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FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga 10.05.2026 · 17:30 Mewa Arena Referee: Bastian Dankert, Germany
FSV Mainz 05 emblem
FSV Mainz 05
W
L
D
L
L
vs
– : –
10 May · 17:30
Union Berlin emblem
Union Berlin
D
L
L
L
D
Our Prediction
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes
Pre-match analysis
7 / 10
Odds
3.20

Win Probability

Pre-Match Analysis
35%
FSV Mainz 05
35%
Draw
30%
Union Berlin

Form Comparison

■ FSV Mainz 05 ■ Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
78%
Form
22%
57%
Att
43%
58%
Def
42%
61%
Poisson distribution
39%
25%
H2h
75%
38%
Goals
63%
53%
Total
47%

Head-to-Head

Overall
Home
Away
10.01.2026
Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05
2 — 2
19.01.2025
Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05
2 — 1
24.08.2024
FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin
1 — 1
07.02.2024
FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin
1 — 1
20.08.2023
Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05
4 — 1
04.02.2023
Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05
2 — 1
14.08.2022
FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin
0 — 0
26.02.2022
Union Berlin vs FSV Mainz 05
3 — 1
03.10.2021
FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin
1 — 2
06.02.2021
FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin
1 — 0

Last Matches

FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
03.05.2026
FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05
2 — 1
25.04.2026
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München
3 — 4
19.04.2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05
1 — 1
16.04.2026
Strasbourg vs FSV Mainz 05
0 — 4
12.04.2026
FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg
0 — 1
W: 1 · D: 1 · L: 3

As the Bundesliga season nears its conclusion, FSV Mainz 05 prepares to host Union Berlin at the Mewa Arena on May 10th. Both teams find themselves in the middle of the table, with Mainz sitting at 10th and Union Berlin at 13th, making this encounter an intriguing affair. With both sides looking to end the season on a high, fans can expect a competitive match.

FSV Mainz 05’s Recent Form and Home Advantage

FSV Mainz 05 has experienced a mixed bag of results in their recent outings. Despite a commendable home form that includes three victories in their last five matches at the Mewa Arena, they have also been susceptible to defeats, as shown in their recent 3-4 loss to Bayern München. Scoring an average of 1.80 goals per game at home, Mainz has shown they can be formidable in front of their fans. However, their defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding an average of 1.20 goals per match at home. The squad is intact, with no injuries or suspensions affecting their lineup, giving them a complete roster to deploy against Union Berlin.

Union Berlin’s Struggling Away Performance

Union Berlin comes into this fixture needing to improve on their away form, which has seen them secure only one win in their last five games away from home. Scoring has been a significant issue for Union, as they have managed only 0.60 goals per game on the road, while conceding a worrying 2.20 goals on average. Despite these challenges, Union Berlin has managed to hold their own against Mainz in recent head-to-head encounters, securing two wins and three draws in their last five meetings. Similar to Mainz, Union Berlin has no players out due to injury or suspension, allowing them to field their best available side.

Prediction: A Balanced Contest Awaits

Given the current form and statistical trends of both teams, this match is likely to be a closely contested affair. FSV Mainz 05's strong home performance contrasts sharply with Union Berlin's struggles on the road, suggesting that Mainz might have the slight edge. However, considering their head-to-head history, where draws have been common, a stalemate could very well be on the cards. The prediction leans towards a draw with both teams finding the back of the net, as Mainz's attacking prowess at home meets Union Berlin's determined away efforts. The most probable betting event is "All: Both Teams to Score: Yes," given the attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities both sides have shown. The confidence score for this prediction stands at a solid 7, reflecting the likelihood of both teams scoring based on their recent performances.

Prediction and Betting Tips

7/10 Confidence
All: Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have shown the ability to score and concede goals in recent matches, making a scoring draw likely.

3.20
Odds
1X
65%
Total:Over: 2.5
60%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5
55%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5
70%

Bookmakers Odds Online

FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin
Pin-UP
W11.81
X3.70
W24.10
William Hill
W11.80
X3.60
W24.00
Bet365
W11.80
X3.70
W24.10
Marathonbet
W11.83
X3.88
W24.40
Unibet
W11.77
X3.80
W24.25
Betfair
W11.80
X3.70
W24.10
BetVictor
W11.75
X3.60
W23.90
Pinnacle
W11.84
X3.81
W24.23
SBO
W11.82
X3.28
W23.67
1xBet
W11.86
X3.94
W24.46
Betano
W11.85
X3.75
W24.15
Dafabet
W11.83
X3.70
W24.10

Bundesliga Tournament Standings

#TeamMPWDLPts
1
Bayern München logoBayern München
32 26 5 1 83
2
Borussia Dortmund logoBorussia Dortmund
32 20 7 5 67
3
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig
32 19 5 8 62
4
Bayer Leverkusen logoBayer Leverkusen
32 17 7 8 58
5
VfB Stuttgart logoVfB Stuttgart
32 17 7 8 58
6
1899 Hoffenheim logo1899 Hoffenheim
32 17 7 8 58
7
SC Freiburg logoSC Freiburg
32 12 8 12 44
8
Eintracht Frankfurt logoEintracht Frankfurt
32 11 10 11 43
9
FC Augsburg logoFC Augsburg
32 11 7 14 40
10
FSV Mainz 05 logoFSV Mainz 05 ★
32 9 10 13 37
11
Borussia Mönchengladbach logoBorussia Mönchengladbach
32 8 11 13 35
12
Hamburger SV logoHamburger SV
32 8 10 14 34
13
Union Berlin logoUnion Berlin ★
32 8 9 15 33
14
1. FC Köln logo1. FC Köln
32 7 11 14 32
15
Werder Bremen logoWerder Bremen
32 8 8 16 32
16
VfL Wolfsburg logoVfL Wolfsburg
32 6 8 18 26
17
FC St. Pauli logoFC St. Pauli
32 6 8 18 26
18
1. FC Heidenheim logo1. FC Heidenheim
32 5 8 19 23
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