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Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Bundesliga 10.10.2026 · 09:30 MEWA Arena Referee: Max Burda
FSV Mainz 05 emblem
FSV Mainz 05
W
W
L
W
D
vs
– : –
10 Oct · 09:30
Bayer Leverkusen emblem
Bayer Leverkusen
W
W
D
W
L

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
32%
FSV Mainz 05
25%
Draw
43%
Bayer Leverkusen

Form Comparison

■ FSV Mainz 05 ■ Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
50%
Form
50%
50%
Att
50%
45%
Def
55%
20%
Poisson distribution
80%
15%
H2h
85%
41%
Goals
59%
37%
Total
63%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
28.02.2026
Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05
1 — 1
18.10.2025
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
3 — 4
17.05.2025
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
2 — 2
14.01.2025
Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05
1 — 0
23.02.2024
Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05
2 — 1
30.09.2023
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
0 — 3
19.02.2023
Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05
2 — 3
27.08.2022
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
0 — 3
18.02.2022
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
3 — 2
25.09.2021
Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05
1 — 0

Last Matches

FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
03.10.2026
Waldhof Mannheim vs FSV Mainz 05
3 — 0
19.09.2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05
4 — 3
12.09.2026
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
1 — 3
06.09.2026
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05
5 — 0
29.08.2026
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07
0 — 0
W: 3 · D: 1 · L: 1

Injuries and Suspensions

FSV Mainz 05
D. Kohr, O. Ruoppi, P. Nebel, R. Zentner, S. Widmer, Silas
Bayer Leverkusen
C. Kofane, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, M. Culbreath

FSV Mainz 05 will host Bayer Leverkusen at the Mewa Arena in what promises to be an intriguing Bundesliga clash. Both teams have started their seasons strongly, sitting close in the league table, and will be eager to assert their dominance in this early October fixture.

FSV Mainz 05's Strong Start

FSV Mainz 05 has begun the 2026 Bundesliga season on a positive note, currently sitting in 6th place with 7 points from their opening four matches. They have shown impressive attacking prowess, scoring an average of 3.80 goals over their last five games across all competitions. Notably, they secured a remarkable 9-0 victory in the DFB Pokal against Krieschow, demonstrating their ability to capitalize against weaker opposition. Mainz has also proven capable of winning on the road, as seen in their emphatic 5-0 victory over Hamburger SV. Although they suffered a defeat against Eintracht Frankfurt, they rebounded with a thrilling 4-3 win against Borussia Mönchengladbach. At home, Mainz has been relatively solid, having won three of their last five games.

Bayer Leverkusen's Consistent Form

Bayer Leverkusen has matched Mainz's early season form, also accumulating 7 points to sit 5th in the table. They have been consistent in their performances, with a notable 2-0 victory over RB Leipzig highlighting their defensive stability. Bayer Leverkusen's attacking capabilities have been on display too, scoring 2.40 goals per game in their last five matches. They have been particularly strong at home, though their away form shows room for improvement, as evidenced by their recent 3-2 loss to SV Elversberg. Historically, Bayer Leverkusen has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters with Mainz, winning three of the last five meetings.

Match Prediction and Expected Outcome

In this Bundesliga encounter, the prediction is for both teams to score. FSV Mainz 05's potent attack, coupled with Bayer Leverkusen's solid offensive record, suggests a high likelihood of goals from both sides. While Bayer Leverkusen may have the edge historically, Mainz's strong home performance levels the playing field.

Additional predictions include a double chance for Bayer Leverkusen (X2), considering their superior head-to-head record. We can also expect the total goals to be over 1.5, given both teams' scoring capabilities. FSV Mainz 05 is likely to score over 0.5 goals, considering their attacking form, while Bayer Leverkusen should also score over 0.5 goals, supported by their consistent goal-scoring record.

Prediction and Betting Tips

8/10 Confidence
X2
70%
Total:Over: 1.5
85%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5
80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
80%

Bookmakers Odds Online

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Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Bayern München logoBayern München
6 4 2 0 14
2
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund
6 4 2 0 14
3
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg
6 4 1 1 13
4
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen ★
6 4 1 1 13
5
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05 ★
6 3 1 2 10
6
SV Elversberg logoSV Elversberg
6 3 1 2 10
7
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig
6 3 0 3 9
8
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
6 2 3 1 9
9
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV
6 3 0 3 9
10
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
6 2 2 2 8
11
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
6 2 2 2 8
12
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
6 2 1 3 7
13
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
6 2 0 4 6
14
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
6 2 0 4 6
15
FC Schalke 04 logoFC Schalke 04
6 1 2 3 5
16
SC Paderborn 07 logoSC Paderborn 07
6 1 2 3 5
17
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin
6 1 2 3 5
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
6 0 0 6 0
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