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Serie A

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo Prediction

Serie A 07.10.2026 · 20:30 Estádio Mineirão Referee: Wilton Sampaio
Cruzeiro emblem
Cruzeiro
W
L
W
L
L
vs
– : –
07 Oct · 20:30
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
L
W
D
L
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
49%
Cruzeiro
28%
Draw
23%
Sao Paulo

Form Comparison

■ Cruzeiro ■ Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
50%
Form
50%
63%
Att
38%
38%
Def
62%
67%
Poisson distribution
33%
38%
H2h
62%
36%
Goals
64%
49%
Total
52%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
04.04.2026
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro
4 — 1
30.08.2025
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
13.04.2025
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro
1 — 1
15.01.2025
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
1 — 1
15.09.2024
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
0 — 1
02.06.2024
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro
2 — 0
02.11.2023
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro
1 — 0
24.06.2023
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
16.10.2019
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
02.06.2019
Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro
1 — 1

Last Matches

Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
20.09.2026
Vitoria vs Cruzeiro
3 — 1
12.09.2026
Santos vs Cruzeiro
1 — 2
06.09.2026
Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense
3 — 1
01.09.2026
Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro
1 — 2
29.08.2026
Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro
1 — 3
W: 2 · D: 0 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Cruzeiro
Gabriel Pec, Kenji, L. Romero, L. Sinisterra, N. Villarreal
Sao Paulo
Buta, D. Duarte, Lucas Moura, Lucca Marques, N. Bosshardt

As Cruzeiro prepares to host Sao Paulo at Estádio Mineirão, both teams find themselves in contrasting forms. Cruzeiro is keen to solidify their position in the upper half of the table, while Sao Paulo looks to break a string of challenging away results.

Cruzeiro's Home Resilience

Cruzeiro currently sits in 6th place in the Serie A standings, showcasing a commendable form at home. Their recent matches have been a mix of highs and lows, but their performance at the Estádio Mineirão has been consistently strong. With three wins and two draws in their last five home matches, Cruzeiro has not only been scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game but also maintaining a relatively tight defense, conceding just 1.00 goal per game. This resilience at home is a significant factor as they face Sao Paulo, a team struggling with away form.

Sao Paulo's Away Challenges

Sao Paulo, positioned 11th in the Serie A, has been battling inconsistency, particularly away from home. In their last five away games, they have failed to secure a victory, drawing once and losing four times. With an average of just 0.40 goals scored per game and 1.40 goals conceded, Sao Paulo's struggles on the road are evident. Despite a tough schedule that included strong opponents like Palmeiras and Boca Juniors, Sao Paulo will need to improve significantly to challenge Cruzeiro at their formidable home ground.

Match Prediction: Cruzeiro to Edge It

The prediction for this encounter between Cruzeiro and Sao Paulo is that Cruzeiro will capitalize on their home advantage and recent form to secure a victory. Cruzeiro's solid home performances and Sao Paulo's away difficulties suggest a favorable outcome for the home side.

- **Main Prediction**: Win: 1 Cruzeiro's strong home form and Sao Paulo's struggles on the road make a Cruzeiro victory the most likely outcome.

- **Additional Predictions**: - Both Teams to Score: No Given Sao Paulo's low scoring rate away from home, it's plausible that they might not find the net. - Total: Under 3.0 With Cruzeiro's defense performing well at home, a high-scoring game seems unlikely. - Total Team 1: Over 1 Cruzeiro has been consistent in scoring at least once at home. - Total Team 2: Under 1 Sao Paulo's recent away scoring troubles support this prediction.

This prediction reflects the current form and performance data available, suggesting a tight but winnable match for Cruzeiro.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: No
60%
Total:Under: 3.0
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1
65%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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SBO

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
31 19 9 3 66
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
31 15 8 8 53
4
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro ★
31 15 6 10 51
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
31 14 9 8 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia
31 13 10 8 49
8
Santos logoSantos
31 12 9 10 45
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
31 12 6 13 42
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
31 11 8 12 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
31 10 9 12 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
31 10 7 14 37
14
Mirassol logoMirassol
31 9 9 13 36
15
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
30 9 8 13 35
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians
31 8 9 14 33
17
Internacional logoInternacional
31 7 11 13 32
18
Gremio logoGremio
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
31 5 11 15 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
30 3 9 18 18
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