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Serie A

Palmeiras vs Corinthians Prediction

Serie A 11.10.2026 · 16:30 Nubank Parque Referee: Anderson Daronco
Palmeiras emblem
Palmeiras
W
D
L
W
W
vs
– : –
11 Oct · 16:30
Corinthians emblem
Corinthians
L
L
L
L
D

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
56%
Palmeiras
26%
Draw
18%
Corinthians

Form Comparison

■ Palmeiras ■ Corinthians
Palmeiras
Corinthians
100%
Form
0%
50%
Att
50%
91%
Def
9%
70%
Poisson distribution
30%
38%
H2h
62%
33%
Goals
67%
56%
Total
44%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
12.04.2026
Corinthians vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
08.02.2026
Corinthians vs Palmeiras
0 — 1
31.08.2025
Corinthians vs Palmeiras
1 — 1
06.08.2025
Palmeiras vs Corinthians
0 — 2
30.07.2025
Corinthians vs Palmeiras
1 — 0
12.04.2025
Palmeiras vs Corinthians
2 — 0
27.03.2025
Corinthians vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
16.03.2025
Palmeiras vs Corinthians
0 — 1
06.02.2025
Palmeiras vs Corinthians
1 — 1
04.11.2024
Corinthians vs Palmeiras
2 — 0

Last Matches

Palmeiras
Corinthians
08.10.2026
Palmeiras vs Bahia
1 — 0
20.09.2026
Gremio vs Palmeiras
0 — 0
16.09.2026
LDU de Quito vs Palmeiras
2 — 3
12.09.2026
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
2 — 0
09.09.2026
Palmeiras vs LDU de Quito
1 — 0
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Palmeiras
Jefte, Paulinho
Corinthians
A. Carrillo, Andre Ramalho, Dieguinho, Joao Pedro, Kaio Cesar, Kayke, R. Garro, Z. Labyad

As Palmeiras prepares to face Corinthians on October 11, 2026, at Nubank Parque, the stakes are high for both teams in their Serie A campaign. Palmeiras, currently second in the league, will aim to consolidate their position in the Copa Libertadores spots, while Corinthians, languishing in 14th place, are desperate to improve their standings.

Palmeiras on a Strong Run

Palmeiras has demonstrated consistent form this season, sitting second in Brazil's Serie A with 57 points from 28 matches. Their recent results reflect a solid defensive setup, conceding only 0.60 goals on average in their last five outings. Recent performances, including a 2-0 home victory over Sao Paulo, highlight their capability to dominate games, especially at home, where they have been unbeaten in their last five, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per match. With no injuries or suspensions, Palmeiras is well-positioned to leverage their home advantage against Corinthians.

Corinthians Struggling for Form

Corinthians, on the other hand, find themselves in a challenging phase. Positioned 14th in the league, they have managed only 32 points from 28 games. Recent results have not been promising, with four losses and a draw in their last five matches, including a 1-3 defeat to Fluminense. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, having conceded an average of 1.80 goals in these matches. Despite their struggles, Corinthians have shown some resilience in away games, with a slightly better defensive record than at home.

Prediction for a Home Victory

In the upcoming clash between Palmeiras and Corinthians, the prediction leans towards a victory for the home side. Given Palmeiras' strong home form and Corinthians' ongoing struggles, a Palmeiras win seems the most plausible outcome. The absence of injuries or suspensions further strengthens Palmeiras' chances. Therefore, the main prediction is a "Win: 1" for Palmeiras, supported by their consistent home performances and superior position in the league standings.

Additional predictions consider that both teams have had varied scoring patterns, suggesting "Both Teams to Score: No" is likely, considering Palmeiras' defensive strength. With Palmeiras' scoring prowess at home, "Total Team 1: Over 1.5" aligns well with the main prediction. Given Corinthians' recent form, "Total Team 2: Under 1" is supported by their scoring struggles. Lastly, a "Handicap 1: 0.5" for Palmeiras reflects their advantage in this matchup.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: No
70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
65%
Total Team 2 Under: 1
60%
Handicap 1: 0.5
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras ★
31 19 9 3 66
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
31 15 8 8 53
4
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
31 15 6 10 51
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
31 14 9 8 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia
31 13 10 8 49
8
Santos logoSantos
31 12 9 10 45
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo
31 12 6 13 42
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
31 11 8 12 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
31 10 9 12 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
31 10 7 14 37
14
Mirassol logoMirassol
31 9 9 13 36
15
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
30 9 8 13 35
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians ★
31 8 9 14 33
17
Internacional logoInternacional
31 7 11 13 32
18
Gremio logoGremio
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
31 5 11 15 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
30 3 9 18 18
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