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Serie A

Cruzeiro VS Mirassol: Final Score & Prediction

Serie A 09.08.2026 · 10:00 Referee: L. Casagrande
Cruzeiro emblem
Cruzeiro
W
D
W
L
W
Full Time
3 – 1
HT 1:1
09 Aug · 10:00
Mirassol emblem
Mirassol
L
D
W
D
W

Match Stats

Cruzeiro 3:1 Mirassol
50%
Ball Possession
50%
0.68
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
11
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
4
6
Shots off Target
4
2
Blocked Shots
5
8
Shots Inside Box
8
3
Shots Outside Box
5
4
Corners
1
0
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
18
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0
374
Total Passes
379
313
Accurate Passes
321
84%
Pass Accuracy
85%

Match Action

Goals, cards and substitutions
GersonYellow Card
-5'
⚽ Joao MarceloGoal · Bruno Rodrigues
12'
27'
ReinaldoGoal (Penalty) ⚽
Kaique KenjiYellow Card
48'
⇆ Ze LucasSubstitution · Lucas Silva
59'
⇆ KenjiSubstitution · Wesley
59'
⇆ K. ArroyoSubstitution · J. Costa
59'
59'
DenilsonSubstitution · Shaylon ⇆
⇆ Matheus PereiraSubstitution · Kaio Jorge
67'
68'
EliasYellow Card
69'
EduardoSubstitution · Edson Carioca ⇆
69'
Bruno SantosSubstitution · Andre Luis ⇆
⚽ Kaio JorgeGoal · Fagner
76'
80'
WallissonSubstitution · Alesson ⇆
80'
EliasSubstitution · Igor Formiga ⇆
⚽ WesleyGoal · L. Villalba
84'
WesleyYellow Card
85'
⇆ L. VillalbaSubstitution · G. Rojas
90'
90+4'
ShaylonYellow Card

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
55%
Cruzeiro
26%
Draw
19%
Mirassol

Form Comparison

■ Cruzeiro ■ Mirassol
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
50%
Form
50%
50%
Att
50%
50%
Def
50%
62%
Poisson distribution
38%
71%
H2h
29%
56%
Goals
44%
57%
Total
44%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
11.02.2026
Mirassol vs Cruzeiro
2 — 2
18.08.2025
Mirassol vs Cruzeiro
1 — 1
29.03.2025
Cruzeiro vs Mirassol
2 — 1

Last Matches

Cruzeiro
Mirassol
05.08.2026
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc
2 — 0
02.08.2026
Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro
0 — 0
30.07.2026
Coritiba vs Cruzeiro
1 — 0
26.07.2026
Cruzeiro vs Botafogo
0 — 1
22.07.2026
Internacional vs Cruzeiro
2 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Cruzeiro
Cassio, Gabriel Pec, L. Sinisterra, Matheus Henrique, N. Villarreal
Mirassol
Jose Aldo, Negueba, Walter

Cruzeiro enters this matchup with an edge over Mirassol, having never lost in their last three head-to-head encounters, boasting one win and two draws. Sitting in 7th place, Cruzeiro's recent form has been solid, securing two wins and a draw in their last five games, with an average of 0.80 goals scored per match. Meanwhile, Mirassol, positioned 14th, has managed to find the net more consistently, averaging 1.20 goals per game over the same period, but their away form has been less impressive.

Cruzeiro's home form has been particularly robust, with three wins out of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.80 goals and conceding just 0.60. This contrasts sharply with Mirassol's away struggles, where they have managed only one win in their last five, scoring 0.80 goals on average while conceding 1.40. These numbers suggest a clear home advantage for Cruzeiro, though Mirassol's ability to score could test the hosts' defense.

In terms of goals, Cruzeiro's overall defensive record is slightly stronger, conceding an average of 1.00 goals per game in their last five, identical to Mirassol's defensive record. Despite Mirassol's higher scoring rate, Cruzeiro's home defensive statistics suggest they might limit Mirassol's opportunities. The head-to-head results also indicate a tendency for closely contested matches, with two draws and one narrow Cruzeiro victory.

Given the data, this match could be tight. Cruzeiro's home advantage, combined with their superior head-to-head record, suggests they have the upper hand. However, Mirassol's ability to score, especially in recent home victories, indicates they won't be easily subdued. A low-scoring affair seems likely, with Cruzeiro perhaps edging it due to their stronger home performances and defensive reliability.

The prediction for this encounter leans towards a Cruzeiro win, supported by their unbeaten home record and superior defensive statistics. With no injuries or suspensions affecting either side, both teams will field their strongest lineups. The most probable betting event in this context is Cruzeiro to win (Win 1), as their home form and head-to-head superiority provide a compelling case for their success. The confidence score for this prediction is 7, considering Mirassol's potential to disrupt with their scoring capabilities.

Additional betting events could include a draw at halftime (X) given the tightly contested nature of their previous encounters, with a probability of 40%. A low final score might also be anticipated, suggesting Total: Under: 2.5 as a viable market with a 55% probability. Cruzeiro's defense may hold strong, making Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 a realistic outcome with a 60% chance. Finally, considering Cruzeiro's average home goals, Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 could be a safe bet at 70%.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
X
40%
Total:Under: 2.5
55%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
31 19 9 3 66
3
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro ★
32 16 6 10 54
4
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
31 15 8 8 53
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
31 14 9 8 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia
31 13 10 8 49
8
Santos logoSantos
31 12 9 10 45
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
31 12 6 13 42
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
31 11 8 12 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
31 10 9 12 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
31 10 7 14 37
14
Mirassol logoMirassol ★
31 9 9 13 36
15
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
30 9 8 13 35
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians
31 8 9 14 33
17
Internacional logoInternacional
31 7 11 13 32
18
Gremio logoGremio
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
32 5 11 16 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
30 3 9 18 18
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