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Serie A

Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Serie A 17.10.2026 · 20:00 Morumbi Referee: Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
W
L
L
W
D
vs
– : –
17 Oct · 20:00
Vasco DA Gama emblem
Vasco DA Gama
W
D
W
W
W

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
45%
Sao Paulo
28%
Draw
27%
Vasco DA Gama

Form Comparison

■ Sao Paulo ■ Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
38%
Form
63%
31%
Att
69%
30%
Def
70%
69%
Poisson distribution
31%
40%
H2h
60%
47%
Goals
53%
43%
Total
58%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
18.04.2026
Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo
2 — 1
02.11.2025
Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo
0 — 2
12.06.2025
Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama
1 — 3
16.10.2024
Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama
3 — 0
22.06.2024
Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo
4 — 1
07.10.2023
Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo
0 — 0
20.05.2023
Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama
4 — 2
04.08.2021
Vasco DA Gama vs Sao Paulo
1 — 2
28.07.2021
Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama
2 — 0
22.11.2020
Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama
1 — 1

Last Matches

Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
10.10.2026
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria
2 — 1
07.10.2026
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
0 — 2
02.10.2026
Sao Paulo vs Santos
1 — 2
19.09.2026
Sao Paulo vs Internacional
1 — 0
15.09.2026
Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors
1 — 1
W: 2 · D: 1 · L: 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Sao Paulo
Buta, D. Duarte, Djhordney, Ferreira, Luciano, N. Bosshardt
Vasco DA Gama
C. Cuesta, F. Colidio, Mateus Carvalho

Sao Paulo hosts Vasco DA Gama at Estadio Do MorumBIS in a crucial Serie A clash. Both teams are battling to improve their standings, with Sao Paulo aiming to secure a spot in the Copa Sudamericana while Vasco DA Gama looks to climb out of the lower half of the table.

Sao Paulo's Recent Struggles

Sao Paulo finds itself in the middle of a challenging season, sitting 11th in the Serie A table. With only one win in their last five matches, they have struggled to find consistency. Recent losses against Cruzeiro and Palmeiras highlight their difficulties against higher-ranked teams. However, their home form offers some hope, having secured three wins out of their last five matches at Estadio Do MorumBIS. Despite their defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game, they have shown resilience at home, conceding only 0.8 goals per game recently.

Vasco DA Gama's Upturn in Form

Vasco DA Gama has shown significant improvement lately, climbing to 14th in the league with a series of impressive results. They have won four of their last five matches, including a dominant 5-0 victory over Coritiba and a solid 2-0 win against Santa Fe in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana. Their recent performances have been bolstered by a strong defense, conceding just 0.4 goals per game over their last five outings. Vasco's away form has also been encouraging, with three wins and a draw in their last five away matches.

Match Prediction: Double Chance for Vasco DA Gama

Given Vasco DA Gama's recent surge in form and Sao Paulo's inconsistent performances, the prediction for this match leans toward a double chance for Vasco DA Gama (X2). Vasco's ability to secure results away from home and their impressive recent victories suggest they are well-equipped to at least avoid defeat against a struggling Sao Paulo side.

In addition to the main prediction, expect a few more outcomes: Vasco DA Gama to score over 0.5 goals, given their strong attacking form; Sao Paulo to struggle offensively, likely scoring under 1.5 goals; both teams not to score, as Vasco DA Gama's solid defense might keep Sao Paulo at bay; and a total of under 3.0 goals, considering both teams' recent scoring patterns.

Overall, while Sao Paulo will hope to capitalize on home advantage, Vasco DA Gama's current momentum gives them an edge in this encounter.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5
70%
Both Teams to Score: No
65%
Total:Under: 3.0
75%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
31 19 9 3 66
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
31 15 8 8 53
4
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
31 15 6 10 51
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
31 14 9 8 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia
31 13 10 8 49
8
Santos logoSantos
31 12 9 10 45
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
31 12 6 13 42
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
31 11 8 12 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
31 10 9 12 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vitoria logoVitoria
31 10 7 14 37
14
Mirassol logoMirassol
31 9 9 13 36
15
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama ★
30 9 8 13 35
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians
31 8 9 14 33
17
Internacional logoInternacional
31 7 11 13 32
18
Gremio logoGremio
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
31 5 11 15 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
30 3 9 18 18
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