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Serie A

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A 10.05.2026 · 21:30 Neo Quimica Arena Referee: A. Daronco
Corinthians emblem
Corinthians
L
W
W
D
L
vs
– : –
10 May · 21:30
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
D
L
L
L
D
Our Prediction
Total:Under: 2.5
Pre-match analysis
8 / 10
Odds
3.05

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
10%
Corinthians
45%
Draw
45%
Sao Paulo

Form Comparison

■ Corinthians ■ Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
42%
Form
58%
20%
Att
80%
70%
Def
30%
44%
Poisson distribution
56%
29%
H2h
71%
38%
Goals
63%
41%
Total
60%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.01.2026
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
1 — 1
20.11.2025
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
3 — 1
20.07.2025
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
2 — 0
26.01.2025
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
3 — 1
29.09.2024
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
3 — 1
16.06.2024
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
2 — 2
30.01.2024
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
1 — 2
30.09.2023
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
2 — 1
16.08.2023
Sao Paulo vs Corinthians
2 — 0

Last Matches

Corinthians
Sao Paulo
17.05.2026
Botafogo vs Corinthians
1 — 3
14.05.2026
Corinthians vs Barra
1 — 0
10.05.2026
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
3 — 2
07.05.2026
Santa Fe vs Corinthians
1 — 1
03.05.2026
Mirassol vs Corinthians
1 — 2
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Corinthians
Allan, Charles Rigon, Joao Pedro, Kayke, M. Depay, Vitinho
Andre
Sao Paulo
A. Franco, Lucas Moura, Lucas Ramon, Maik, Marcos Antonio, Pablo Maia, R. Toloi

As the Brazilian Serie A season progresses, fans are set for another thrilling encounter as Corinthians host Sao Paulo at the Neo Quimica Arena on May 10, 2026. This match promises to be a fascinating battle between two teams with contrasting fortunes in the league standings. While Corinthians are looking to climb up from the 14th position, Sao Paulo is vying to consolidate their spot in the top four.

Corinthians' Recent Resurgence at Home

Corinthians have shown a commendable resurgence in their recent games, particularly at home, where they have secured three wins in their last five outings, drawing once and losing just once. Their defense has been particularly impressive, only conceding an average of 0.20 goals per game at home. Offensively, they have averaged 1.00 goals per match in their last five home fixtures. Furthermore, Corinthians have not reported any injuries or suspensions, which means they can field their strongest squad against Sao Paulo. This continuity could prove crucial as they aim to upset their higher-ranked opponents.

Sao Paulo's Quest for Consistency

Sao Paulo, on the other hand, has been performing well overall but has struggled to find consistency on the road. Although they have managed a respectable fourth-place position in the league, their away form reveals vulnerabilities, with only one win from their last five away matches, alongside two draws and two losses. They've scored an average of 0.60 goals while conceding 1.00 goals per game away from home over this period. Despite these challenges, Sao Paulo has no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their preferred lineup, which could be pivotal in addressing their away form issues.

Prediction: A Cagey Affair on the Cards

Given the recent performances and statistical trends, this match might not see a flurry of goals. Both teams have demonstrated solid defensive capabilities recently, with Corinthians yet to concede in their last five matches, while Sao Paulo has kept things tight at the back, conceding an average of just 0.40 goals per game over the same number of fixtures. Therefore, the prediction leans towards a low-scoring encounter. The most likely outcome appears to be under 2.5 total goals in this match, given both teams' recent defensive strengths and relatively modest scoring records. This prediction comes with a confidence score of 8, as both teams' recent results suggest a cautious approach to this fixture. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams failing to score appears high, making "Both Teams to Score: No" another plausible scenario.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5

Both teams have strong recent defensive records and relatively low average goals scored, suggesting a low-scoring game.

3.05
Odds
1X
60%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
75%
All: Both Teams to Score: No
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

Corinthians vs Sao Paulo
Pin-UP
W12.00
X3.05
W24.10
William Hill
W12.05
X2.90
W23.75
Bet365
W12.10
X3.10
W23.80
Marathonbet
W12.08
X3.02
W23.84
Unibet
W12.10
X3.05
W23.85
Betfair
W12.00
X3.10
W23.80
BetVictor
W12.10
X3.10
W23.75
Pinnacle
W12.14
X3.12
W23.98
SBO
W12.08
X2.95
W23.44
1xBet
W12.14
X3.10
W23.95
Betano
W12.12
X3.05
W24.00
888Sport
W12.05
X2.90
W23.75
Dafabet
W12.13
X3.20
W23.90

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
18 12 5 1 41
2
Flamengo logoFlamengo
17 10 4 3 34
3
Fluminense logoFluminense
18 9 4 5 31
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
18 9 3 6 30
5
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
18 9 2 7 29
6
Bahia logoBahia
17 7 5 5 26
7
Coritiba logoCoritiba
18 7 5 6 26
8
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
18 7 4 7 25
9
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
18 7 3 8 24
10
Corinthians logoCorinthians ★
18 6 6 6 24
11
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
18 6 6 6 24
12
Botafogo logoBotafogo
17 6 4 7 22
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
17 6 4 7 22
14
Internacional logoInternacional
18 5 6 7 21
15
Santos logoSantos
18 5 6 7 21
16
Gremio logoGremio
18 5 6 7 21
17
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
18 5 5 8 20
18
Remo logoRemo
18 4 6 8 18
19
Mirassol logoMirassol
17 4 4 9 16
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
17 1 6 10 9
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