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Serie A

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria Prediction

Serie A 10.10.2026 · 20:00 Morumbi Referee: Lucas Casagrande
Sao Paulo emblem
Sao Paulo
L
L
W
D
L
vs
– : –
10 Oct · 20:00
Vitoria emblem
Vitoria
W
L
D
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
56%
Sao Paulo
26%
Draw
18%
Vitoria

Form Comparison

■ Sao Paulo ■ Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
46%
Form
54%
31%
Att
69%
54%
Def
46%
80%
Poisson distribution
20%
60%
H2h
40%
58%
Goals
42%
55%
Total
45%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
11.04.2026
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo
2 — 0
07.12.2025
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo
1 — 0
09.08.2025
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria
2 — 0
25.08.2024
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria
2 — 1
05.05.2024
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo
1 — 3
26.10.2018
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo
0 — 1
12.06.2018
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria
3 — 0
17.09.2017
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo
1 — 2
08.06.2017
Sao Paulo vs Vitoria
2 — 0
25.09.2016
Vitoria vs Sao Paulo
2 — 0

Last Matches

Sao Paulo
Vitoria
07.10.2026
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
0 — 2
02.10.2026
Sao Paulo vs Santos
1 — 2
19.09.2026
Sao Paulo vs Internacional
1 — 0
15.09.2026
Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors
1 — 1
12.09.2026
Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
0 — 2
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

Injuries and Suspensions

Sao Paulo
Buta, D. Duarte, Ferreira, Iago Borduchi, Lucas Moura, Lucca Marques, Luciano, N. Bosshardt, Rafael
Vitoria
Anderson, Baralhas, Camutanga, D. Tarzia, Dudu, Edu, Fabiano, Nathan Mendes, Ramon, Riccieli

Sao Paulo will face off against Vitoria at Estadio Do MorumBIS in what promises to be an intriguing Serie A clash. Both teams are navigating the middle of the table and are keen to capitalize on this encounter to improve their standings.

Sao Paulo's Recent Challenges and Opportunities

Sao Paulo currently sits 11th in the Serie A standings, aiming for a spot in the Copa Sudamericana. However, their recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they have managed only one win, with two draws and two losses. Their home form, though, has been relatively solid, with three wins and a draw in their last five matches at Estadio Do MorumBIS, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game while conceding 0.80. This home advantage might provide the necessary boost to overcome their recent struggles.

Vitoria's Struggle to Climb the Table

Vitoria finds themselves in 13th place, with recent performances highlighting their challenges. They have won only once in their last five games, with two draws and two losses. Vitoria's away form has been particularly concerning, with no wins and only one draw in their last five outings. They concede an average of 1.80 goals per game away from home, which could be problematic against a Sao Paulo side that performs better on home turf.

Prediction for Sao Paulo vs Vitoria

Given the current form and statistical trends, the prediction for this match leans towards a Sao Paulo win. Their stronger home performances compared to Vitoria's struggles on the road make this a likely outcome. Additionally, considering the goal-scoring patterns, both teams might find the net. The prediction for Sao Paulo vs Vitoria is a "Win: 1" for Sao Paulo.

Additional predictions for this match include "Both Teams to Score: Yes," considering the defensive vulnerabilities of both sides. "Total Team 1: Over 0.5" is likely as Sao Paulo has been scoring consistently at home. "Handicap 1: 0.5" reflects Sao Paulo's slight edge at home, and "Total: Under 3.0" suggests a match with limited goal-scoring opportunities.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
Both Teams to Score: Yes
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Handicap 1: 0.5
70%
Total:Under: 3.0
65%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Pin-UP
William Hill
Marathonbet
Betfair
BetVictor
Pinnacle
SBO
Dafabet

Serie A Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Flamengo logoFlamengo
31 20 7 4 67
2
Palmeiras logoPalmeiras
31 19 9 3 66
3
Atletico Paranaense logoAtletico Paranaense
31 15 8 8 53
4
Cruzeiro logoCruzeiro
31 15 6 10 51
5
Fluminense logoFluminense
31 14 9 8 51
6
Atletico-MG logoAtletico-MG
31 14 8 9 50
7
Bahia logoBahia
31 13 10 8 49
8
Santos logoSantos
31 12 9 10 45
9
Sao Paulo logoSao Paulo ★
31 12 6 13 42
10
RB Bragantino logoRB Bragantino
31 11 8 12 41
11
Botafogo logoBotafogo
31 10 9 12 39
12
Coritiba logoCoritiba
31 10 9 12 39
13
Vitoria logoVitoria ★
31 10 7 14 37
14
Mirassol logoMirassol
31 9 9 13 36
15
Vasco DA Gama logoVasco DA Gama
30 9 8 13 35
16
Corinthians logoCorinthians
31 8 9 14 33
17
Internacional logoInternacional
31 7 11 13 32
18
Gremio logoGremio
31 7 10 14 31
19
Remo logoRemo
31 5 11 15 26
20
Chapecoense-sc logoChapecoense-sc
30 3 9 18 18
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