 15:00
Santos emblem
Santos
D
D
W
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
51%
Corinthians
28%
Draw
21%
Santos

Form Comparison

■ Corinthians ■ Santos
Corinthians
Santos
50%
Form
50%
42%
Att
58%
58%
Def
42%
56%
Poisson distribution
44%
62%
H2h
38%
50%
Goals
50%
53%
Total
47%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
15.03.2026
Santos vs Corinthians
1 — 1
22.01.2026
Santos vs Corinthians
1 — 1
15.10.2025
Santos vs Corinthians
3 — 1
18.05.2025
Corinthians vs Santos
1 — 0
09.03.2025
Corinthians vs Santos
2 — 1
12.02.2025
Corinthians vs Santos
2 — 1
07.02.2024
Santos vs Corinthians
1 — 0
29.10.2023
Corinthians vs Santos
1 — 1
21.06.2023
Santos vs Corinthians
0 — 2
26.02.2023
Santos vs Corinthians
2 — 2

Last Matches

Corinthians
Santos
23.08.2026
Coritiba vs Corinthians
1 — 2
20.08.2026
Corinthians vs Rosario Central
1 — 0
16.08.2026
Corinthians vs Cruzeiro
1 — 2
13.08.2026
Rosario Central vs Corinthians
0 — 0
09.08.2026
RB Bragantino vs Corinthians
2 — 0
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Corinthians have shown resilience recently, conceding just 0.60 goals per match over their last five outings. This defensive solidity has been a cornerstone of their strategy, helping them secure crucial victories. Meanwhile, Santos, sitting five places lower in the league, have demonstrated an impressive away form, with three wins and two draws, averaging 1.60 goals scored per match on the road. Both teams are entering this encounter with strong defensive records, albeit with varying degrees of attacking threats.

Corinthians have enjoyed a solid run of home form, winning three of their last five matches at Neo Quimica Arena, reflecting their ability to capitalize on familiar surroundings. Their recent 2-1 victory against Internacional showcased their attacking prowess at home, averaging 1.40 goals per match. Santos, however, have been formidable away, having not lost in their last five away fixtures. This suggests they are more than capable of challenging Corinthians' home dominance. The previous head-to-head results slightly favor Corinthians, who have two wins to Santos' one in the last five meetings, with two matches ending in a draw.

Key numbers further highlight each team's strengths and weaknesses. Corinthians and Santos both average 1.20 goals scored per game over their last five matches, indicating a balanced offensive capability. Defensively, both teams have been robust, conceding the same average of 0.60 goals. Santos' away defensive record is particularly noteworthy, having conceded just 0.20 goals per game, which could pose a significant challenge for Corinthians' attackers. The head-to-head results suggest closely contested matches, with Corinthians edging the historical encounters slightly.

In terms of prediction, the fixture is likely to witness a competitive battle between two evenly matched sides. Given Santos' strong away form and Corinthians' defensive resilience at home, a draw appears to be a plausible outcome. However, considering the minimal goals conceded by both teams, a low-scoring affair is anticipated. The most probable betting event is a draw, supported by the statistical parity in their recent performances and historical head-to-head encounters. The confidence score for this prediction is 7, reflecting the close nature of their meetings. Additional betting events include "Total:Under: 2.5" with a 65% probability, indicating a likely low-scoring match. "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" is given a 70% probability, aligning with Santos' away scoring trend. "1X" with a 60% probability suggests Corinthians' strong home form offers some advantage, while "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" at 75% probability reflects their consistent home scoring capacity. These predictions capture the dynamic interplay expected in this upcoming Serie A clash.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
65%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%
1X
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Corinthians vs Santos
Pin-UP
William Hill
Bet365
Marathonbet
Unibet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
1xBet
Betano
888Sport
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
24 15 6 3 51
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
23 13 6 4 45
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
24 13 5 6 44
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
24 11 8 5 41
5
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
24 11 6 7 39
6
Bahia logoBahia
24 9 10 5 37
7
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
23 10 5 8 35
8
Coritiba logoCoritiba
24 9 7 8 34
9
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
23 9 6 8 33
10
Corinthians logoCorinthians ★
24 8 8 8 32
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
23 8 6 9 30
12
Vitoria logoVitoria
24 8 5 11 29
13
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
23 7 6 10 27
14
Santos logoSantos ★
23 6 8 9 26
15
Gremio logoGremio
23 6 7 10 25
16
Internacional logoInternacional
24 5 10 9 25
17
Mirassol logoMirassol
23 6 6 11 24
18
Remo logoRemo
24 5 8 11 23
19
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
23 5 7 11 22
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
23 2 8 13 14
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