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Serie A

Gremio vs Bahia Prediction

Serie A 18.11.2026 · 19:30 Arena do Grêmio Referee: Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil
Gremio emblem
Gremio
D
L
W
W
W
vs
– : –
18 Nov · 19:30
Bahia emblem
Bahia
L
W
D
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
41%
Gremio
28%
Draw
31%
Bahia

Form Comparison

■ Gremio ■ Bahia
Gremio
Bahia
50%
Form
50%
50%
Att
50%
53%
Def
47%
51%
Poisson distribution
49%
29%
H2h
71%
20%
Goals
80%
42%
Total
58%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
17.05.2026
Bahia vs Gremio
1 — 1
19.10.2025
Bahia vs Gremio
4 — 0
25.05.2025
Gremio vs Bahia
1 — 0
17.08.2024
Gremio vs Bahia
0 — 2
27.04.2024
Bahia vs Gremio
1 — 0
04.11.2023
Gremio vs Bahia
1 — 0
12.07.2023
Gremio vs Bahia
1 — 1
04.07.2023
Bahia vs Gremio
1 — 1
01.07.2023
Bahia vs Gremio
1 — 2
16.10.2022
Gremio vs Bahia
1 — 1

Last Matches

Gremio
Bahia
07.11.2026
Atletico-MG vs Gremio
1 — 1
04.11.2026
Flamengo vs Gremio
3 — 1
01.11.2026
Gremio vs Atletico-MG
2 — 0
29.10.2026
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense
2 — 0
26.10.2026
Coritiba vs Gremio
0 — 1
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

In an intriguing Serie A clash, Gremio will host Bahia at the Arena do Grêmio. With both teams having contrasting fortunes this season, this encounter promises to be a vital fixture for both sides as they look to improve their standings in the league.

Gremio's Recent Struggles

Gremio finds themselves in a precarious position, currently placed in the relegation zone at 18th in the Serie A table. With only 37 points from 34 matches, they are in desperate need of points to climb out of the danger zone. Despite their lowly position, Gremio has shown signs of resilience in recent matches, securing three wins in their last five outings, including notable victories against Atletico Paranaense and Coritiba. Their defensive solidity has been commendable, conceding just 0.80 goals per game in their last five fixtures. However, their home form remains inconsistent, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their recent home encounters.

Bahia's Mixed Form

Bahia, on the other hand, is enjoying a more comfortable position in the league, sitting in 6th place with 53 points. They are in contention for a Copa Sudamericana spot, making every remaining match crucial. Bahia's recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. Their defensive frailties have been exposed, conceding 1.80 goals per game recently. However, they have shown their attacking prowess by scoring 1.40 goals per game in the same period. Bahia's away form has been less impressive, with only one win in their last five road trips, which could be a concern as they visit Gremio.

Prediction: A Tight Encounter

The prediction for the match between Gremio and Bahia leans towards a closely contested affair. Given Gremio's recent defensive improvement and Bahia's struggles on the road, the main prediction is "Both Teams to Score: No". Gremio's ability to keep clean sheets in recent matches, along with Bahia's unpredictable away performances, supports this outcome. Additionally, Gremio's home advantage and their need for points to avoid relegation could lead to a cautious approach.

For additional predictions, the match is expected to be low-scoring with "Total: Under 2.5", considering both teams' recent scoring trends. Gremio might edge out a narrow victory, hence "Double Chance: 1X" is a viable pick. With Bahia's defensive vulnerabilities, "Total Team 1: Over 0.5" and "Total Team 2: Under 2" are also predicted, reflecting the likelihood of a tight scoreline.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
60%
1X
65%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
70%
Total Team 2 Under: 2
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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William Hill
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Betfair
BetVictor
SBO
1xBet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
34 23 7 4 76
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
34 21 10 3 73
3
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
34 18 6 10 60
4
Fluminense logoFluminense
34 16 9 9 57
5
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
34 15 9 10 54
6
Bahia logoBahia ★
34 14 11 9 53
7
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
34 14 8 12 50
8
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
34 13 8 13 47
9
Santos logoSantos
34 12 11 11 47
10
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
34 12 8 14 44
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
34 11 9 14 42
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
34 11 9 14 42
13
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
33 11 8 14 41
14
Mirassol logoMirassol
34 10 10 14 40
15
Vitoria logoVitoria
34 10 8 16 38
16
Internacional logoInternacional
34 9 11 14 38
17
Corinthians logoCorinthians
34 9 10 15 37
18
Gremio logoGremio ★
34 9 10 15 37
19
Remo logoRemo
34 6 11 17 29
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
33 4 9 20 21
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