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Serie A

Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction

Serie A 08.10.2026 · 20:30 Allianz Parque Referee: Braulio da Silva Machado
Palmeiras emblem
Palmeiras
D
L
W
W
D
vs
– : –
08 Oct · 20:30
Bahia emblem
Bahia
L
W
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
57%
Palmeiras
24%
Draw
19%
Bahia

Form Comparison

■ Palmeiras ■ Bahia
Palmeiras
Bahia
43%
Form
57%
39%
Att
61%
78%
Def
22%
66%
Poisson distribution
34%
60%
H2h
40%
60%
Goals
40%
58%
Total
42%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
05.04.2026
Bahia vs Palmeiras
1 — 2
28.09.2025
Bahia vs Palmeiras
1 — 0
27.04.2025
Palmeiras vs Bahia
0 — 1
20.11.2024
Bahia vs Palmeiras
1 — 2
07.07.2024
Palmeiras vs Bahia
2 — 0
28.10.2023
Palmeiras vs Bahia
1 — 0
21.06.2023
Bahia vs Palmeiras
1 — 0
12.10.2021
Bahia vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
27.06.2021
Palmeiras vs Bahia
3 — 2
12.12.2020
Palmeiras vs Bahia
3 — 0

Last Matches

Palmeiras
Bahia
20.09.2026
Gremio vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
16.09.2026
LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras
2 — 3
12.09.2026
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
2 — 0
09.09.2026
Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito
1 — 0
06.09.2026
Botafogo vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
W: 2 · D: 2 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Palmeiras
Jefte, Paulinho
Bahia
Leo Vieira, Michel Araujo

Palmeiras will face Bahia at the Nubank Parque in a Serie A clash that promises excitement, with both teams aiming to solidify their positions in the Copa Libertadores qualification spots. This encounter comes at a crucial moment in the season for both sides, each looking to leverage their recent form to secure a favorable result.

Palmeiras Strong at Home

Palmeiras come into this match sitting second in Serie A, showcasing a consistent performance throughout the season. With 57 points from 28 matches, they are firmly in the promotion zone for the Copa Libertadores group stage. Their recent form has been solid, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches across all competitions, including an impressive 2-0 victory against Sao Paulo. At home, Palmeiras have been particularly formidable, remaining undefeated in their last five home games with four wins and a draw, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per match while conceding just 0.40. This strong home form suggests that Palmeiras will be tough to beat at Nubank Parque.

Bahia Seeking Consistency

Bahia, currently fifth in the Serie A standings with 46 points, are also vying for a Copa Libertadores qualification spot. Their recent performances have been a mixed bag, but they have shown resilience with four wins out of their last five matches. Notably, Bahia have been strong on the road, securing victories against teams like RB Bragantino and Vitoria. They have averaged 1.80 goals scored in their last five away fixtures, demonstrating their attacking capabilities. However, their defense has been somewhat porous, conceding an average of 1.40 goals per game, which they will need to address against a potent Palmeiras side.

Prediction: Goals from Both Sides

Given the recent performances and attacking prowess of both teams, the prediction for the Palmeiras vs Bahia match is "Both Teams to Score: Yes." Both teams have shown they can find the back of the net consistently, and with Bahia's defensive vulnerabilities away from home, it's likely that Palmeiras will score. Conversely, Bahia's ability to score in away games suggests they will also pose a threat to the Palmeiras defense.

Additional predictions for this match include: Total: Over 2.0, as both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently; Double Chance: 1X, considering Palmeiras' strong home form; Total Team 1: Over 1.5, reflecting Palmeiras' scoring ability at home; and Handicap 2: 1.5, offering a buffer for Bahia, who have shown resilience in tough matches.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Total:Over: 2.0
75%
1X
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
70%
Handicap 2: 1.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras ★
31 19 9 3 66
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
31 15 8 8 53
4
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
31 15 6 10 51
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
31 14 9 8 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia ★
31 13 10 8 49
8
Santos logoSantos
31 12 9 10 45
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
31 12 6 13 42
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
31 11 8 12 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
31 10 9 12 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
31 10 7 14 37
14
Mirassol logoMirassol
31 9 9 13 36
15
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
30 9 8 13 35
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians
31 8 9 14 33
17
Internacional logoInternacional
31 7 11 13 32
18
Gremio logoGremio
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
31 5 11 15 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
30 3 9 18 18
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