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Serie A

Gremio vs Cruzeiro Prediction

Serie A 18.10.2026 · 15:00 Arena do Grêmio Referee: Joao Vitor Gobi
Gremio emblem
Gremio
D
D
D
L
L
vs
– : –
18 Oct · 15:00
Cruzeiro emblem
Cruzeiro
L
W
W
L
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
33%
Gremio
28%
Draw
39%
Cruzeiro

Form Comparison

■ Gremio ■ Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
25%
Form
75%
31%
Att
69%
53%
Def
47%
58%
Poisson distribution
42%
29%
H2h
71%
36%
Goals
64%
39%
Total
61%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
12.07.2026
Gremio vs Cruzeiro
3 — 1
18.04.2026
Cruzeiro vs Gremio
2 — 0
05.11.2025
Gremio vs Cruzeiro
0 — 1
13.07.2025
Cruzeiro vs Gremio
4 — 1
27.11.2024
Cruzeiro vs Gremio
1 — 1
10.07.2024
Gremio vs Cruzeiro
0 — 2
27.08.2023
Gremio vs Cruzeiro
3 — 0
31.05.2023
Cruzeiro vs Gremio
0 — 1
17.05.2023
Gremio vs Cruzeiro
1 — 1
22.04.2023
Cruzeiro vs Gremio
1 — 0

Last Matches

Gremio
Cruzeiro
11.10.2026
Gremio vs Internacional
1 — 1
07.10.2026
Remo vs Gremio
1 — 1
20.09.2026
Gremio vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
16.09.2026
Botafogo vs Gremio
2 — 3
12.09.2026
Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama
1 — 2
W: 0 · D: 3 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Gremio
J. Cabral, Matheus Nascimento, Wallace
Cruzeiro
Felipe Morais, Gabriel Pec, L. Romero, L. Sinisterra, N. Villarreal

Gremio will host Cruzeiro at Arena do Grêmio in an intriguing Serie A clash this weekend. As the season progresses, both teams find themselves at different ends of the table, with Gremio fighting to avoid relegation, and Cruzeiro aiming for a Copa Libertadores qualification spot. This match promises to be a decisive encounter for both sides.

Gremio's Battle Against Relegation

Gremio is currently struggling in the relegation zone, sitting 18th in the Serie A standings. With only 30 points from 29 matches, their recent form has been less than ideal. In their last five matches, Gremio has failed to secure a victory, drawing twice and losing three times. They have scored an average of 0.80 goals per game while conceding 1.40. This underperformance is a stark contrast from their home record, where they have shown more resilience with three wins and a draw in their last five matches, scoring 1.80 goals per game and conceding just 1.00. Despite their struggles, Gremio will be hoping to leverage their home advantage to turn their season around.

Cruzeiro's Pursuit of Continental Glory

Cruzeiro, on the other hand, is in the race for a spot in the Copa Libertadores, currently positioned 5th in the league with 48 points from 29 games. Their recent form has been promising, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches, scoring an impressive 2.00 goals per game while conceding 1.20. Despite their strong overall performance, Cruzeiro's away form has been a concern, with only one win in their last five outings, scoring 1.40 goals per game and conceding 2.00. Cruzeiro will be eager to improve their away form against a struggling Gremio side.

Prediction Favors Cruzeiro's Strength

In the prediction for Gremio vs. Cruzeiro, Cruzeiro is favored to come out on top. Given Gremio's current league position and recent form, particularly their struggles against teams in the middle of the table, Cruzeiro's goal-scoring capability and their higher standing make them likely winners.

Main Prediction: "Win: 2". Cruzeiro's overall stronger form and higher position in the league table give them an edge over Gremio, especially considering Gremio's recent struggles.

Additional Predictions: 1. "Total: Over 1.5" (probability: 80) - Given both teams' scoring rates, expecting at least two goals is reasonable. 2. "Both Teams to Score: Yes" (probability: 70) - With Gremio needing points and Cruzeiro's attacking prowess, both teams are likely to find the net. 3. "Total Team 2: Over 0.5" (probability: 90) - Cruzeiro's consistent scoring makes it highly probable they will score at least once. 4. "Handicap 2: 0.5" (probability: 75) - Cruzeiro's better form suggests they can win or at least draw, covering a 0.5 goal handicap.

These predictions reflect the current form and context of both teams, with Cruzeiro's overall quality and league position making them favorites for this encounter.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 1.5
80%
Both Teams to Score: Yes
70%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
90%
Handicap 2: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
31 19 9 3 66
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
31 15 8 8 53
4
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro ★
31 15 6 10 51
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
31 14 9 8 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia
31 13 10 8 49
8
Santos logoSantos
31 12 9 10 45
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
31 12 6 13 42
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
31 11 8 12 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
31 10 9 12 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
31 10 7 14 37
14
Mirassol logoMirassol
31 9 9 13 36
15
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
30 9 8 13 35
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians
31 8 9 14 33
17
Internacional logoInternacional
31 7 11 13 32
18
Gremio logoGremio ★
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
31 5 11 15 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
30 3 9 18 18
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